XOP - ETF AI Analysis

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SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

Rating:67Neutral

Price Target:―

XOP, the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF, has a solid overall rating that reflects a mix of strong, cash-generating refiners and some more challenged names. Higher-quality holdings like Phillips 66, Valero Energy, Marathon Petroleum, and SM Energy support the fund’s rating through strong financial performance, robust cash flow, and strategic growth plans, even if some appear potentially expensive. On the other hand, weaker holdings such as Delek US Holdings, Calumet, and PBF Energy face financial and leverage issues, and the fund’s focus on the oil and gas exploration and refining sector means investors are heavily exposed to energy market and sector-specific risks.

Positive Factors

Strong Recent Performance

The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year and over the past month, showing solid momentum in its strategy.

Top Holdings with Strong YTD Gains

Several of the largest positions, such as PBF Energy, Par Pacific Holdings, and Delek US Holdings, have posted strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.

Focused Exposure to the Energy Sector

The fund’s heavy weighting in energy companies gives investors targeted exposure to a sector that has recently been performing well.

Negative Factors

High Sector Concentration

With most of its assets in the energy sector, the ETF is heavily exposed to swings in oil and gas markets, which can increase volatility.

Limited Geographic Diversification

The portfolio is overwhelmingly invested in U.S. companies, offering little protection if the U.S. energy market faces a downturn.

Moderate Expense Ratio

While not extremely high, the fund’s expense ratio is a noticeable cost that can slightly reduce long-term returns compared with cheaper alternatives.

XOP vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM4.01B

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.29

IssuerSPDR

Inception DateJun 19, 2006

Dividend Yield1.69%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedS&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume3,551,113

30 Day Avg. Volume3,182,949

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

216.39

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering52

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

XOP Summary

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) is a fund that follows the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index. It focuses on U.S. energy companies that search for, drill, and produce oil and gas. Well-known names in the fund include Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum. Because the ETF spreads money fairly evenly across many energy firms, it offers a simple way to bet on the oil and gas sector for potential growth and diversification. However, it can be very volatile and will rise or fall with oil and gas prices and overall energy market conditions.

How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is a sector-focused ETF, which typically requires more active management compared to broad market index funds. However, it provides specialized exposure to the energy sector, particularly oil and gas companies.

What would affect this ETF?The XOP ETF could benefit from rising global energy demand and higher oil and gas prices, driven by economic growth or geopolitical tensions that disrupt supply chains. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, advancements in renewable energy, or declining oil prices due to reduced demand or oversupply. Its focus on U.S.-based energy companies and balanced exposure across holdings provides diversification but makes it sensitive to domestic energy policies and market conditions.

XOP Top 10 Holdings

XOP is riding a strong wave in U.S. energy, with refiners like Marathon Petroleum, Valero, HF Sinclair, and Phillips 66 doing much of the heavy lifting as their shares trend higher on solid cash flows and upbeat earnings. PBF Energy is more of a wild card, with mixed signals that can add volatility to the mix. Big integrated names Exxon Mobil and Chevron are steady anchors, rising but not sprinting. A few exploration names like Devon and EOG are losing a bit of steam, reminding investors this is a pure-play, U.S.-focused oil and gas story, not a diversified market basket.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
VLO	Valero Energy	2.87%	$107.17M	$111.60B	131.17%	69 Neutral
PBF	PBF Energy	2.83%	$105.72M	$9.12B	173.37%	55 Neutral
XOM	Exxon Mobil	2.83%	$105.63M	$669.21B	46.24%	74 Outperform
MPC	Marathon Petroleum	2.83%	$105.52M	$111.04B	105.69%	66 Neutral
DINO	HF Sinclair Corporation	2.81%	$104.98M	$19.08B	106.42%	68 Neutral
PSX	Phillips 66	2.79%	$104.00M	$101.87B	89.20%	73 Outperform
CVX	Chevron	2.76%	$102.78M	$403.47B	32.11%	71 Outperform
DVN	Devon Energy	2.74%	$102.29M	$50.64B	34.15%	79 Outperform
EOG	EOG Resources	2.74%	$102.14M	$72.26B	23.81%	78 Outperform
PARR	Par Pacific Holdings	2.71%	$101.28M	$4.09B	144.91%	67 Neutral

XOP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

182.54

Positive

100DMA

172.93

Positive

200DMA

162.36

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

-0.76

Positive

RSI

50.37

Neutral

STOCH

54.26

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.66, equal to the 50-day MA of 182.54, and equal to the 200-day MA of 162.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOP.

XOP Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
XOP	―	―	$4.01B	0.35%	67 Neutral
MLPX	―	―	$3.42B	0.45%	71 Outperform
MLPA	―	―	$2.26B	0.77%	72 Outperform
FENY	―	―	$2.09B	0.08%	72 Outperform
IYE	―	―	$1.64B	0.37%	73 Outperform
FTXN	―	―	$1.11B	0.60%	72 Outperform

Performance Comparison

XOP

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

184.93

53.46

40.66%

MLPX

Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF

―

MLPA

Global X MLP ETF

―

FENY

Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF

―

IYE

iShares U.S. Energy ETF

―

FTXN

First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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