VDE - ETF AI Analysis
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Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)
VDE, the Vanguard Energy ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to its heavy exposure to strong, diversified energy leaders like Exxon Mobil and Chevron, which bring robust financial health, cash generation, and strategic growth initiatives to the portfolio. Additional support comes from well-run producers and infrastructure names such as ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, and Schlumberger, which add stable cash flow and positive earnings trends, though some holdings with weaker momentum, higher leverage, or valuation concerns (like Marathon Petroleum and Kinder Morgan) modestly weigh on the fund. The main risk factor is its concentrated focus in the energy sector, meaning performance is closely tied to energy prices and industry cycles.
VDE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- AUM
- 11.63B
- Region
- North America
- Expense Ratio
- 0.09%
- Beta
- 0.23
- Issuer
- Vanguard
- Inception Date
- Sep 23, 2004
- Dividend Yield
- 2.09%
- Asset Class
- Equity
- Index Tracked
- MSCI US IMI 25/50 Energy
VDE Summary
Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) is a fund that follows the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Energy index, giving you broad exposure to U.S. energy companies. It mainly holds large oil and gas firms, along with some other energy-related businesses. Well-known names in the fund include Exxon Mobil and Chevron. Someone might invest in VDE to bet on the long-term demand for energy and to add sector diversification to a stock portfolio. A key risk is that energy prices and company profits can be very volatile, so the value of this ETF can rise and fall sharply with the energy market.
How much will it cost me?
This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.09%, which means you’ll pay about $0.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s lower than the average ETF because it’s a passively managed index fund that tracks the MSCI US IMI 25/50 Energy index, keeping costs down.
What would affect this ETF?
VDE is heavily focused on U.S. energy companies like Exxon Mobil and Chevron, so it could benefit if oil and gas prices rise, global energy demand grows, or regulations remain supportive of traditional energy production. On the other hand, it could be hurt by falling energy prices, slower economic growth, higher interest rates that pressure stock valuations, or stricter environmental rules and a faster shift toward renewables that challenge the long‑term outlook for fossil fuel producers.
VDE Top 10 Holdings
VDE is essentially a pure play on U.S. energy, with the heavyweights Exxon Mobil and Chevron steering the ship. Both have been rising steadily this year, giving the fund a solid backbone as oil prices and cash flows stay supportive. ConocoPhillips and EOG Resources add more upstream punch, also trending higher and reinforcing the fund’s momentum. On the refining side, Marathon Petroleum and Valero have been strong over the year but more mixed lately, occasionally losing steam and tempering gains. Overall, this is a concentrated bet on traditional U.S. oil and gas leadership.
| Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 XOM | Exxon Mobil | 22.88% | $2.91B | $769.96B | 63.27% | 74Outperform |
 CVX | Chevron | 14.42% | $1.83B | $465.33B | 53.41% | 71Outperform |
 COP | Conocophillips | 5.87% | $746.90M | $185.04B | 74.76% | 78Outperform |
 MPC | Marathon Petroleum | 4.46% | $567.87M | $124.89B | 127.33% | 66Neutral |
 VLO | Valero Energy | 4.45% | $566.34M | $111.46B | 134.96% | 69Neutral |
 PSX | Phillips 66 | 3.94% | $500.93M | $110.32B | 106.34% | 73Outperform |
 WMB | Williams Co | 3.16% | $401.79M | $90.94B | 29.04% | 76Outperform |
 EOG | EOG Resources | 2.85% | $362.39M | $86.83B | 56.97% | 78Outperform |
 SLB | SLB | 2.83% | $359.70M | $79.32B | 47.96% | 75Outperform |
 KMI | Kinder Morgan | 2.22% | $283.02M | $75.45B | 29.87% | 68Neutral |
VDE Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VDE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 195.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.39, above the 50-day MA of 181.58, and above the 200-day MA of 164.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VDE.
VDE Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
| Name | Price | Price Target | AUM | Expense Ratio | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VDE | $195.46 | $211.00(7.95% Upside) | $11.63B | 0.09% | 72Outperform |
 VGT | $116.96 | $159.38(36.27% Upside) | $151.55B | 0.09% | 74Outperform |
 XLK | $179.51 | $240.95(34.23% Upside) | $124.76B | 0.08% | 75Outperform |
 XLF | $56.51 | $63.90(13.08% Upside) | $53.97B | 0.08% | 72Outperform |
 XLE | $70.02 | $72.95(4.18% Upside) | $45.53B | 0.08% | 73Outperform |
 AMLP | $54.06 | $59.11(9.35% Upside) | $12.99B | 1.01% | 78Outperform |
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VDE | Vanguard Energy ETF | 195.46 | 74.14 | 61.11% | |
| VGT | Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 116.96 | 17.90 | 18.07% | |
| XLK | Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund | 179.51 | 29.32 | 19.53% | |
| XLF | Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 56.51 | 5.17 | 10.07% | |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund | 70.02 | 27.17 | 63.41% | |
| AMLP | Alerian MLP ETF | 54.06 | 10.99 | 25.52% |
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.