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FTXR - ETF AI Analysis

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FTXR

First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF (FTXR)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:―
FTXR, the First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF, has a solid overall rating driven by strong holdings like Delta Air Lines and FedEx, which show robust earnings, healthy revenue growth, and generally positive technical trends. Tesla, GM, and Ford also add strength through their roles in electric and traditional vehicles, though high leverage, cash flow concerns, and valuation issues across several holdings—especially American Airlines and some highly indebted names—introduce risk. The main risk factor is the fund’s concentration in transportation companies, where debt levels, operational challenges, and sector-specific volatility can weigh on performance.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered solid gains so far this year and in recent months, showing positive momentum for investors.
Leading Industrial and Transportation Names
Several major holdings like Union Pacific, United Rentals, CSX, and Delta Air Lines have shown strong performance, helping support the fund’s returns.
Focused but Still Sector-Diversified
While centered on transportation, the fund spreads its assets across industrial and consumer cyclical companies, reducing reliance on just one type of business.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s fees are on the higher side for an ETF, which can slowly eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.
Concentration in a Single Country
Almost all of the ETF’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market weakens.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some large positions such as Tesla and General Motors have shown weaker or negative performance, which can drag on the fund despite its stronger names.

FTXR vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTXR Summary

FTXR is the First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF, which follows the Nasdaq US Smart Transportation Index. It invests in U.S. transportation-related companies, including airlines, railroads, trucking, delivery services, and car makers. Well-known holdings include Union Pacific, Ford, General Motors, UPS, and Tesla, giving you a broad mix of businesses that move people and goods. Someone might invest in FTXR to get focused exposure to the transportation theme and diversify beyond just tech or broad market funds. A key risk is that transportation stocks can be very sensitive to the economy, fuel prices, and market ups and downs.
How much will it cost me?The First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF (FTXR) has an expense ratio of 0.6%, meaning you’ll pay $6 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, focusing on specific transportation companies rather than tracking a broad index.
What would affect this ETF?The First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF (FTXR) could benefit from trends like increased demand for electric vehicles and advancements in autonomous driving technologies, as well as economic growth driving transportation and logistics needs. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can increase borrowing costs for companies, or economic slowdowns that reduce consumer and business spending on transportation. Regulatory changes affecting emissions or labor in the transportation sector could also impact its performance.

FTXR Top 10 Holdings

FTXR is essentially a U.S. transportation play, with the story driven by a tug-of-war between autos, rails, airlines, and logistics. Tesla has been losing steam this year, while Ford and FedEx have also been lagging, acting as a brake on returns. On the brighter side, Union Pacific and CSX have been steady to rising, helping keep the fund on track, and Delta is adding lift with strong recent momentum. Overall, the ETF is concentrated in U.S. industrial and consumer transportation names, making it a focused bet on how America moves people and goods.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Tesla8.09%$14.14M$1.43T-19.26%
73
Outperform
General Motors7.96%$13.91M$73.41B43.82%
73
Outperform
Union Pacific7.88%$13.77M$171.52B27.87%
72
Outperform
Ford Motor7.25%$12.67M$49.09B4.28%
71
Outperform
FedEx6.81%$11.91M$69.95B23.44%
79
Outperform
United Rentals4.17%$7.29M$65.20B5.02%
73
Outperform
Delta Air Lines4.10%$7.17M$51.37B29.27%
80
Outperform
CSX3.96%$6.92M$90.20B35.29%
78
Outperform
United Parcel3.85%$6.73M$83.23B12.81%
72
Outperform
United Airlines Holdings3.85%$6.72M$32.88B-3.07%
74
Outperform

FTXR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price―
Price Trends
50DMA
42.83
Negative
100DMA
43.78
Negative
200DMA
41.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
41.78
Neutral
STOCH
43.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTXR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.51, equal to the 50-day MA of 42.83, and equal to the 200-day MA of 41.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FTXR.

FTXR Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
――$168.42M0.60%
72
Outperform
――$729.01M0.65%
63
Neutral
――$700.18M0.40%
70
Outperform
――$675.87M0.60%
71
Outperform
――$330.93M0.60%
70
Outperform
――$287.86M0.35%
64
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTXR
First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF
41.15
6.15
17.57%
MISL
First Trust Indxx Aerospace & Defense ETF
―
―
―
RSPN
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industrials ETF
―
―
―
FXR
First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX Fund
―
―
―
PRN
Invesco DWA Industrials Momentum ETF
―
―
―
XTN
SPDR S&P Transportation ETF
―
―
―
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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