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Ford Motor (F)
NYSE:F
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Ford Motor
(NYSE:F)
77Outperform
Positive Factors
Earnings
Q1 EBIT was better than expected due to favorable pricing, improved materials costs, and warranty benefits.
Financial Performance
Ford Credit exceeded expectations with earnings before tax of $0.58 billion, supported by positive derivative market valuation.
Strategic Positioning
Ford is well-positioned to capitalize on its large US manufacturing footprint, which should enable the automaker to gain market share.
Negative Factors
Electric Vehicles Strategy
There is still no visibility on strategy and progress for electric vehicles and software development vehicles after cancellation of the FNV4 program.
Market Demand
Management seemed cautious about market demand risks, indicating concerns about weaker demand in the second half of the year.
Tariffs
A $200 million tariff incurred in Q1 had a negative impact on the company's performance.
Ford Motor (F) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)
Market Cap
$42.35B
Dividend Yield7.04%
Average Volume (3M)129.40M
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.5
Beta (1Y)0.92
Revenue Growth3.03%
EPS Growth28.54%
CountryUS
Employees170,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength77
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.14
Shares Outstanding3,905,696,800
10 Day Avg. Volume101,696,205
30 Day Avg. Volume129,399,970
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)0.93
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio6.04
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.22
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.25
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.46
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.82
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$9.59Price Target Upside-10.79% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering17
Ford Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionFord Motor Company is a global automotive leader headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan. Founded in 1903, Ford designs, manufactures, markets, and services a full line of Ford trucks, utility vehicles, cars, and luxury vehicles under the Lincoln brand. The company operates across various sectors, including automotive, mobility, and Ford Credit. It is known for its iconic brands and innovative technology, focusing on producing fuel-efficient vehicles and expanding its electric vehicle offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyFord Motor Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles under its Ford and Lincoln brands. The company earns money by manufacturing and selling cars, trucks, and SUVs to dealerships and consumers worldwide. Additionally, Ford Credit, the company's financial services division, contributes to revenue by offering financing products and services to dealerships and retail customers. Ford also benefits from partnerships and strategic alliances, particularly in technology and electric vehicle development, which enhance its market position and drive future growth.
Ford Motor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Wholesale Vehicles Sales
Measures the overall volume of vehicles sold to wholesalers, reflecting Ford's manufacturing output and market demand.
Measures the overall volume of vehicles sold to wholesalers, reflecting Ford's manufacturing output and market demand.
Data provided by:
Main Street Data
Main Street DataFord Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Ford Motor Company presents strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. Despite substantial leverage, the company's profitability and equity levels remain moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to growth and risk.Income Statement
Ford's income statement reflects solid revenue growth with a 5.0% increase from 2023 to 2024, following a significant rebound from 2022. The gross profit margin improved to 14.4% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 3.2%, suggesting room for enhancing profitability. The company's EBIT margin of 2.8% and consistent EBITDA margins highlight operational efficiency, albeit with some volatility due to industry cycles.75
Positive
Balance Sheet
Ford's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.54, reflecting substantial leverage, which could be risky in economic downturns. The return on equity (ROE) is at a moderate 13.1%, indicating decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. With an equity ratio of 15.7%, Ford maintains a modest proportion of equity financing, which could affect financial flexibility.68
Positive
Cash Flow
Ford's cash flow statement demonstrates strong free cash flow in 2024, showing a significant recovery from 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.62 indicates robust cash generation from core operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.62 suggests effective cash management, supporting potential reinvestment and debt servicing.80
Positive
| Breakdown | ||||
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | |||
| 184.99B | 176.19B | 158.06B | 136.34B | 127.14B | Gross Profit |
| 26.56B | 16.16B | 23.66B | 21.69B | 14.39B | EBIT |
| 5.22B | 5.46B | 12.40B | 17.38B | 8.82B | EBITDA |
| 14.21B | 11.82B | 4.74B | 25.54B | 7.99B | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| 5.88B | 4.35B | -2.15B | 17.94B | -1.28B |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | |||
| 38.35B | 40.17B | 44.07B | 49.59B | 49.96B | Total Assets |
| 285.20B | 273.31B | 255.88B | 257.04B | 267.26B | Total Debt |
| 160.86B | 151.11B | 140.47B | 139.49B | 163.00B | Net Debt |
| 137.93B | 126.25B | 115.34B | 118.94B | 137.75B | Total Liabilities |
| 240.34B | 230.51B | 212.72B | 208.41B | 236.45B | Stockholders Equity |
| 44.84B | 42.77B | 43.24B | 48.52B | 30.69B |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | |||
| 6.74B | 6.68B | -13.00M | 9.56B | 18.53B | Operating Cash Flow |
| 15.42B | 14.92B | 6.85B | 15.79B | 24.27B | Investing Cash Flow |
| -24.37B | -17.63B | -4.35B | 2.75B | -18.61B | Financing Cash Flow |
| 7.49B | 2.58B | 2.51B | -23.50B | 2.31B |
Ford Motor Technical Analysis
Positive
10.75
Price Trends
9.78
Positive
9.57
Positive
9.84
Positive
Market Momentum
0.28
Negative
67.66
Neutral
88.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For F, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.06, above the 50-day MA of 9.78, and above the 200-day MA of 9.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for F.
Ford Motor Risk Analysis
Ford Motor disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ford Motor reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Ford Motor Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $42.35B | 8.53 | 11.47% | 7.04% | 3.03% | 28.54% | |
76 Outperform | $28.96B | 27.21 | 12.29% | ― | 15.50% | -32.48% | |
75 Outperform | $254.26B | 8.22 | 13.36% | 2.60% | -0.59% | 7.56% | |
74 Outperform | $48.52B | 8.36 | 6.54% | 4.10% | 4.37% | 6.93% | |
74 Outperform | $1.07T | 191.20 | 9.16% | ― | 1.03% | -53.71% | |
71 Outperform | $48.37B | 7.25 | 8.88% | 0.95% | 7.76% | -14.17% | |
61 Neutral | $6.98B | 11.29 | 2.93% | 3.90% | 2.60% | -21.72% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
F
Ford Motor
10.75
-0.63
-5.54%
GM
General Motors
50.12
4.81
10.62%
HMC
Honda Motor Company
28.82
-3.13
-9.80%
TSLA
Tesla Motors
342.82
165.36
93.18%
TM
Toyota Motor
183.45
-36.31
-16.52%
LI
Li Auto
28.55
3.66
14.70%
Ford Motor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: 7.29%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable successes in cost reductions, market share growth, and financial performance. However, significant concerns about tariff impacts and policy uncertainties have led to the suspension of full-year guidance.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cost and Quality Improvements
Ford is on track to deliver $1 billion in net cost reductions this year, excluding tariff impacts. They have made significant progress in closing the competitive cost gap and improving production stability.
Record Pickup Sales and Market Share Growth
Ford had its best first-quarter US pickup sales in over 20 years and delivered sequential share growth in its home market.
Positive Financial Performance
Ford delivered $1 billion in EBIT, exceeding expectations of roughly breakeven for the quarter, driven by cost improvements and strong net pricing in North America.
Ford Pro Commercial Business Growth
Ford Pro grew its commercial brand leadership in Europe, with a strong market share of over 40% in the US Class 1 to Class 7 truck and van market. Software subscriptions rose by 20% year-over-year.
Improved Vehicle Dependability
Ford and Lincoln were the most improved brands in J.D. Power’s 2025 US Vehicle Dependability Study.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Financial Impact
Ford estimates a gross adverse EBIT impact of $2.5 billion due to tariffs, with a net adverse EBIT impact of $1.5 billion for the full year 2025.
Suspension of Full-Year Guidance
Due to material tariff-related near-term risks and potential market dynamics, Ford has suspended its guidance for the full year 2025.
Uncertainty from Policy and Competitive Dynamics
Ford is facing uncertainty related to future tariff policies, competitive responses, and potential industry-wide supply-chain disruptions.
Company Guidance
During Ford Motor Company's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key financial metrics, despite the significant impact of tariffs. Ford initially projected a full-year EBIT within the range of $7 billion to $8.5 billion but had to suspend this guidance due to tariff-related uncertainties. The company estimated a gross adverse EBIT impact of $2.5 billion from tariffs, with a net impact of $1.5 billion after implementing $1 billion in offsetting recovery actions. These offsets involved market equation optimization and cost mitigation strategies. Ford achieved $1 billion in EBIT for the quarter, exceeding expectations. The company also reported a 5% year-over-year decrease in revenue to $41 billion, attributed to planned downtime for product launches and inventory rebalancing. Ford's financial position remained robust, with over $27 billion in cash and $45 billion in liquidity as of March 31st, supported by renewed $18 billion credit facilities. The company plans to update its guidance during the Q2 earnings call.Ford Motor Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ford Motor Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
May 13, 2025
On May 7, 2025, Ford Motor Company appointed Kyle Crockett as Chief Accounting Officer, effective after the filing of its Quarterly Report for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. Crockett, previously with Carrier Global Corporation, will oversee Ford’s accounting and financial reporting. The Board approved a comprehensive compensation package for Crockett, including a base salary, performance bonus, stock awards, and a sign-on bonus. Additionally, Ford held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 8, 2025, where several proposals were voted on, including the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation. Notably, a proposal on reporting supply chain emissions and net zero goals was rejected.
The most recent analyst rating on (F) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ford Motor stock, see the F Stock Forecast page.
Spark’s Take on F Stock
According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, F is a Outperform.
Ford’s strong technical indicators and attractive valuation contribute positively to its overall stock score. Despite challenges from tariffs and suspended guidance affecting earnings sentiment, the company demonstrates robust financial performance and market position. Continued focus on cost management and product innovation could further enhance its market value.
To see Spark’s full report on F stock, click here.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.