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Honda Motor Company (HMC)
NYSE:HMC

Honda Motor Company (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

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Honda Motor Company

(NYSE:HMC)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
Honda Motor Company has a robust financial position with growing revenues and a solid balance sheet, but cash flow challenges need addressing. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, but potential overbought conditions should be monitored. Attractive valuation metrics provide upside potential, while the mixed earnings call performance suggests some caution is warranted, especially regarding the automobile sector. Overall, Honda is positioned well, though attention to cash flow improvement and automobile sales recovery is critical.

Honda Motor Company (HMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Honda Motor Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHonda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, power products, and other products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Life Creation and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Life Creation and Other Businesses segment manufactures and sells power products, such as general purpose engines, generators, water pumps, lawn mowers, riding mowers, robotic mowers, brush cutters, tillers, snow blowers, outboard marine engines, walking assist devices, and portable battery inverter power sources. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sale services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyHonda Motor Company generates revenue through multiple streams across its diverse product lines. The automotive segment is the largest revenue contributor, where Honda designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of vehicles, including sedans, SUVs, and hybrid models. The motorcycle segment also plays a significant role, with Honda being a global leader in motorcycle manufacturing, offering models for various uses from commuter bikes to high-performance motorcycles. Additionally, Honda's power products division sells equipment like generators, lawn mowers, and outboard motors. The company also gains revenue through its financial services, which provide financing and leasing options for its automotive and motorcycle customers. Key partnerships, such as joint ventures in automotive manufacturing and technology collaborations, further enhance Honda's revenue potential and market reach.

Honda Motor Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows revenue contributions from each business area, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and providing insight into the company's strategic focus and market positioning.
Chart InsightsHonda's motorcycle segment is experiencing robust growth, achieving record highs in unit sales and operating profit margins, driven by strong demand and strategic positioning. In contrast, the automobile segment faces challenges, particularly in China and ASEAN, with declining unit sales and tariff impacts. However, hybrid EV sales are expanding, suggesting a strategic pivot towards electrification. Financial services and power products show steady performance, but the overall outlook is cautious due to tariff policies and electrification strategy challenges, impacting profitability and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Honda Motor Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call depicted a mixed performance for Honda, with notable achievements in the motorcycle segment and hybrid EV sales being overshadowed by challenges in the automobile sector, significant tariff impacts, and reduced profitability. Despite the company's efforts to enhance shareholder returns and adjust strategies, the challenges ahead, particularly in the electrification strategy and tariff impacts, create a cautious outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Highs in Motorcycle Segment
The motorcycle business achieved record highs in unit sales, operating profit, and operating profit margin, with plans to sell 21.3 million units in the next fiscal year, indicating a positive year-on-year increase.
Strong Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow post R&D adjustments remained high at JPY 2.800 trillion, comparable to the previous fiscal year.
Introduction of Dividend on Equity (DOE) Policy
Honda announced a change in dividend policy to improve capital efficiency, with an annual dividend increase from JPY 68 to JPY 70 per share.
Hybrid EV Sales Growth
Hybrid EV sales expanded, with improved profitability in North America and plans to introduce next-generation HEV models to enhance performance and cost efficiency.
Negative Updates
Decline in Automobile Sales
Automobile business saw a decline in unit sales, especially in China and ASEAN, with a significant impact from increased North American incentives for EVs.
Impact of Tariff Policies
The impact of tariff policies is expected to be significant, with an estimated JPY 650 billion impact, affecting the financial outlook and investment plans.
Reduced Profitability
Operating profit was JPY 1.213.4 trillion, down JPY 168.4 billion from the previous period. The net profit attributable to the owner of the parent decreased by JPY 271.3 billion.
Challenges in Electrification Strategy
Due to the slowing growth of the EV market in North America, Honda postponed large-scale investments in Canada for at least two years.
Company Guidance
During Honda's financial results press conference for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, the company reported an operating profit of JPY 1.213.4 trillion, despite a one-time accounting change impacting automobile product warranty provisions. Excluding this expense, the operating profit was JPY 1.341 trillion. The motorcycle business achieved record highs in unit sales and operating profit margin, while the automobile business faced a decline in unit sales primarily in China and ASEAN, although hybrid EV sales expanded. Operating cash flow post-R&D adjustments was JPY 2.800 trillion. Looking forward to FYE March 2026, Honda anticipates a minimum operating profit of JPY 500 billion and net profit of JPY 250 billion, with the motorcycle business aiming to sell 21.3 million units. The company plans to increase its annual dividend to JPY 70 per share and has repurchased JPY 1.1 trillion of its shares. Honda also acknowledged the impact of tariff policies and is implementing recovery measures, including optimizing production allocation and enhancing cooperation with stakeholders. The company remains committed to maintaining a resilient business portfolio despite uncertainties in the business environment.

Honda Motor Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Honda Motor Company exhibits a strong financial position with increasing revenues, robust profitability margins, and a solid balance sheet with no debt. However, cash flow challenges are a concern, particularly the negative free cash flow in the latest period, which could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Honda Motor Company has shown solid revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of ¥21.76 trillion, a significant increase from previous years. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 21.5%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin of 4.8% and EBIT margin of 6.6% in TTM highlight moderate profitability. However, the revenue growth rate from the previous annual period to TTM is around 6.5%, which, while positive, indicates a deceleration in growth. The EBITDA margin remains robust at 13.8%.
Balance Sheet
81
Very Positive
Honda's balance sheet is strong with total assets at ¥31.37 trillion and stockholders' equity at ¥13.07 trillion, giving an equity ratio of 41.7%, which suggests a solid financial structure. The company has managed to reduce its total debt to zero in the latest TTM, eliminating leverage risk. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 8.0% in TTM, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profit. The absence of debt in the latest period greatly enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow analysis for Honda shows a decline in free cash flow (FCF) to a negative ¥221.39 billion in TTM from positive values previously, indicating challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.46 in TTM, suggesting that cash earnings are not fully translating into cash flow. Free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which is concerning and warrants attention for future cash management.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.76T20.43T16.91T14.55T13.17T14.93T
Gross Profit
4.68T4.26T3.33T2.98T2.73T3.08T
EBIT
1.45T1.38T839.40B871.23B660.21B633.64B
EBITDA
3.01T3.17T2.40T2.36T2.08T2.28T
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.04T1.11T651.42B707.07B657.42B455.75B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.22T5.18T4.07T3.89T3.05T2.86T
Total Assets
31.37T29.77T24.67T23.97T21.92T20.46T
Total Debt
0.0010.08T7.67T8.10T7.72T7.47T
Net Debt
-4.96T5.13T3.86T4.43T4.96T4.80T
Total Liabilities
18.00T16.77T13.12T13.20T12.55T12.18T
Stockholders Equity
13.07T12.70T11.23T10.47T9.08T8.01T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-221.39B138.61B1.50T1.23T521.24B378.16B
Operating Cash Flow
478.88B747.28B2.13T1.68T1.07T979.41B
Investing Cash Flow
-962.62B-867.27B-678.06B-376.06B-796.88B-619.48B
Financing Cash Flow
814.79B918.65B-1.47T-615.72B-283.98B-87.41B

Honda Motor Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.14
Price Trends
50DMA
29.57
Negative
100DMA
28.58
Positive
200DMA
28.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
46.21
Neutral
STOCH
42.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.55, below the 50-day MA of 29.57, and above the 200-day MA of 28.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HMC.

Honda Motor Company Risk Analysis

Honda Motor Company disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Honda Motor Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Honda Motor Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FF
77
Outperform
$42.11B8.4911.47%5.67%3.03%28.54%
TMTM
75
Outperform
$222.77B7.3113.36%3.57%-0.59%7.56%
HMHMC
74
Outperform
$46.99B8.286.54%3.77%4.37%6.93%
LILI
74
Outperform
$26.05B24.6412.22%10.28%-29.75%
GMGM
72
Outperform
$46.34B6.948.88%1.24%7.76%-14.17%
65
Neutral
€19.93B12.397.39%3.61%-0.05%-38.16%
53
Neutral
$17.55B-15.52%50.45%49.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HMC
Honda Motor Company
29.14
-1.44
-4.71%
F
Ford Motor
10.59
-0.75
-6.61%
GM
General Motors
48.20
0.59
1.24%
TM
Toyota Motor
172.40
-26.58
-13.36%
LI
Li Auto
26.01
7.49
40.44%
XPEV
XPeng, Inc. ADR
18.31
10.39
131.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.