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GCAD

Gabelli Commercial Aerospace & Defense ETF (GCAD)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:$53.00â–²(5.70% Upside)

GCAD, the Gabelli Commercial Aerospace & Defense ETF, has a solid overall rating supported by strong holdings like Northrop Grumman, RTX, Hexcel, and Lockheed Martin, which benefit from robust backlogs, international growth, and positive earnings outlooks. However, weaker names such as Boeing, Albany International, and Ducommun, which face profitability, valuation, and operational challenges, weigh on the fund’s score. The main risk factor is the ETF’s concentrated exposure to the aerospace and defense sector, which can make performance more sensitive to industry-specific issues like government spending, program delays, and supply chain disruptions.

Positive Factors
Strong Performance from Several Top HoldingsA number of the largest positions, such as Ducommun, Moog, Albany International, and Lockheed Martin, have shown strong gains this year, helping support the ETF’s overall results.
Focused Exposure to Aerospace and Defense IndustrialsMost of the fund is invested in industrial companies tied to commercial aerospace and defense, giving investors targeted exposure to this specific theme.
Low Expense RatioThe ETF charges relatively low annual fees, which helps investors keep more of any returns generated by the portfolio.
Negative Factors
Recent Short-Term Performance WeaknessThe fund has experienced weak returns over the past one and three months, which may signal near-term pressure on its holdings.
High Concentration in a Single SectorWith most assets in the industrials sector, the ETF is heavily exposed to sector-specific risks if aerospace and defense companies struggle.
Mixed Results Among Top HoldingsSeveral major positions, including Boeing, L3Harris Technologies, Honeywell Aerospace, and Northrop Grumman, have shown lagging performance this year, which can weigh on the fund’s overall momentum.

GCAD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%SPY+14.30%GCAD+15.14%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AUM
44.61M
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.10%
Beta
0.91
Issuer
Gabelli
Inception Date
Jan 03, 2023
Dividend Yield
1.91%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
No Underlying Index

GCAD Summary

GCAD is the Gabelli Commercial Aerospace & Defense ETF, focused on companies tied to airplanes, defense systems, and related industrial technology rather than following a broad market index. It mainly invests in U.S. industrial firms, including well-known names like Boeing and Lockheed Martin, along with other aerospace and defense suppliers. Someone might consider GCAD if they want targeted exposure to the long-term growth of air travel, global security spending, and advanced aerospace technology, while still holding a mix of different companies in the sector. A key risk is that it is heavily concentrated in aerospace and defense, so its value can rise or fall sharply with that industry.

How much will it cost me?

GCAD has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which means you’ll pay about $1 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is lower than the average ETF because it’s relatively lean for a specialized, actively managed fund focused on the aerospace and defense sector.

What would affect this ETF?

GCAD could benefit from rising global defense budgets, increased air travel, and ongoing innovation in aerospace technology, which would support its U.S.-focused industrial holdings like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and other major defense contractors. On the downside, cuts to government defense spending, delays or safety issues in commercial aircraft programs, higher interest rates that pressure industrial companies, or stricter regulations on defense and aviation could weigh on the ETF’s future performance.

GCAD Top 10 Holdings

GCAD is essentially a bet on U.S. aerospace and defense, with heavy exposure to industrial heavyweights. Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and RTX have been rising or steady, giving the fund a solid backbone as defense spending stays robust. On the flip side, Boeing has been lagging and feels like it’s flying through turbulence, weighing on overall returns. Names like Moog and Hexcel show more mixed momentum, while Albany International and Ducommun add niche exposure but aren’t big performance drivers. Overall, this is a concentrated, U.S.-centric play on commercial aerospace and defense.

GCAD top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
AINAINAlbany International6.82%$2.98M$1.96B50.20%56Neutral
LHXLHXL3Harris Technologies5.52%$2.41M$51.38B-8.32%70Neutral
LMTLMTLockheed Martin5.48%$2.39M$139.32B33.47%70Outperform
HONAHONAHoneywell Aerospace5.01%$2.19M$52.78B-15.23%――
MOG.AMOG.AMoog4.98%$2.17M$10.85B71.46%73Outperform
RTXRTXRTX4.74%$2.07M$270.25B12.31%74Outperform
DCODCODucommun4.69%$2.05M$2.20B49.05%58Neutral
BABABoeing4.52%$1.97M$137.39B-10.59%54Neutral
NOCNOCNorthrop Grumman4.19%$1.83M$77.94B-2.78%76Outperform
HXLHXLHexcel4.15%$1.81M$6.19B18.45%73Outperform

GCAD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price50.14

Price Trends

50DMA49.10Positive
100DMA52.10Negative
200DMA52.42Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.04Negative
RSI55.68Neutral
STOCH79.30Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.76, above the 50-day MA of 49.10, and below the 200-day MA of 52.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GCAD.

GCAD Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

GCAD against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
GCADGCAD$50.14$53.00(5.70% Upside)$44.61M0.10%63Neutral
PSRPSR$104.45$116.61(11.64% Upside)$59.58M0.35%69Neutral
HVACHVAC$29.82$42.23(41.61% Upside)$10.87M0.99%69Neutral
FLDZFLDZ$27.67$37.18(34.35% Upside)$6.85M0.40%59Neutral
AMMOAMMO$22.13$29.64(33.93% Upside)$2.45M0.75%56Neutral
TRUITRUI$24.43$28.82(17.93% Upside)$241.05K0.10%71Outperform

Performance Comparison

0%20%GCADPSRHVACFLDZAMMOTRUIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GCAD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GCADGabelli Commercial Aerospace & Defense ETF50.146.2714.30%
PSRInvesco Active U.S. Real Estate Fund104.4515.5017.43%
HVACAdvisorShares HVAC and Industrials ETF29.82-1.51-4.83%
FLDZRiverNorth Volition America Patriot ETF27.67-0.60-2.11%
AMMOVistaShares Defense Supercycle ETF22.13-2.31-9.44%
TRUIVanEck Industrials TruSector ETF24.43-0.38-1.52%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.