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Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
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Howmet Aerospace (HWM) AI Stock Analysis

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HWM

Howmet Aerospace

(NYSE:HWM)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$225.00
▲(14.11% Upside)
Howmet Aerospace's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The company's increased guidance and strategic focus on high-margin areas further enhance its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Howmet's products and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management enhances financial flexibility, allowing for shareholder returns and strategic investments, bolstering future growth.
Market Expansion
Expanding in defense and industrial markets diversifies revenue streams and reduces reliance on any single sector, strengthening long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Commercial Transportation Challenges
Declines in commercial transportation revenue highlight sector-specific challenges, potentially impacting overall growth if trends persist.
Supply Chain Risks
Supply chain constraints can disrupt production and delivery schedules, affecting Howmet's ability to meet demand and maintain margins.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially impacting profitability if not addressed.

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Howmet Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHowmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is a global leader in advanced aerospace and defense technologies, specializing in innovative engineered solutions for various sectors, including commercial aerospace, defense, and industrial markets. The company designs and manufactures high-performance products such as aerospace fasteners, castings, and engineered components, primarily focusing on lightweight materials and advanced manufacturing techniques to enhance fuel efficiency and performance in aircraft and other applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyHowmet Aerospace generates revenue primarily through the sale of its aerospace and defense products. Key revenue streams include the production of aerospace fasteners, forged and cast components, and other engineered solutions that cater to major aircraft manufacturers and defense contractors. The company has established significant partnerships with leading industry players, which enables it to secure long-term contracts and maintain a steady flow of orders. Additionally, Howmet benefits from ongoing investments in research and development, focusing on new materials and manufacturing processes that meet the evolving needs of the aerospace sector, thereby enhancing its competitive edge and driving revenue growth.

Howmet Aerospace Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA Margin by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA Margin by Segment
Shows the efficiency of each business segment in converting revenue into profit, helping to identify strong performers and potential areas for improvement.
Chart InsightsHowmet Aerospace's Engine Products and Fastening Systems segments have shown significant margin improvements, reflecting strategic efficiencies and strong demand. Engineered Structures also posted a notable recovery, aligning with the earnings call highlighting record growth in defense aerospace. However, the Forged Wheels segment's stable margins, despite commercial transportation challenges, suggest resilience amid market pressures. The company's upward revision of full-year guidance underscores confidence in sustained growth, driven by robust performance in aerospace and industrial gas turbines, despite some destocking issues in commercial aerospace.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Howmet Aerospace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with significant revenue growth, increased cash flow, and positive market expansions in defense and industrial sectors. Despite challenges in commercial transportation and potential supply chain risks, the overall financial performance and increased guidance suggest a favorable outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Revenue growth increased 9% year-over-year to $2.53 billion, exceeding the high end of guidance. EBITDA margins rose by 300 basis points to 28.7%.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Free cash flow was $344 million, enabling $175 million in share repurchases and a 20% increase in common stock dividend to $0.12 per quarter.
Defense and Industrial Market Expansion
Defense aerospace revenue reached a record $352 million, up 21%. Industrial and other markets grew by 17%, driven by oil and gas (up 26%) and IGT (up 25%).
Engine Products Segment Performance
Engine Products delivered record revenue of $1.056 billion, up 13%, with an EBITDA margin of 33%.
Positive Outlook and Increased Guidance
Guidance for the full year has increased, with projected revenue at $8.13 billion, EBITDA at $2.32 billion, and free cash flow at $1.225 billion.
Negative Updates
Commercial Transportation Challenges
Commercial transportation revenue was down 4% in Q2, with wheels volume down 11% year-over-year.
Potential Inventory and Supply Chain Risks
Concerns about supply chain constraints, particularly in narrow-body engines, and destocking impact from Boeing.
Company Guidance
During the Howmet Aerospace Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance with a revenue increase of 9% year-over-year, reaching $2.53 billion, surpassing the high end of guidance. EBITDA margins were strong at 28.7%, a 300 basis point improvement year-over-year, leading to an EBITDA of $589 million. Free cash flow was reported at $344 million, enabling share repurchases of $175 million in the quarter and $300 million in the first half, with an additional $100 million completed in July. A 20% increase in the common stock dividend to $0.12 per quarter was announced. Earnings per share rose by 36% year-over-year to $0.91. In terms of market performance, commercial aerospace revenue increased by 8%, defense aerospace by 21%, and the industrial sector by 17%. The company also highlighted a healthy cash balance of $546 million and continued debt reduction, with a net debt to trailing EBITDA ratio improving to 1.3x. Looking ahead, Howmet increased its full-year guidance, projecting revenue of $8.13 billion, EBITDA of $2.32 billion, and free cash flow of $1.225 billion.

Howmet Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Howmet Aerospace exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth, efficient operations, and solid cash flow management. The reduction in leverage and strong return on equity further enhance its financial stability. Minor concerns exist regarding the slight decline in gross profit margin, but overall, the company's financial trajectory remains positive.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Howmet Aerospace has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 2.29%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 29.99% and a net profit margin of 18.09% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, indicating efficient operations. However, there is a slight decline in gross profit margin compared to the previous year, which could be a point of concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65, which is a significant improvement from previous years, indicating a reduction in leverage. Return on equity is strong at 29.58%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in asset financing through equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reflects positive trends, with a free cash flow growth rate of 19.7% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.89 indicates strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.72, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. These metrics highlight the company's strong cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.72B7.43B6.64B5.66B4.97B5.26B
Gross Profit2.26B2.05B1.61B1.35B1.13B1.14B
EBITDA2.10B1.84B1.47B1.10B853.00M831.00M
Net Income1.40B1.16B765.00M469.00M258.00M211.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.05B10.52B10.43B10.26B10.22B11.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments545.00M564.00M610.00M791.00M720.00M1.61B
Total Debt3.26B3.47B3.83B4.28B4.35B5.21B
Total Liabilities6.00B5.96B6.39B6.65B6.71B7.87B
Stockholders Equity5.04B4.55B4.04B3.60B3.51B3.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.02B977.00M682.00M540.00M250.00M-258.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.42B1.30B901.00M733.00M449.00M9.00M
Investing Cash Flow-399.00M-316.00M-215.00M-135.00M107.00M271.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.23B-1.03B-868.00M-526.00M-1.44B-369.00M

Howmet Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price197.18
Price Trends
50DMA
184.53
Positive
100DMA
182.07
Positive
200DMA
158.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.76
Positive
RSI
51.97
Neutral
STOCH
70.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HWM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 197.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.52, above the 50-day MA of 184.53, and above the 200-day MA of 158.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HWM.

Howmet Aerospace Risk Analysis

Howmet Aerospace disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Howmet Aerospace reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Howmet Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$77.61B56.2629.98%0.21%8.85%51.50%
75
Outperform
$43.49B30.3714.64%0.64%2.28%7.94%
75
Outperform
$93.64B27.2927.42%0.93%-0.40%24.40%
72
Outperform
$73.36B28.0010.86%1.60%4.78%59.68%
71
Outperform
$57.04B19.4727.56%1.83%-1.30%53.39%
67
Neutral
$73.35B43.2112.86%11.44%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HWM
Howmet Aerospace
191.23
90.89
90.58%
AME
Ametek
184.94
19.46
11.76%
CMI
Cummins
407.98
82.23
25.24%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
130.11
23.64
22.20%
PH
Parker Hannifin
741.39
123.40
19.97%
TDG
Transdigm Group
1,314.19
55.20
4.38%

Howmet Aerospace Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Howmet Aerospace Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Howmet Aerospace announced the retirement of Ken Giacobbe, its Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective December 31, 2025, after 21 years of service. Patrick Winterlich, previously with Hexcel Corporation, will succeed him as CFO starting December 1, 2025. Winterlich’s compensation package includes a base salary, cash incentives, equity awards, and a sign-on bonus, reflecting Howmet’s commitment to securing experienced leadership to maintain its competitive position in the aerospace industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWM) stock is a Buy with a $225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howmet Aerospace stock, see the HWM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Howmet Aerospace’s Chief Legal Officer Resigns
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 15, 2025, Lola F. Lin, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and Secretary of Howmet Aerospace, announced her resignation effective September 5, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. The Legal and Compliance teams will temporarily report to Neil E. Marchuk, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer, until a successor is appointed.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWM) stock is a Hold with a $189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Howmet Aerospace stock, see the HWM Stock Forecast page.

Howmet Aerospace Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Growth
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for Howmet Aerospace Inc. painted a picture of robust financial health and growth. The general sentiment was positive, with the company showcasing significant revenue growth, improved EBITDA margins, and increased dividends. However, challenges were noted in the commercial transportation sector and aerospace destocking, which slightly tempered the overall enthusiasm.

Howmet Aerospace Reports Record Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Howmet Aerospace Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a leading global provider of advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries, specializing in jet engine components, aerospace fastening systems, and airframe structural components.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025