Moog (MOG.A) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $5.61B
• Dividend Yield: 0.65%
• Average Volume (3M): 175.11K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 27.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.16
• Revenue Growth: 4.50%
• EPS Growth: 9.90%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,500
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 1.92
• Shares Outstanding: 28,290,552
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 297,893
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 175,113
• PEG Ratio: -14.21
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.57
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 20.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.53
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.21
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.06
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.65
• 1Y Price Target: $210.00
• Price Target Upside: 18.41% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: $189.00 ▲(6.57%Upside)

Moog's revenue growth and strong corporate events are key strengths. However, technical indicators and valuation suggest caution. Improved cash flow management is necessary for future success.

Positive Factors

Commercial Aircraft Performance

Moog held its Commercial Aircraft sales guide and raised its Commercial Aircraft margin guide due to a stronger aftermarket outlook.

Geopolitical Demand

Moog's defense/space portfolio continues to see strong demand given the geopolitical backdrop.

Negative Factors

Earnings and Guidance

Soft FCF trends in FQ1 and the lack of a sales/EPS guide hike likely explain the stock's selloff.

Free Cash Flow

A weak free cash flow drove a formal reduction in the free cash flow conversion guide to 50%.

Tariff Impact

Tariffs represent a $10-20 million operational profit risk, posing a 3-6% earnings per share risk to the guidance.

Moog Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original equipment manufacturers and end users in the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets worldwide. The company's Aircraft Controls segment offers primary and secondary flight controls for military and commercial aircrafts; aftermarket support services; and ground-based navigation aids. Its Space and Defense Controls segment provides controls for spacecrafts, space vehicles, launch vehicles, armored combat vehicles, tactical and strategic missiles, security and surveillance, and other defense applications; and gun aiming, stabilization, and automatic ammunition loading for armored combat vehicles. This segment also offers controls for steering tactical and strategic missiles, and naval surface ships and submarines; and weapons stores management systems for light attack aerial reconnaissance, ground, and sea platforms. The company's Industrial Systems segment provides components and systems for applications in injection and blow molding machinery, metal forming presses, and heavy industry customers in steel and aluminum production; supplies electromechanical motion simulation bases for the flight simulation and training applications; and supplies solutions for power generation applications, as well as custom test systems and controls for automotive, structural, and fatigue testing. This segment also offers systems and components for applications in oil and gas exploration and production; components for wind turbine applications; components and systems for diagnostic imaging CT scan medical equipment, sleep apnea equipment, oxygen concentrators, infusion therapy, and enteral clinical nutrition; and hydraulics, slip rings, rotary unions and fiber optic rotary joints, motors, and infusion and enteral pumps. The company was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.

How the Company Makes Money

Moog Inc. generates revenue through the sale of its high-performance motion control products and systems, which are used across various industries. The company earns money by providing products and services to both original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end-users. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with aerospace and defense customers, sales of industrial automation components, and servicing and support for its products. Moog also benefits from significant partnerships and collaborations with major industry players, contributing to its sustained earnings and market presence.

Moog Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Moog demonstrates strong revenue growth and stable profitability, with stable gross profit margins and improved net profit margin. However, increased leverage and negative free cash flow in the latest period present areas for concern.

Income Statement

Moog has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 20.8% increase from 2022 to 2023 and a 9.1% growth from 2023 to 2024, reflecting robust demand in the Aerospace & Defense sector. Gross profit margins have been stable, averaging around 27%. Net profit margin has improved over the years, reaching 5.7% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operating efficiency, with the EBIT margin at 10.4% and the EBITDA margin at 11.4% for TTM.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable equity base with equity ratio improving to 42.5% in TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.73 in TTM from 0.47 in 2024, indicating higher leverage. However, the return on equity remains strong at 11.3% in TTM, suggesting effective management of equity to generate profits. Despite increased debt, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet position.

Cash Flow

Moog's cash flow reflects some challenges, with a negative free cash flow in TTM due to higher capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.45 in TTM, indicating less cash generation efficiency. However, free cash flow was positive in 2024, showing potential for improved cash management. Continued focus on cash generation and capital expenditure control is crucial.

Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.67B	3.61B	3.32B	3.04B	2.85B	2.88B
Gross Profit	974.83M	996.92M	891.53M	820.80M	775.72M	743.70M
EBITDA	438.42M	423.03M	402.47M	349.96M	329.32M	179.82M
Net Income	208.27M	207.22M	171.00M	155.18M	157.22M	9.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.32B	4.09B	3.81B	3.43B	3.43B	3.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	62.12M	61.69M	68.96M	103.89M	99.60M	84.58M
Total Debt	1.34B	874.14M	863.09M	837.79M	903.72M	930.33M
Total Liabilities	2.48B	2.23B	2.17B	2.00B	2.03B	1.98B
Stockholders Equity	1.84B	1.86B	1.64B	1.44B	1.40B	1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-55.78M	46.33M	-37.35M	107.37M	164.49M	190.89M
Operating Cash Flow	93.09M	202.34M	135.94M	246.80M	293.23M	279.18M
Investing Cash Flow	-134.62M	-159.62M	-163.15M	-83.32M	-191.16M	-146.19M
Financing Cash Flow	45.75M	-48.66M	-23.02M	-134.91M	-87.00M	-142.77M

Moog Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 177.35
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOG.A, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 177.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 180.61, above the 50-day MA of 177.08, and below the 200-day MA of 188.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MOG.A.

Moog Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KTOS	74 Outperform	$6.26B	322.80	1.45%	―	7.32%	―
VSEC	74 Outperform	$2.81B	175.89	4.83%	0.29%	19.84%	-51.67%
HXL	68 Neutral	$4.48B	36.12	7.87%	1.24%	5.37%	29.15%
MOG.A	67 Neutral	$5.61B	27.57	11.61%	0.65%	4.50%	9.90%
Sector *	67 Neutral	€2.71B	15.68	9.89%	2.85%	-0.64%	-28.31%
MRCY	58 Neutral	$3.00B	―	-4.45%	―	5.66%	52.71%
SPR	37 Underperform	$4.31B	―	81.63%	―	-2.91%	-109.95%

Moog Corporate Events

Moog Enhances Financial Structure with New Loan Agreement

On May 30, 2025, Moog Inc. entered into a Seventh Amended and Restated Loan Agreement with HSBC Bank USA and other lenders, enhancing its financial structure. This agreement introduces a new $250 million term loan facility, maturing on October 27, 2027, which aims to boost the company’s liquidity for general business purposes, while maintaining the existing revolving credit facility at $1,100 million.

The most recent analyst rating on ($MOG.A) stock is a Buy with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Moog stock, see the MOG.A Stock Forecast page.