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Air China (AIRYY) AI Stock Analysis

45 Followers
AIRYY

Air China

(Other OTC:AIRYY)

Select Model
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:$9.50â–¼(-1.94% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is weighed down mainly by weak financial quality (persistent losses and high leverage) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by improving revenue trends and generally positive operating cash flow, while valuation is difficult to interpret due to the negative P/E.

Positive Factors
Revenue recovery and growthThe sustained rebound in revenue indicates recovering demand across Air China’s passenger, cargo, and related airline services. Continued expansion beyond the 2022 trough improves operating scale and provides a stronger base for future margin recovery, even though profitability has not yet normalized.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating and net lossesPersistent net losses and negative TTM operating profit show that recovering demand has not yet produced durable earnings power. Continued losses can constrain reinvestment, weaken equity returns, and leave results more exposed to operating volatility before margins fully normalize.

Air China (AIRYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%AIRYY-40.93%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$8.28B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2,195
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-18.9
Beta (1Y)
0.98
Revenue Growth
10.59%
EPS Growth
-345.98%
Country
US
Employees
107,795
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services

Air China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Air China Limited, operating alongside its various subsidiaries, delivers a full spectrum of air travel services, including passenger transportation, air cargo, and diverse aviation-related offerings. Its extensive network covers Mainland China, Hong...

How the Company Makes Money

Air China primarily makes money by selling air transportation services. Its core revenue stream is passenger revenue from ticket sales across domestic and international routes, including fares sold directly and through travel agencies and other distr...

Air China Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has rebounded strongly since the 2022 trough and operating cash flow is positive, but profitability remains weak with net income still negative and TTM operating profit negative. High leverage is a major risk factor and reduces financial flexibility.

Income Statement

43Neutral

Balance Sheet

34Negative

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue182.62B166.81B166.70B141.10B52.90B74.53B
Gross Profit1.88B1.70B8.51B7.09B-29.91B-11.31B
EBITDA29.64B25.78B33.90B32.40B-18.16B4.61B
Net Income-5.66B-1.74B-237.31M-1.05B-38.62B-16.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets352.80B343.23B345.77B335.30B295.01B298.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.84B16.02B22.51B15.63B11.44B16.71B
Total Debt164.57B232.47B162.86B175.39B214.18B182.87B
Total Liabilities296.29B304.01B304.82B300.01B273.45B232.55B
Stockholders Equity59.86B42.54B45.15B37.23B23.61B61.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.30B24.48B14.44B12.65B-24.40B6.81B
Operating Cash Flow33.59B42.05B34.55B35.42B-16.76B12.89B
Investing Cash Flow-25.36B-15.08B-17.86B-15.25B-6.87B-4.45B
Financing Cash Flow-22.06B-33.65B-10.56B-15.85B18.10B1.71B

Air China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price9.69

Price Trends

50DMA9.39Positive
100DMA9.98Negative
200DMA11.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.17Negative
RSI54.19Neutral
STOCH69.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRYY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.25, above the 50-day MA of 9.39, and below the 200-day MA of 11.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AIRYY.

Air China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AIRYY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CPACPA79Outperform$6.08B9.4322.40%4.72%14.80%-1.39%
DALDAL73Outperform$60.08B17.2115.40%0.93%14.11%-29.50%
LTMLTM69Neutral$14.00B8.6287.28%3.23%21.07%35.86%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
UALUAL63Neutral$38.46B10.2121.81%―12.31%9.08%
AALAAL46Neutral$9.34B-18.4512.03%―12.32%-179.51%
AIRYYAIRYY43Neutral$15.33B-18.93-10.97%―10.59%-345.98%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%AIRYYCPADALUALAALLTMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AIRYY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AIRYYAir China9.69-6.90-41.59%
CPACopa Holdings S.A.142.8225.2221.45%
DALDelta Air Lines Inc.86.5531.3856.88%
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.111.2521.3023.68%
AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc13.310.977.86%
LTMLATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR47.413.788.66%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026