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ECML

Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF (ECML)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:$44.00â–²(9.17% Upside)

ECML, the Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF, has a solid overall rating driven by strong contributors like FOXA, APA, CF, and NUTX, which combine solid financial performance, attractive valuations, and in some cases healthy dividends or growth initiatives. These strengths are partly offset by holdings such as CROX and HRB, where bearish technical trends, leverage concerns, or slowing growth add risk, and the fund also carries exposure to company-specific issues like legal challenges and operational incidents, which investors should watch closely.

Positive Factors
Strong Year-to-Date PerformanceThe ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year, suggesting its value-focused strategy has worked well in the recent market environment.
Energy and Materials StrengthSeveral top holdings in energy and materials have shown very strong performance, helping drive the fund’s overall returns.
Broad Sector Mix Within the U.S.The fund spreads its investments across multiple sectors like energy, consumer, health care, materials, and technology, which helps reduce reliance on any single industry.
Negative Factors
High Expense RatioThe ETF charges relatively high fees compared with many index funds, which can eat into long-term returns for investors.
Heavy U.S.-Only ExposureAlmost all of the fund’s holdings are in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market faces a downturn.
Mixed Performance Among Top HoldingsA few of the largest positions have shown weak or negative performance this year, which can drag on the fund’s overall results if that continues.

ECML vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM
124.47M
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.95%
Beta
0.65
Issuer
Euclidean
Inception Date
May 18, 2023
Dividend Yield
1.14%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
No Underlying Index

ECML Summary

The Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF (ECML) is a value-focused fund that looks for U.S. companies that appear undervalued but have solid business fundamentals. It doesn’t track a traditional index; instead, it uses its own rules to pick stocks across many sectors, including energy, consumer companies, health care, and technology. Well-known holdings include Fox and Marathon Petroleum. Someone might invest in ECML to get broad diversification while targeting stocks that may be priced cheaply compared with their business strength. A key risk is that value stocks can stay out of favor for long periods, so the fund’s price can go up and down with market sentiment.

How much will it cost me?

This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.95%, which means you’ll pay about $9.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s higher than the average ETF because it’s actively managed, using a more complex, research-driven strategy to pick value stocks rather than simply tracking an index.

What would affect this ETF?

This ETF is heavily invested in U.S. value stocks, with large exposure to energy, consumer cyclical, and materials companies, so it could benefit if the economy stays strong, commodity prices rise, and investors favor cheaper, undervalued shares. On the downside, a slowdown in U.S. growth, falling oil and commodity prices, or tighter regulations on energy and consumer industries could hurt performance, and its active, concentrated approach means results may differ significantly from the broader market.

ECML Top 10 Holdings

ECML is leaning hard into classic value territory, with a clear tilt toward U.S. energy and materials names powering the story. Marathon Petroleum, APA, and HF Sinclair have been rising strongly this year, acting as the fund’s main engine, while Freeport-McMoRan and CF Industries add steady, commodity-linked support with mixed shorter-term moves. On the consumer side, Crocs has been a bright spot over the year but more mixed lately, and Fox is just quietly steady. Overall, it’s a U.S.-centric, value-heavy portfolio where energy leadership is doing most of the heavy lifting.

ECML top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
EPAMEPAMEpam Systems2.67%$3.32M$7.25B-11.71%70Neutral
FCXFCXFreeport-McMoRan2.13%$2.65M$89.71B49.70%67Neutral
CROXCROXCrocs2.67%$3.33M$6.88B82.36%63Neutral
HRBHRBH&R Block2.19%$2.73M$6.29B1.16%63Neutral
FOXAFOXAFox2.14%$2.66M$25.12B-3.47%77Outperform
APAAPAAPA2.05%$2.55M$18.51B135.80%73Outperform
MOMOAltria Group2.13%$2.65M$129.80B36.58%64Neutral
MPCMPCMarathon Petroleum1.99%$2.47M$124.89B127.33%66Neutral
CFCFCf Industries Holdings1.99%$2.47M$18.66B48.90%72Outperform
NUTXNUTXClinigence Holdings1.93%$2.41M$1.37B60.76%74Outperform

ECML Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price40.30

Price Trends

50DMA40.79Negative
100DMA40.25Positive
200DMA38.56Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Negative
RSI49.01Neutral
STOCH30.83Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ECML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.30, below the 50-day MA of 40.79, and above the 200-day MA of 38.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ECML.

ECML Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

ECML against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
ECMLECML$40.31$44.00(9.17% Upside)$124.47M0.95%70Neutral
VFVAVFVA$161.30$189.21(17.30% Upside)$966.75M0.13%69Neutral
QVALQVAL$64.54$71.47(10.73% Upside)$711.29M0.28%73Outperform
LSVDLSVD$35.38$43.57(23.16% Upside)$667.14M0.40%74Outperform
AIVLAIVL$134.49$153.96(14.48% Upside)$424.74M0.38%72Outperform
BUSABUSA$42.28$47.94(13.39% Upside)$411.68M0.60%70Outperform

Performance Comparison

0%10%20%30%40%ECMLVFVAQVALLSVDAIVLBUSADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
ECML and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ECMLEuclidean Fundamental Value ETF40.308.3526.12%
VFVAVanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF161.3038.1831.01%
QVALAlpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF64.5419.3342.75%
LSVDLSV Disciplined Value ETF35.386.5022.50%
AIVLWisdomTree U.S. AI Enhanced Value Fund134.4924.2922.04%
BUSABrandes U.S. Value ETF42.288.3324.52%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.