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ECML - ETF AI Analysis

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ECML

Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF (ECML)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
ECML, the Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF, has a solid overall rating, suggesting it holds a generally strong mix of value-oriented stocks. High-quality holdings like Adobe, with its robust profitability and focus on AI-driven growth, and Mueller Industries, with strong financial performance and bullish momentum, help support the fund’s quality. However, positions such as H&R Block, which faces high leverage and a bearish technical trend, and companies with valuation or profitability pressures like Valero Energy, introduce risk, while the fund’s exposure to cyclical sectors like energy and materials can add volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year, supported by positive returns over the past few months.
Broad Sector Diversification
Holdings are spread across several sectors, including consumer, energy, health care, industrials, and materials, which helps reduce reliance on any single part of the economy.
Strong Top Holdings
Most of the top 10 stocks have shown strong or steady performance, providing a solid foundation for the fund’s returns.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund charges a relatively high fee, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost ETFs.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if other regions perform better.
Sector Tilts Toward Cyclical Areas
Significant exposure to consumer cyclical, energy, and industrials means the fund may be more sensitive to economic slowdowns and commodity price swings.

ECML vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ECML Summary

The Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF (ECML) is a U.S. stock fund that follows a value investing theme across the total market, looking for companies that appear undervalued but have solid business fundamentals. It spreads investments across many sectors, including consumer, energy, health care, and industrials. Well-known holdings include Crocs and Altria Group. Someone might invest in ECML to diversify across many industries while focusing on stocks that may have room to grow if their true value is recognized over time. A key risk is that these value stocks can still fall in price and move up and down with the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?The Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF (ECML) has an expense ratio of 0.95%, meaning you’ll pay $9.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, requiring more research and analysis to select investments compared to passively managed ETFs that track an index.
What would affect this ETF?The Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF (ECML) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy, especially in sectors like Consumer Cyclical and Health Care, which make up a significant portion of its portfolio. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns might negatively impact consumer spending and corporate growth, particularly in cyclical industries. Regulatory changes or shifts in energy and materials markets could also influence performance, given the ETF's exposure to these sectors.

ECML Top 10 Holdings

ECML’s story is classic value with a cyclical twist: energy names like HF Sinclair and Valero are doing the heavy lifting, rising on solid cash flows and keeping the fund’s engine humming. Materials player Freeport-McMoRan is another bright spot, riding firm demand and momentum. On the softer side, Crocs has been wobbling as growth questions creep in, while Epam Systems has been a notable laggard, losing steam despite decent fundamentals. With a U.S.-only lineup and a tilt toward energy, materials, and industrials, this ETF is clearly betting on old-economy value over flashy tech.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Epam Systems2.27%$2.98M$6.04B-29.08%
70
Neutral
Freeport-McMoRan2.24%$2.94M$104.44B65.71%
67
Neutral
Cf Industries Holdings2.22%$2.91M$20.18B57.51%
72
Outperform
H&R Block2.16%$2.83M$6.05B-5.73%
63
Neutral
Fox2.15%$2.82M$25.96B4.70%
77
Outperform
Oshkosh2.07%$2.72M$9.70B15.52%
71
Outperform
Allison Transmission Holdings2.05%$2.70M$10.84B45.85%
71
Outperform
Crocs1.97%$2.59M$5.63B41.13%
63
Neutral
BorgWarner1.93%$2.54M$13.76B52.01%
65
Neutral
Seneca Foods1.86%$2.44M$1.33B75.65%
70
Outperform

ECML Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
40.65
Positive
100DMA
39.40
Positive
200DMA
37.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Positive
RSI
44.88
Neutral
STOCH
1.65
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ECML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.89, equal to the 50-day MA of 40.65, and equal to the 200-day MA of 37.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.65 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ECML.

ECML Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$129.40M0.95%
71
Outperform
$969.96M0.13%
69
Neutral
$683.34M0.40%
74
Outperform
$638.73M0.28%
72
Outperform
$427.96M0.38%
72
Outperform
$330.52M0.60%
71
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ECML
Euclidean Fundamental Value ETF
41.16
7.49
22.25%
VFVA
Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF
LSVD
LSV Disciplined Value ETF
QVAL
Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF
AIVL
WisdomTree U.S. AI Enhanced Value Fund
BUSA
Brandes U.S. Value ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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