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H&R Block (HRB)
NYSE:HRB

H&R Block (HRB) AI Stock Analysis

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H&R Block

(NYSE:HRB)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
▲(4.98%Upside)
The overall score of 56 reflects significant financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage. However, positive elements such as a favorable earnings call and reasonable valuation metrics help offset some of the financial risks. Technical analysis suggests potential opportunities, but the lack of strong momentum tempers the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
H&R Block reported financial results that topped expectations and reaffirmed full-year guidance, indicating confidence in future performance.
Stock Valuation
The stock is trading at a discount compared to both its five-year average and its industry peers, suggesting potential for price appreciation.
Negative Factors
Legal Costs
Management expects EBITDA to be slightly below the midpoint of the guidance range due to higher-than-anticipated legal fees and settlements.
Profitability Concerns
The adjusted loss per share increased 36.2% from the previous year, indicating a decline in profitability.

H&R Block (HRB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

H&R Block Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionH&R Block, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides assisted income tax return preparation and do-it-yourself (DIY) tax return preparation services and products to the general public primarily in the United States, Canada, and Australia. The company offers assisted income tax return preparation and related services through a system of retail offices operated directly by the company or its franchisees. It also provides Refund Transfers and H&R Block Emerald Prepaid Mastercard, which enables clients to receive their tax refunds; Peace of Mind extended service plans; H&R Block Emerald Advance lines of credit; Tax Identity Shield that provides clients assistance in helping protect their tax identity and access to services to help restore their tax identity; refund advance loans; H&R Block Instant Refund; and H&R Block Pay With Refund services. In addition, the company offers small business financial solutions through its company-owned or franchise offices, and online. H&R Block, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyH&R Block generates revenue primarily through fees charged for its tax preparation services. These services are offered both in-person at retail locations and online through their digital platforms. The company earns money from the sale of DIY tax preparation software and online filing services. Additionally, H&R Block generates revenue through its financial services offerings, which include refund transfers and the sale of service plans that provide audit support and other benefits. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and marketing collaborations also contribute to its earnings by enhancing the range of services and customer reach.

H&R Block Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue and earnings growth, particularly in the Assisted and DIY segments. However, challenges such as the decline in franchise location volumes and higher legal expenses were noted. The positive highlights, including significant growth in various segments, suggest a strong performance overall.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
H&R Block reported a 4% revenue growth, a 5% increase in EBITDA, and a 9% growth in EPS for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025.
Assisted Tax Segment Performance
The Assisted category delivered growth of 170 basis points, with improved volume and market share trends year-over-year. Client satisfaction scores increased, and there was a tenfold increase in new clients using the Second Look service.
DIY Segment Revenue Growth
DIY revenue grew by 8% year-over-year. The AI Tax Assist tool in DIY paid SKUs increased conversion by 13 points, and the DIY paid NAC was strong at $81.55, up 9% versus the prior year.
Small Business Revenue Growth
The small business segment delivered high single-digit revenue growth, and Wave, the subscription product, saw a 13% revenue increase.
Spruce Platform Growth
Spruce, H&R Block's mobile banking platform, saw over 700,000 sign-ups, nearly a 50% increase compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Franchise Location Declines
Franchise location volume was down 7.2%, primarily attributed to franchise buybacks.
Assisted Volume Decline
Total Assisted volumes were down 0.8%, compared to broader industry volume growth of around 1.7%.
Legal Expenses Impact
EBITDA is expected to be slightly below the midpoint of the range due to higher-than-anticipated legal fees and settlements.
Company Guidance
During H&R Block's third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 4% increase in revenue, a 5% growth in EBITDA, and a 9% rise in EPS. The company highlighted a shift in client preferences from DIY to Assisted tax preparation, with the Assisted category experiencing a growth of 170 basis points compared to 90 basis points in DIY. H&R Block's efforts to enhance client experience resulted in improved Assisted client conversion and retention, with a tenfold increase in new clients using the Second Look service, uncovering missed deductions in nearly 25% of cases. The company also reported an 8% increase in DIY revenue, with a strong DIY paid NAC of $81.55, up 9% from the previous year. H&R Block maintained discipline in a competitive promotional environment, focusing on paid DIY filers. The company's mobile banking platform, Spruce, saw a 50% increase in sign-ups year-over-year, with half of the deposits being nontax related. H&R Block reiterated its fiscal 2025 outlook, expecting revenue between $3.69 billion to $3.75 billion and EBITDA between $975 million to $1.02 billion, with a projected effective tax rate of approximately 13%.

H&R Block Financial Statement Overview

Summary
H&R Block's financial health has significantly declined, with negative profitability and cash flow, high leverage, and negative equity in the latest TTM period. Despite historical revenue and cash flow generation, these recent financial challenges pose substantial risks to future stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a concerning trajectory with a recent shift to negative profitability for TTM. Gross Profit Margin decreased significantly in the TTM period, and Net Profit Margin became negative, indicating financial strain. Historical revenue growth was positive but inconsistent, with a notable decline in the latest TTM data. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also deteriorated significantly, highlighting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects financial stress, with negative Stockholders' Equity in the TTM period, indicating potential solvency issues. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity. Return on Equity is also not applicable for the TTM period. Historical data shows fluctuating equity levels, with recent years showing some stability before the TTM downturn. However, the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a recent deterioration in cash generation, with negative Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio highlights operational challenges, as both metrics turned negative. Historically, the company had positive cash flow generation, but the recent downturn indicates significant liquidity challenges that need to be addressed.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.71B3.61B3.47B3.46B3.41B2.64B
Gross Profit
1.65B1.62B2.14B2.16B1.57B927.44M
EBIT
807.52M805.28M784.19M747.35M775.61M198.72M
EBITDA
959.91M963.19M914.69M889.53M932.46M368.26M
Net Income Common Stockholders
564.15M595.32M553.70M553.67M583.79M-7.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
772.95M1.05B986.98M885.01M934.25M2.66B
Total Assets
3.25B3.22B3.07B3.27B3.65B5.11B
Total Debt
1.92B1.49B1.93B1.92B1.94B4.00B
Net Debt
1.15B437.77M947.93M1.04B1.00B1.34B
Total Liabilities
3.44B3.13B3.04B3.06B3.30B5.04B
Stockholders Equity
-192.84M90.59M32.06M211.63M352.40M71.04M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
648.29M657.18M752.14M746.58M573.14M27.28M
Operating Cash Flow
729.92M720.86M821.84M808.54M625.93M108.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-105.11M-93.86M-101.39M-76.54M-45.52M-470.23M
Financing Cash Flow
-639.31M-564.31M-750.99M-1.26B-2.41B1.53B

H&R Block Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price56.20
Price Trends
50DMA
57.61
Negative
100DMA
55.40
Positive
200DMA
57.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
39.45
Neutral
STOCH
46.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HRB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 56.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.67, below the 50-day MA of 57.61, and below the 200-day MA of 57.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HRB.

H&R Block Risk Analysis

H&R Block disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. H&R Block reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

H&R Block Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.53B47.5412.63%9.71%94.22%
76
Outperform
$4.05B17.85132.22%5.53%36.30%
CSCSV
69
Neutral
$683.43M14.5622.96%1.03%5.02%45.34%
SCSCI
69
Neutral
$11.06B21.4032.71%1.57%2.40%4.07%
MCMCW
64
Neutral
$2.33B29.238.21%8.18%3.39%
62
Neutral
$6.93B11.332.94%3.90%2.68%-25.08%
HRHRB
51
Neutral
$7.67B14.02657.13%2.52%3.71%-8.07%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HRB
H&R Block
56.20
7.52
15.45%
CSV
Carriage Services
43.33
17.44
67.36%
SCI
Service International
77.05
8.93
13.11%
BFAM
Bright Horizons
128.99
25.57
24.72%
FTDR
frontdoor
55.01
20.37
58.80%
MCW
Mister Car Wash
7.14
0.55
8.35%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.