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Snam SpA (SNMRY) AI Stock Analysis

SNMRY

Snam SpA

(Other OTC:SNMRY)

Select Model
Rating:60.3Neutral
Price Target:$14.50â–²(5.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is primarily driven by mixed financial quality: strong profitability is outweighed by high leverage and multiple recent years of negative free cash flow. The earnings call adds support via confirmed guidance, solid H1 performance, and improved funding/credit signals, while technicals are constructive but stretched (overbought). Valuation is helped by the ~5% dividend yield, though the ~18x P/E keeps it from screening as clearly cheap.

Positive Factors
Regulated infrastructure earningsSnam’s core activities rely on regulated tariffs and service availability rather than direct commodity-price exposure. This business model supports recurring revenue, improves earnings visibility, and provides a durable foundation for funding infrastructure investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverageElevated and increasing debt reduces financial flexibility and makes Snam more sensitive to refinancing conditions and interest costs. Although the regulated asset base supports earnings, high leverage can constrain investment choices and weaken the balance sheet’s ability to absorb adverse developments.

Snam SpA (SNMRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%SNMRY+12.80%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$23.16B
Dividend Yield
5.02%
Average Volume (3M)
70.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.1
Beta (1Y)
-0.09
Revenue Growth
16.48%
EPS Growth
-12.08%
Country
US
Employees
4,008
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

Snam SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Snam S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of natural gas transport and storage infrastructure. It operates through Natural gas transportation; Natural gas storage; LNG regasification; and Market solutions segments. The com...

How the Company Makes Money

Snam primarily makes money from regulated infrastructure services in Italy. The largest revenue stream comes from natural gas transmission: Snam operates high-pressure pipeline networks and earns tariff-based income for transporting gas for shippers,...

Snam SpA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-1.84%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2018
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: solid adjusted EBITDA growth, resilient associate performance, strong cash generation, successful green and sustainability‑linked financing, improved credit metrics, and well‑advanced storage and strategic projects (LNG, CCS, biomethane). Challenges noted are largely manageable or non‑recurring (OLT and Italgas transactions driving higher net debt in the period), together with regulatory uncertainty (seventh gas period / ROSS evolution), macro and geopolitical price volatility, modest increases in D&A, financial charges and taxes, and concerns about current remuneration for LNG. On balance the positives — recurring earnings growth, clear guidance confirmation, financing success and storage readiness for winter — outweigh the negatives, which are mostly either transitional, regulatory or macro risk factors.

Positive Updates

Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA of EUR 1,572 million for H1 2026, up 5% year‑on‑year (and +9% when netting a EUR 52 million 2024 deflator one‑off recorded in Q1 2025). Management confirms full‑year adjusted EBITDA guidance of ~EUR 3.1 billion.

Negative Updates

Net Debt Increase and Non‑Recurring Cash Outflows
Net debt rose to EUR 18.8 billion from EUR 17.5 billion at end‑2025 (change in net debt ~EUR 1.294 billion), driven by OLT acquisition, dividend payment (EUR 1,004 million), Italgas exchangeable refinancing cash out (EUR 432 million) and other non‑recurring items (EUR 913 million of the change).

Company Guidance

Snam confirmed 2026 guidance with adjusted EBITDA around EUR 3.1 billion and adjusted net income above EUR 1,450 million, upgraded net debt guidance to EUR 18.9 billion (net debt at end‑June ~EUR 18.8 billion) and reiterated full‑year financial expenses of EUR 335 million; it expects associate contributions of ~EUR 365 million and working‑capital change broadly stable at ~EUR 600 million. H1 metrics included adjusted EBITDA of EUR 1,572 million, adjusted net income of EUR 733 million, cash flow from operations ~EUR 1,832 million, investments ~EUR 1.6 billion (net investments EUR 1,154 million) and funds from operations ~EUR 1,232 million. Financing and balance‑sheet metrics: average cost of debt ~2.6%, fixed/floating mix 65/35 (aiming closer to 75% fixed by year‑end), sustainable finance 90% of committed financing, dual bond issuances of EUR 750m (green) + EUR 750m (sustainability‑linked), ~EUR 1.2 billion of bilateral facilities, a EUR 124m EIB tranche and an upsized sustainability‑linked RCF to EUR 25.1 billion. Operational/market guidance highlights storage ~70–75% today with a 90% refill target secured for winter, LNG ~32% of imports (110 cargoes) and 40% of Ravenna capacity sold forward for 10 years.

Snam SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability is consistently strong (solid net income and high operating/EBITDA margins), but this is offset by elevated leverage (debt-to-equity a bit above ~2x with rising total debt) and weak free-cash-flow durability (negative FCF in 2023–2025 and volatile cash conversion). Overall, earnings strength is a positive, while leverage and recent FCF weakness meaningfully raise risk.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.04B3.85B3.55B4.29B3.52B3.29B
Gross Profit4.33B3.92B3.12B2.87B1.87B1.78B
EBITDA3.70B3.21B3.10B2.43B2.26B2.26B
Net Income1.57B1.27B1.26B1.14B671.00M1.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.16B37.00B35.79B33.52B32.47B27.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.94B2.04B1.81B1.38B1.76B1.34B
Total Debt22.80B19.54B18.36B16.65B13.68B15.36B
Total Liabilities29.85B27.72B26.82B25.84B24.95B20.12B
Stockholders Equity8.27B9.24B8.93B7.63B7.47B7.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow562.06M-21.00M-1.00B-1.68B2.79B94.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.49B2.69B1.81B-135.00M4.11B1.34B
Investing Cash Flow-2.65B-2.85B-2.68B-2.23B-1.36B-1.64B
Financing Cash Flow153.20M108.54M1.29B1.99B-2.32B-1.41B

Snam SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price13.75

Price Trends

50DMA13.01Positive
100DMA13.50Positive
200DMA14.05Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.23Negative
RSI70.75Negative
STOCH95.09Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNMRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.04, above the 50-day MA of 13.01, and below the 200-day MA of 14.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.75 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNMRY.

Snam SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

SNMRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ATOATO74Outperform$29.14B20.319.67%2.32%6.45%15.84%
UGIUGI69Neutral$8.29B12.3913.15%3.88%-0.50%60.66%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
NWNNWN62Neutral$2.10B16.298.34%3.96%4.41%19.03%
NINI61Neutral$21.38B22.629.83%2.69%9.97%3.46%
SNMRYSNMRY60Neutral$23.16B18.1113.10%5.02%16.48%-12.08%
BIPCBIPC51Neutral$5.10B-13.3425.58%4.79%1.26%70.10%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%SNMRYATONINWNUGIBIPCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SNMRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SNMRYSnam Spa13.751.6914.04%
ATOAtmos Energy172.413.622.15%
NINisource44.573.107.49%
NWNNorthwest Natural Gas49.935.4512.24%
UGIUGI Corp38.676.5320.31%
BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure Corporation37.49-6.46-14.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026