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Southwest Gas Corp. (SWX)
NYSE:SWX
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Southwest Gas (SWX) AI Stock Analysis

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SWX

Southwest Gas

(NYSE:SWX)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$88.00
â–²(11.63% Upside)
Southwest Gas's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call sentiment and positive technical indicators. However, financial performance concerns, particularly with cash flow and high leverage, and a high P/E ratio weigh on the score. The company's strategic achievements and positive momentum provide a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
The sale of Centuri and subsequent debt repayment significantly strengthened Southwest Gas's balance sheet, enhancing financial stability and flexibility.
Credit Rating Upgrade
The credit rating upgrade reflects improved financial health and reduces borrowing costs, supporting long-term growth and investment capacity.
Regulatory Developments
Filing for new rates can improve revenue stability and growth, aligning investment recovery with operational activities, enhancing long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Declining revenue growth can hinder the company's ability to expand and invest in new opportunities, impacting long-term competitive positioning.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative free cash flow growth indicates challenges in generating cash post-capital expenditures, which could constrain future investment and debt servicing.

Southwest Gas (SWX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southwest Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, distributes and transports natural gas in Arizona, Nevada, and California. The company operates through Natural Gas Distribution, Utility Infrastructure Services, and Pipeline and Storage segments. It also provides trenching, installation, and replacement of underground pipes, as well as maintenance services for energy distribution systems. As of December 31, 2021, it had 2,159,000 residential, commercial, industrial, and other natural gas customers. Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1931 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthwest Gas generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas to its utility customers. The company earns money by charging customers for the gas consumed as well as for the distribution of that gas through its pipeline network. Revenue is driven by the volume of gas sold, which is influenced by factors such as customer demand, weather conditions, and regulatory pricing structures. Additionally, the company may earn income through its Infrastructure segment, which includes construction services for natural gas pipelines and related facilities. Regulatory frameworks play a significant role in how Southwest Gas sets its rates, as they must obtain approval from state utility commissions to adjust prices. The company also benefits from partnerships with other energy providers and infrastructure companies, which can enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency.

Southwest Gas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted the strong financial position and strategic achievements of Southwest Gas Holdings, including the successful separation of Centuri and a credit rating upgrade. However, there were challenges, including delays in the Great Basin expansion and the upcoming departure of the CFO. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating positive momentum and confidence in future growth opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Disposition of Centuri
Completed the full deconsolidation and separation of Centuri, generating nearly $1.4 billion of net sale proceeds. This allowed for full repayment of debt at the holding company and left Southwest Gas with a strong balance sheet.
Improvement in Return on Equity
Southwest Gas' trailing 12-month return on equity improved to 8.3%, demonstrating consistent improvement over the last several years.
Credit Rating Upgrade
S&P upgraded Southwest Gas Holdings issuer and Southwest Gas Corporation's senior unsecured long-term debt credit ratings each to BBB+ with stable outlooks.
Utility Net Income Growth
Net income growth was primarily driven by positive regulatory outcomes and strong economic activity in the service area, enhanced by cost optimization efforts.
Cash and Liquidity Position
As of the third quarter, the cash balance increased to nearly $780 million with more than $1.5 billion of liquidity across the business.
Negative Updates
Delays in Great Basin Expansion
The process of finalizing Precedent Agreements for the 2028 Great Basin expansion project has taken longer than initially expected.
Departure of CFO
CFO Rob Stefani will be leaving Southwest Gas Holdings on December 1. A search for his successor has been initiated.
Company Guidance
During the Southwest Gas Holdings third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic updates. The company reported a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 8.3% and reaffirmed its full-year net income guidance, anticipating it at the top end of the $265 million to $275 million range. Southwest Gas highlighted its robust capital spending plans driven by safety, reliability, and economic activity, excluding the potential impacts of the 2028 Great Basin expansion. The company also noted a significant credit rating upgrade to BBB+ by S&P. In terms of liquidity, the company reported a cash balance of nearly $780 million and over $1.5 billion in total liquidity. Additionally, the company successfully completed the deconsolidation of Centuri, generating $1.4 billion in net sale proceeds, which were primarily used to repay all outstanding debt at the holding company level. Looking ahead, Southwest Gas is optimistic about future regulatory environments, with anticipated new rates in California by 2026 and alternative ratemaking approaches in Arizona and Nevada.

Southwest Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southwest Gas demonstrates stable profitability and controlled expenses, but faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. Cash flow generation is a concern, particularly with negative free cash flow growth. The company needs to focus on improving cash generation and managing its debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Southwest Gas shows a stable gross profit margin with a slight decline in revenue over the TTM period. The net profit margin is modest, indicating controlled expenses relative to revenue. However, the negative revenue growth rate suggests potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity is positive but relatively low, suggesting moderate efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, highlighting challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating some ability to convert income into cash, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is very low, raising concerns about cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.00B5.11B5.43B4.96B3.68B3.30B
Gross Profit893.32M1.01B1.02B994.87M820.93M818.49M
EBITDA1.20B976.78M930.54M439.87M726.57M735.01M
Net Income463.92M198.81M150.89M-1.62B200.78M232.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.73B12.02B11.87B13.20B12.77B8.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments348.13M363.79M106.54M123.08M222.70M83.35M
Total Debt0.005.06B5.44B5.99B6.32B2.88B
Total Liabilities6.31B8.33B8.46B9.98B9.61B5.90B
Stockholders Equity3.42B3.50B3.31B3.06B2.95B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow491.69M409.86M-363.31M-451.96M-604.24M-199.03M
Operating Cash Flow727.80M1.36B509.21M407.46M111.38M626.08M
Investing Cash Flow-795.11M-921.57M150.97M-838.90M-3.04B-802.07M
Financing Cash Flow-154.15M-176.34M-700.79M356.48M3.06B209.57M

Southwest Gas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price78.83
Price Trends
50DMA
79.02
Negative
100DMA
77.72
Positive
200DMA
74.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
46.70
Neutral
STOCH
55.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 78.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.59, below the 50-day MA of 79.02, and above the 200-day MA of 74.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SWX.

Southwest Gas Risk Analysis

Southwest Gas disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southwest Gas reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southwest Gas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.48B10.9118.03%4.04%21.88%71.35%
72
Outperform
$4.91B19.088.51%3.28%15.06%12.27%
72
Outperform
$5.22B19.118.37%3.54%-6.65%11.47%
66
Neutral
$3.10B23.489.25%1.99%19.02%20.13%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$5.69B12.315.42%3.15%-23.15%157.45%
62
Neutral
$7.24B17.768.75%4.45%-0.52%-39.42%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWX
Southwest Gas
78.83
7.85
11.06%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
133.14
14.18
11.92%
SR
Spire
88.72
27.44
44.78%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
45.19
0.59
1.32%
UGI
UGI
33.73
10.94
48.00%
OGS
ONE Gas
81.43
11.18
15.91%

Southwest Gas Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Southwest Gas Announces CFO Departure Effective December
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. announced the departure of Robert J. Stefani, the Senior Vice President/Chief Financial Officer, effective December 1, 2025. His departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements with the company’s management or auditors. The company has initiated a search for his successor. As part of his transition, Mr. Stefani will receive cash payments and prorated stock units, contingent upon his compliance with the separation agreement and continued service until his separation date.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Buy with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Southwest Gas Updates Cooperation Agreement with Icahn
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. and the Icahn Group entered into an Amended and Restated Cooperation Agreement, which updates their previous agreement from October 15, 2024. The new agreement includes the nomination of Icahn Designees for the 2026 annual meeting and outlines conditions for the termination of the agreement, impacting the company’s governance structure and potentially its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Buy with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Southwest Gas Completes Sale of Centuri Holdings Shares
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. completed the sale of 27,362,210 shares of Centuri Holdings, Inc. common stock to J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, generating approximately $524.8 million in net proceeds. This transaction marks the company’s exit from its ownership in Centuri, relinquishing its governance rights and influence over Centuri’s corporate actions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Buy with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Southwest Gas Sells Centuri Shares, Raises $325 Million
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. completed an underwritten offering of 17,250,000 shares of Centuri Holdings, Inc. common stock, generating approximately $325 million in net proceeds. The company plans to use these funds for debt repayment and general corporate purposes. Concurrently, Southwest Gas also closed a private placement with Icahn Investors, selling 1,573,500 shares for approximately $31 million. As a result of these transactions, Southwest Gas no longer holds a controlling interest in Centuri and will deconsolidate its financial statements, reflecting Centuri’s results as discontinued operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

Southwest Gas Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for Southwest Gas highlighted a robust financial performance, marked by significant regulatory achievements and strategic advancements. The company’s efforts in the Centuri sell-downs and the Great Basin expansion project were particularly emphasized. However, challenges remain, especially concerning regulatory mechanisms in Arizona and ongoing regulatory lag issues, which present some headwinds.

Southwest Gas Holdings Reports Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. is a company engaged in the distribution and transportation of natural gas, serving over 2 million customers across Arizona, Nevada, and California, and is also a majority owner of Centuri Holdings, Inc., which provides utility infrastructure services in North America.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025