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Pernod Ricard (PRNDY)
OTHER OTC:PRNDY
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Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) AI Stock Analysis

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PRNDY

Pernod Ricard

(OTC:PRNDY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(11.61% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins and stable leverage) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are constructive but somewhat extended, adding near-term pullback risk that tempers the overall rating.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained gross margins near 60% and improving net margin indicate durable pricing power from premium brands. High margins support marketing, aging inventories and dividend capacity, and provide a buffer versus input cost swings, underpinning long-term cash generation.
Negative Factors
Weak Revenue Growth
Negative top-line growth over recent periods suggests challenges expanding volumes or prices. Persistent revenue decline can erode operating leverage and limit investment capacity; reversing this requires sustained innovation, geographic execution or successful premium mix recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained gross margins near 60% and improving net margin indicate durable pricing power from premium brands. High margins support marketing, aging inventories and dividend capacity, and provide a buffer versus input cost swings, underpinning long-term cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Pernod Ricard (PRNDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pernod Ricard Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Pernod Ricard SA operates as a global purveyor of alcoholic beverages, manufacturing and distributing a diverse array of wines and spirits across international markets. The company, which offers its products under numerous distinct labels, was est...
How the Company Makes Money
Pernod Ricard primarily makes money by selling branded alcoholic beverages to distributors, wholesalers, retailers, and on-trade customers (e.g., bars, restaurants, hotels), with revenue recognized from shipments of its products across global mark...

Pernod Ricard Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a balanced picture: strong operational delivery (accelerated EUR 1bn efficiency program delivered half in FY26, improved cash conversion to 91%, EUR 1.2bn free cash flow, structure cost reductions, maintained dividend) and clear strategic initiatives (digital, RTD and format innovation, India momentum). At the same time, meaningful top-line pressures in the U.S. (-14%) and China (-19%), margin headwinds from price/mix and COGS, EPS decline (-19%) and an elevated net debt/EBITDA (3.7x) present tangible near-term challenges. Management emphasized disciplined cost control, targeted investments and a cautious FY27 outlook (flat organic sales) while aiming to return to mid-term growth around the lower end of the 3–6% band and reduce leverage below 3x by FY29.
Positive Updates
Operational Efficiency Acceleration
EUR 1.0 billion operational efficiencies program: ~50% delivered in FY26 (~EUR 500m) and full delivery now expected by FY28 (one year ahead of prior plan), driving margin protection and reinvestment capacity.
Negative Updates
Top-line Decline (Organic and Reported)
Net sales declined roughly -4% organically and -14% reported (currency and perimeter impacts), driven notably by weakness in the U.S., China and a Q4 Middle East impact.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Operational Efficiency Acceleration
EUR 1.0 billion operational efficiencies program: ~50% delivered in FY26 (~EUR 500m) and full delivery now expected by FY28 (one year ahead of prior plan), driving margin protection and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to broadly stable organic net sales for FY‑27 (while noting expected inventory adjustments and declines in the U.S. and China), with A&P maintained at circa 16% of net sales, strategic investments capped at ~€700m (vs €800m previously), and cash conversion targeted at ~90% (up from a prior 80% target). Management reiterated a medium‑term framework of organic net‑sales growth close to the lower end of the +3%–+6% range (around 3% on average for FY‑27 to FY‑29), organic operating‑margin expansion supported by the accelerated €1bn operational‑efficiency program (c.€500m delivered in FY‑26 and full delivery now expected by FY‑28), and a goal to bring net‑debt/EBITDA below 3x by FY‑29 (FY‑26 was ~3.7x). They also confirmed dividend policy (total €4.70 per share, final €2.35 payable in cash or shares) and anchored guidance to FY‑26 cash strength (FY‑26 free cash flow €1.2bn, +6%; FY‑26 cash conversion 91%) as the basis for deleveraging and continued brand investment.

Pernod Ricard Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (gross margin ~60% and net margin improving to 14.8% in 2025) and a stable balance sheet with balanced leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.8). Offsetting factors include negative recent revenue growth and mixed cash-flow quality (operating cash flow to net income below 1), despite a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.00B10.96B11.60B12.14B10.70B8.82B
Gross Profit5.83B6.52B6.97B7.25B6.47B5.29B
EBITDA2.88B3.19B3.19B3.75B3.33B2.63B
Net Income1.40B1.63B1.48B2.26B2.00B1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.66B37.08B39.19B37.68B36.01B32.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.40B1.83B2.68B1.61B2.53B2.08B
Total Debt13.60B12.59B13.62B11.87B11.17B9.60B
Total Liabilities21.14B20.85B22.39B20.96B19.76B17.07B
Stockholders Equity15.47B15.21B15.75B15.72B15.94B14.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.16B1.12B954.00M1.33B1.79B1.57B
Operating Cash Flow1.68B1.79B1.73B2.03B2.29B2.00B
Investing Cash Flow66.39M-521.00M-676.00M-1.73B-1.20B-486.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.35B-2.40B-209.00M-1.12B-683.00M-1.41B

Pernod Ricard Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$19.68B12.079.20%7.64%-6.18%35.75%
70
Outperform
$46.02B14.6518.13%4.28%4.24%19.95%
69
Neutral
$13.06B18.4717.63%3.42%-0.45%-16.82%
66
Neutral
$52.46B30.2615.52%4.00%-3.59%-26.73%
64
Neutral
$17.49B12.8223.13%3.14%-9.99%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
50
Neutral
$13.06B18.4717.63%3.29%-0.45%-16.82%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRNDY
Pernod Ricard
15.02
-7.34
-32.81%
BF.A
Brown Forman A
27.74
-0.63
-2.20%
STZ
Constellation Brands
131.43
-23.14
-14.97%
DEO
Diageo
92.09
-16.22
-14.98%
BF.B
Brown-Forman B
27.28
-0.74
-2.63%
ABEV
Ambev SA
2.88
0.74
34.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026