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Paycloud Holdings Inc. (JP:4015)
:4015
Japanese Market
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Paycloud Holdings Inc. (4015) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4015

Paycloud Holdings Inc.

(4015)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥554.00
▲(11.69% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/25/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—especially strong recent free cash flow and improved leverage—tempered by margin compression and historical volatility. Technical signals are currently weak (negative MACD, sub-50 RSI, and price below longer-term moving averages), while valuation appears moderate based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained, growing free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, debt reduction, and strategic investments. Even with some year-to-year variability, materially higher FCF in 2025 versus 2023 strengthens financial flexibility and supports long-term operations and optionality.
Negative Factors
Gross margin compression
A steep, persistent decline in gross margin materially reduces operating leverage and the firm's ability to convert revenue into profit. This compression suggests structural cost, pricing or mix pressures that will require either efficiency gains or higher revenue to restore prior profitability levels.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Sustained, growing free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, debt reduction, and strategic investments. Even with some year-to-year variability, materially higher FCF in 2025 versus 2023 strengthens financial flexibility and supports long-term operations and optionality.
Read all positive factors

Paycloud Holdings Inc. (4015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Paycloud Holdings Inc. provides technology solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through the Cashless Service Business, Digital Signage Related Business, Solution Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company provides end-user...
How the Company Makes Money
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Paycloud Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rapid revenue scaling and strong, improving free-cash-flow generation support the score. Offsetting factors include materially compressed gross margins, very thin recent net margins, and past earnings/cash-flow volatility (notably 2022), which reduce overall quality.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownAug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022Aug 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.23B6.85B4.48B1.17B1.46B
Gross Profit3.75B3.01B2.30B747.52M1.01B
EBITDA1.19B696.26M497.63M-123.23M341.94M
Net Income143.75M74.15M114.13M-1.83B229.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.54B8.26B4.40B4.04B3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.37B3.23B1.49B1.09B560.69M
Total Debt1.77B1.84B1.26B1.93B1.80B
Total Liabilities5.01B4.05B2.24B2.61B2.08B
Stockholders Equity4.53B4.22B2.16B1.43B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.39B1.16B542.00M-226.96M37.56M
Operating Cash Flow1.41B1.16B561.86M-218.22M46.59M
Investing Cash Flow-272.80M-19.77M-87.64M-194.09M-2.51B
Financing Cash Flow10.99M121.07M-80.73M-96.72M2.32B

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price496.00
Price Trends
50DMA
470.58
Positive
100DMA
468.30
Positive
200DMA
509.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.94
Negative
RSI
65.66
Neutral
STOCH
93.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 496 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 486.10, above the 50-day MA of 470.58, and below the 200-day MA of 509.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4015.

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥18.93B17.893.14%-3.85%-16.72%
70
Outperform
¥25.99B11.704.58%6.58%35.23%
65
Neutral
¥8.25B120.614.31%-77.64%
64
Neutral
¥33.37B16.1232.07%349.54%
64
Neutral
¥8.17B34.380.12%32.64%-50.91%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
¥31.98B29.4018.09%-50.60%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4015
Paycloud Holdings Inc.
515.00
-354.00
-40.74%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
411.00
-88.12
-17.65%
JP:4477
BASE, Inc.
283.00
-100.30
-26.17%
JP:5027
AnyMind Group Inc.
521.00
-9.31
-1.76%
JP:5588
Fast Accounting Co.,Ltd.
725.00
-805.47
-52.63%
JP:9629
PCA Corporation
1,375.00
-297.47
-17.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2026