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Paycloud Holdings Inc. (JP:4015)
:4015
Japanese Market
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Paycloud Holdings Inc. (4015) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4015

Paycloud Holdings Inc.

(4015)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥538.00
▲(8.47% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/16/26
The score is primarily held back by weak and volatile cash flow (including a sharp 2026 deterioration) and margin compression despite the profitability turnaround and improved leverage. Technical signals are mixed/neutral, and valuation appears mid-range based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue Scaling and Profitability Turnaround
The substantial multi-year revenue increase shows that Paycloud has expanded its business meaningfully, while the return to sustained profitability demonstrates improved operating execution. This combination provides a stronger foundation for future growth than the loss-making position seen in 2022.
Negative Factors
Sharp Cash Flow Deterioration
The sharp 2026 reduction in operating and free cash flow weakens confidence in the durability of reported earnings and limits internally funded investment capacity. If cash conversion remains inconsistent, working-capital swings could continue to create financing needs despite accounting profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Scaling and Profitability Turnaround
The substantial multi-year revenue increase shows that Paycloud has expanded its business meaningfully, while the return to sustained profitability demonstrates improved operating execution. This combination provides a stronger foundation for future growth than the loss-making position seen in 2022.
Read all positive factors

Paycloud Holdings Inc. (4015) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Paycloud Holdings Inc. provides technology solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through the Cashless Service Business, Digital Signage Related Business, Solution Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company provides end-user...

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a clear turnaround and meaningful multi-year revenue scaling with respectable 2026 operating/EBITDA margins, but gross margin has compressed materially and net margin remains thin. Balance sheet leverage has improved to moderate levels with equity growth, though returns have not been consistently strong. Cash flow is the key weakness due to high volatility and a sharp 2026 drop in operating/free cash flow, raising concerns about earnings quality and working-capital swings.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMAug 2026Aug 2025Aug 2024Aug 2023Aug 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.65B11.14B10.23B6.85B4.48B1.17B
Gross Profit3.94B4.06B3.75B3.01B2.30B747.52M
EBITDA1.24B1.31B1.19B696.26M497.63M-123.23M
Net Income133.82M418.90M143.75M74.15M114.13M-1.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.03B9.33B9.54B8.26B4.40B4.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.51B3.83B4.37B3.23B1.49B1.09B
Total Debt1.72B1.71B1.77B1.84B1.26B1.93B
Total Liabilities5.24B4.59B5.01B4.05B2.24B2.61B
Stockholders Equity4.79B4.74B4.53B4.22B2.16B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.39B195.31M1.39B1.16B542.00M-226.96M
Operating Cash Flow1.41B227.87M1.41B1.16B561.86M-218.22M
Investing Cash Flow-272.80M-452.02M-272.80M-19.77M-87.64M-194.09M
Financing Cash Flow10.99M-312.68M10.99M121.07M-80.73M-96.72M

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price496.00
Price Trends
50DMA
530.90
Positive
100DMA
519.66
Positive
200DMA
497.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.70
Negative
RSI
55.39
Neutral
STOCH
34.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 496 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 526.65, below the 50-day MA of 530.90, and below the 200-day MA of 497.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4015.

Paycloud Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥20.40B19.80―3.36%-2.50%-17.10%
79
Outperform
¥28.78B13.95―6.17%8.18%35.49%
74
Outperform
¥43.64B19.19―1.29%34.68%552.65%
64
Neutral
¥7.57B31.72―0.55%25.25%-49.30%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
¥47.15B37.55―0.25%28.94%-29.21%
57
Neutral
¥8.19B19.89――8.88%191.06%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4015
Paycloud Holdings Inc.
541.00
0.00
0.00%
JP:3835
eBASE Co., Ltd.
450.00
26.82
6.34%
JP:4477
BASE, Inc.
350.00
33.88
10.72%
JP:5027
AnyMind Group Inc.
767.00
76.20
11.03%
JP:5588
Fast Accounting Co.,Ltd.
664.00
-629.17
-48.65%
JP:9629
PCA Corporation
1,567.00
-294.56
-15.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026