Headwaters Co., Ltd. (4011) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥13.13B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 23.83K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 108.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.74
• Revenue Growth: 28.99%
• EPS Growth: -16.50%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 240
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): -8.42
• Shares Outstanding: 3,840,144
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 32,270
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 23,833
• PEG Ratio: 0.29
• Price to Book (P/B): 17.61
• Price to Sales (P/S): 7.68
• P/FCF Ratio: 189.34
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Headwaters Co., Ltd. is well-positioned with strong financial performance, highlighted by significant revenue growth and a robust balance sheet with no debt. However, the valuation appears stretched, and technical indicators suggest potential volatility. These factors balance out to an overall stock score reflecting moderate confidence in the company's near-term prospects.

Headwaters Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Headwaters Co.,Ltd engages in planning and developing artificial intelligence (AI) applications in Japan. It is also involved in the digital transformation, AI platform operation, cloud service operation, cloud robotics service, and robot application production activities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Headwaters Co., Ltd. makes money primarily through the sale of its AI solutions and services. The company's revenue streams include licensing fees from its proprietary AI software, custom AI solution development for specific client needs, and ongoing service contracts for AI implementation and maintenance. Additionally, Headwaters Co., Ltd. may engage in strategic partnerships with other technology firms to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, thereby driving further revenue growth. These partnerships can also lead to joint ventures or collaborative projects where revenue is shared based on mutual agreements.

Headwaters Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Headwaters Co., Ltd. exhibits strong financial health, driven by a 25.5% revenue growth and enhanced profitability with a net profit margin of 9.4%. The balance sheet is robust, featuring no debt and a high equity ratio of 70.3%. Although cash flow generation is solid, the cash conversion efficiency requires improvement, as indicated by the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.53.

Income Statement

Headwaters Co., Ltd. has demonstrated impressive revenue growth with a 25.5% increase from the previous year, indicating strong demand for its offerings. The gross profit margin stands at 42.6%, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved to 9.4%, showcasing enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 10.6% suggests room for operational improvements. Despite this, the EBITDA margin of 11.3% highlights strong cash generation from operations.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a robust balance sheet with no debt, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The equity ratio of 70.3% indicates a strong capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved to 21.5%, demonstrating effective utilization of shareholder funds. The absence of leverage minimizes financial risks, positioning the company for sustainable growth.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has grown by 65.2%, reflecting better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.53 suggests a need to enhance cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.43 indicates that a significant portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow, although further improvement is desirable.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.21B	2.91B	2.32B	1.57B	1.17B	1.15B
Gross Profit	1.36B	1.24B	855.09M	645.54M	524.26M	547.95M
EBITDA	100.48M	327.00M	110.03M	121.43M	70.87M	161.91M
Net Income	119.39M	272.79M	70.68M	75.14M	27.04M	153.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.66B	1.80B	1.29B	1.17B	973.21M	936.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	833.10M	843.23M	897.90M	818.61M	765.55M	753.50M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	448.06M	527.79M	332.58M	293.80M	172.91M	180.40M
Stockholders Equity	1.20B	1.27B	958.44M	875.44M	800.30M	756.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	117.83M	71.44M	43.41M	45.34M	172.21M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	144.41M	87.66M	84.27M	48.08M	179.36M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-210.97M	-13.48M	-31.21M	-52.78M	-8.98M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	10.25M	5.40M	0.00	16.75M	180.47M

Headwaters Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3360.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4011, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3360 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3470.50, below the 50-day MA of 3694.40, and below the 200-day MA of 3930.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -103.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4011.

Headwaters Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3937	81 Outperform	¥13.60B	14.45	―	3.60%	2.47%	46.51%
4193	73 Outperform	¥11.07B	30.77	―	2.77%	13.71%	-48.11%
4011	67 Neutral	¥13.13B	108.92	―	―	28.99%	-16.50%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
4425	44 Neutral	¥12.13B	-12.35	―	―	38.13%	-281.13%
4169	41 Neutral	¥13.38B	58.59	―	―	18.68%	―
3823	40 Neutral	¥7.89B	-73.56	―	―	134.28%	94.55%