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Honda Motor Company (HMC) AI Stock Analysis

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HMC

Honda Motor Company

(NYSE:HMC)

Select Model
Rating:51.3Neutral
Price Target:$35.00â–²(2.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance, including losses, higher leverage, negative ROE, and declining free cash flow. Positive technical momentum and upgraded earnings guidance provide support, but the negative P/E and significant EV, China, production, and cost risks keep the overall assessment cautious.

Positive Factors
Motorcycle franchise strengthHonda’s motorcycle franchise is producing record profitability while sales in India and Brazil support volume growth. This geographic demand and established global scale can provide a durable earnings counterweight to weaker auto markets and reduce dependence on a single product cycle.
Negative Factors
Large and uncertain EV lossesEV-related losses are projected at ¥520 billion, while supplier-compensation negotiations and potential exposure of up to ¥2.5 trillion remain uncertain. This creates a material, multi-period drag on earnings and cash allocation, with additional sensitivity to yen-dollar movements.

Honda Motor Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SegmentShows revenue contributions from each business area, indicating which segments are growing, stable, or declining, and providing insight into the company's strategic focus and market positioning.

Â¥0.00Â¥1.00TÂ¥2.00TÂ¥3.00TÂ¥4.00TÂ¥5.00TÂ¥6.00TMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Honda’s revenue mix has meaningfully shifted: automobile revenues peaked in late‑2023 and have slid through 2025, signaling softer auto demand or normalization after the post‑COVID recovery, which could pressure margins given autos’ scale. That deterioration is being offset by a persistent motorcycle uptrend—motorcycle revenue has steadily accelerated into 2025—reducing reliance on cyclical car sales and highlighting strength in two‑wheeler markets. Financial services remain a stable growth buffer, while Power/Product & Other are immaterial to near‑term top‑line momentum.

Data provided by:The Fly

Honda Motor Company (HMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%HMC+18.44%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$44.51B
Dividend Yield
4.25%
Average Volume (3M)
893.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-37.3
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
2.11%
EPS Growth
-136.48%
Country
US
Employees
195,109
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Manufacturers

Honda Motor Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. is a global enterprise that designs, manufactures, and markets a diverse array of products, primarily motorcycles, automobiles, and power equipment, reaching customers across Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and other interna...

How the Company Makes Money

Honda primarily makes money by selling products and services across its major businesses and related financing activities. (1) Automobile sales: A large portion of revenue is generated from the sale of Honda- and Acura-branded vehicles to dealers and...

Honda Motor Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:13.88%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call reported strong, record first-quarter results (record operating profit, robust motorcycle performance, upgraded full-year guidance and a very strong net cash position), but these positives are offset by several significant and ongoing risks: meaningful China auto-market weakness, large and uncertain EV-related losses tied to supplier compensation (with FX exposure), material cost inflation driven by geopolitical uncertainty, and production disruptions from the Kumamoto earthquake. Management has raised guidance and emphasized financial resilience, yet material downside risks remain. The balance of meaningful near-term achievements and clear medium-term uncertainties results in a mixed but stable outlook.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Operating Profit
Operating profit for Q1 reached a record JPY 530.7 billion (up JPY 286.5 billion year-on-year). Quarterly profit attributable to owners increased to JPY 450.9 billion (up JPY 254.2 billion YoY). Adjusted operating profit (ex-EV losses) was JPY 530.7 billion, up JPY 164.5 billion YoY.

Negative Updates

China Automobile Market Weakness
Automobile sales decreased overall (group auto units 786,000). Honda's China retail units in Q1 were ~80,000, roughly 50% below last year, as ICE/hybrid segments shrank ~40% YoY. Guidance for China (initially ~480,000 units) is behind schedule and recovery is expected to take time despite a joint-venture contract extension with GAC.

Company Guidance

Honda maintained FY Mar‑31, 2027 guidance assuming JPY155/USD and raised operating profit to JPY650.0 billion (up JPY150.0b), adjusted operating profit (ex‑EV losses) to JPY1.17 trillion (up JPY170.0b), and profit attributable to owners to JPY400.0 billion (up JPY140.0b) while revising EV‑related losses to JPY520.0 billion; group unit sales were unchanged at Motorcycles 22.8 million, Automobiles 3.39 million and Power Products 3.65 million. Q1 results beat expectations with record operating profit JPY530.7 billion, Q1 profit attributable JPY450.9 billion, motorcycle operating profit JPY233.9 billion, automobile operating profit JPY192.1 billion, financial services JPY105.8 billion and power products/other loss JPY1.1 billion; Q1 adjusted operating profit (ex‑EV) was JPY530.7 billion (up JPY164.5b YoY) with foreign exchange and tariff effects positive (FX +JPY90.8b, tariffs +JPY78.1b). Financial position and cash metrics stayed strong: net cash of non‑financial services JPY3,331.8 billion, non‑financial free cash flow JPY128.3 billion and operating cash flow after R&D adjustment JPY737.1 billion, and shareholder returns were unchanged at JPY70 per share (targeting DOE ~3%).

Honda Motor Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall: negative EBIT and net income, sharply higher debt, negative ROE, and negative free cash flow outweigh strong revenue scale, gross profit, and positive operating cash flow.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

30Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.20T21.80T21.69T20.43T16.91T14.55T
Gross Profit3.67T3.60T4.66T4.41T3.33T2.98T
EBITDA1.04T983.52B2.12T2.50T1.64T1.50T
Net Income-219.01B-423.94B835.84B1.11T651.42B707.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.97T33.65T30.78T29.77T24.67T23.97T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.69T5.09T4.74T5.18T4.07T3.89T
Total Debt13.91T13.54T4.42T10.08T7.62T8.05T
Total Liabilities21.68T21.45T18.15T16.77T13.17T13.20T
Stockholders Equity12.04T11.87T12.33T12.70T11.18T10.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-56.34B237.72B-555.28B138.61B1.50T1.23T
Operating Cash Flow1.40T1.14T292.15B747.28B2.13T1.68T
Investing Cash Flow-1.16T-852.17B-941.97B-867.27B-678.06B-376.06B
Financing Cash Flow328.17B-36.92B280.48B918.65B-1.47T-615.72B

Honda Motor Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price34.30

Price Trends

50DMA33.17Positive
100DMA31.56Positive
200DMA29.09Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.37Positive
RSI52.04Neutral
STOCH19.56Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.30 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.42, above the 50-day MA of 33.17, and above the 200-day MA of 29.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HMC.

Honda Motor Company Risk Analysis

Honda Motor Company disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Honda Motor Company reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Honda Motor Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HMC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TMTM71Outperform$253.41B9.9011.22%2.96%1.73%-7.46%
GMGM69Neutral$72.55B19.466.32%0.80%-0.26%-11.45%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
TSLATSLA58Neutral$1.54T394.163.76%―8.30%-39.19%
HMCHMC51Neutral$44.88B-37.29-1.80%4.25%2.11%-136.48%
RIVNRIVN49Neutral$17.78B-5.41-60.10%―11.05%27.65%
FF45Neutral$47.56B-6.08-21.35%5.04%-1.38%-252.96%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%HMCFGMTSLATMRIVNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HMC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HMCHonda Motors34.305.3018.28%
FFord Motor Company11.91-0.39-3.16%
GMGeneral Motors Company86.0018.6727.73%
TSLATesla, Inc.390.22-18.70-4.57%
TMToyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord212.4313.436.75%
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.12.18-2.69-18.09%

Honda Motor Company Corporate Events

Honda Reports Fiscal First-Half Results for Six Months Ended September 30

Nov 10, 2026

Honda Motor Co. announced on November 10, 2026, its consolidated financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2026. Sales revenue was ¥12,037,658 million, up 13.2% from the year-earlier period, while operating profit increased 48.1% to ¥6...

Honda Announces $3 Billion Ohio Plant and North American Hybrid Investments

Nov 9, 2026

Honda Motor Co. is an automaker producing Honda and Acura vehicles, engines and hybrid systems, with manufacturing and development operations across North America. On Nov. 9, 2026, the company announced a $3 billion investment in a new auto plant in...

Honda and Nissan Strike SDV ECU Standardization Deal for 2029 Launch

Aug 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. announced that it has entered into a joint development agreement with Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. to standardize key electronic control units that underpin next-generation software-defined vehicles, along with the...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026