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Rivian Automotive
(NASDAQ:RIVN)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▼(-25.33% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/08/26
The score is held down mainly by weak financial fundamentals—large ongoing losses, heavy negative free cash flow, and rising leverage—despite improving margins and meaningful revenue growth. Technicals add additional pressure with a bearish trend below key moving averages. Offsetting these, the latest earnings call was moderately positive with raised delivery guidance, reduced CapEx, and an improved liquidity plan, but profitability remains a material near-term challenge.
Positive Factors
Revenue Scale and Margin Improvement
Rivian has built substantial revenue scale while moving gross profit into positive territory, indicating improving production economics and demand execution. Although the company is not yet profitable, this trajectory provides a stronger foundation for future operating leverage as vehicle volumes increase and newer programs mature.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Cash Burn
Rivian’s operating model continues to consume substantial cash despite revenue growth and improving gross profit. Deep net losses and negative free cash flow reduce internally generated funding, require continued liquidity management, and leave the company exposed if the path to operating breakeven takes longer than planned.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Scale and Margin Improvement
Rivian has built substantial revenue scale while moving gross profit into positive territory, indicating improving production economics and demand execution. Although the company is not yet profitable, this trajectory provides a stronger foundation for future operating leverage as vehicle volumes increase and newer programs mature.
Read all positive factors
Rivian Automotive Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Vehicles Produced
Tracks the number of vehicles manufactured, indicating Rivian's production capacity and efficiency, as well as its ability to meet consumer demand.
Tracks the number of vehicles manufactured, indicating Rivian's production capacity and efficiency, as well as its ability to meet consumer demand.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyRivian Automotive (RIVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.00B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)24.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.07
Revenue Growth14.21%
EPS Growth20.20%
CountryUS
Employees15,232
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding1,443,948,100
10 Day Avg. Volume22,246,048
30 Day Avg. Volume24,065,302
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.19
Price to Book (P/B)5.12
Price to Sales (P/S)4.34
P/FCF Ratio-9.39
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.28
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.92
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit52.16
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-10.78
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$17.47Price Target Upside4.34% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering15
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Rivian Automotive Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Rivian Automotive, Inc. specializes in the design, engineering, and manufacturing of electric vehicles and related accessories. The company produces five-passenger electric pickup trucks and sport utility vehicles for individual consumers. Further...
Rivian Automotive Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.88B | 5.39B | 4.97B | 4.43B | 1.66B | 55.00M |
| Gross Profit | 442.00M | 144.00M | -1.20B | -2.03B | -3.12B | -465.00M |
| EBITDA | -2.14B | -2.56B | -3.39B | -4.27B | -5.99B | -4.46B |
| Net Income | -3.23B | -3.65B | -4.75B | -5.43B | -6.75B | -4.69B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 15.14B | 14.86B | 15.41B | 16.78B | 17.88B | 22.29B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.31B | 6.08B | 7.70B | 9.37B | 11.57B | 18.13B |
| Total Debt | 5.35B | 6.65B | 5.74B | 5.12B | 1.81B | 1.61B |
| Total Liabilities | 10.01B | 10.27B | 8.85B | 7.64B | 4.08B | 2.78B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.13B | 4.57B | 6.56B | 9.14B | 13.80B | 19.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -3.49B | -2.49B | -2.86B | -5.89B | -6.42B | -4.42B |
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.84B | -779.00M | -1.72B | -4.87B | -5.05B | -2.62B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -839.00M | -1.83B | -1.98B | -2.51B | -1.37B | -1.79B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.47B | 886.00M | 1.14B | 3.13B | 99.00M | 19.83B |
Rivian Automotive Technical Analysis
Negative
16.74
Price Trends
14.97
Negative
15.78
Negative
15.68
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.83
Positive
22.35
Positive
9.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RIVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.78, above the 50-day MA of 14.97, and above the 200-day MA of 15.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.35 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RIVN.
Rivian Automotive Risk Analysis
Rivian Automotive disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rivian Automotive reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Rivian Automotive Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $1.53T | 327.52 | 4.58% | ― | 11.75% | -37.64% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
57 Neutral | $67.64B | 17.22 | 6.32% | 0.91% | -0.26% | -11.45% | |
54 Neutral | $48.45B | -6.40 | -18.90% | 5.04% | 1.47% | -315.47% | |
47 Neutral | $18.00B | -4.83 | -67.49% | ― | 14.21% | 20.20% | |
45 Neutral | $6.71B | -1.44 | 79.30% | ― | 73.93% | -48.37% | |
42 Neutral | $1.29B | -0.23 | -254.84% | ― | 66.54% | -22.69% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
RIVN
Rivian Automotive
12.06
-1.03
-7.87%
F
Ford Motor
11.94
0.15
1.27%
GM
General Motors
77.21
10.93
16.49%
TSLA
Tesla
374.58
-74.40
-16.57%
LCID
Lucid Group
3.46
-15.19
-81.45%
VFS
VinFast Auto
2.96
-0.28
-8.64%
Rivian Automotive Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rivian Secures $1 Billion Volkswagen Joint Venture Financing
Positive
Oct 7, 2026
On October 7, 2026, Rivian Automotive announced that its joint venture with Volkswagen Group had fully funded a committed $1.0 billion, 10-year term loan facility provided by Volkswagen Group, structured as two $1.0 billion loans between the joint...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rivian Reaffirms 2026 Delivery Outlook After Strong Quarter
Positive
Oct 2, 2026
On October 2, 2026, Rivian reported that it produced 19,751 vehicles and delivered 19,248 vehicles in the quarter ended September 30, 2026 from its Normal, Illinois plant, with results described as in line with its outlook. The company reaffirmed ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Rivian Announces CFO Transition and Interim Finance Leadership
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026
Rivian announced on August 27, 2026 that Chief Financial Officer Claire McDonough will resign effective October 30, 2026, after nearly six years of financial and strategic leadership, to pursue a new opportunity and relocate to the East Coast. Her...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.