Want to see GXO full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
GXO Logistics
(NYSE:GXO)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$47.00
▼(-2.08% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
GXO’s score is held back primarily by middling financial quality (sharp TTM revenue decline and elevated leverage) and weak technical positioning (price below key moving averages with negative momentum). These are partially offset by a solid earnings-call setup—reaffirmed 2026 targets supported by strong new-business wins/pipeline and improving leverage—though valuation remains a headwind with a high P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Commercial Momentum
Record wins, a substantial pipeline and over $1B of 2026 revenue secured support durable customer demand. Strategic-vertical expansion may improve growth quality and provide a multi-period foundation for contract logistics revenue.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High debt relative to equity limits flexibility during weaker customer volumes or costly contract transitions. It also increases the importance of consistent cash generation and may constrain acquisitions, technology spending or shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Commercial Momentum
Record wins, a substantial pipeline and over $1B of 2026 revenue secured support durable customer demand. Strategic-vertical expansion may improve growth quality and provide a multi-period foundation for contract logistics revenue.
Read all positive factors
GXO Logistics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down sales by region (for example North America, Europe, Asia), revealing where GXO earns most of its business and how exposed it is to regional slowdowns, currency moves, or regulatory changes. Shows whether growth is coming from core, higher-margin markets or from expansion into new regions, and helps assess geographic diversification and the company’s sensitivity to local economic cycles.
Breaks down sales by region (for example North America, Europe, Asia), revealing where GXO earns most of its business and how exposed it is to regional slowdowns, currency moves, or regulatory changes. Shows whether growth is coming from core, higher-margin markets or from expansion into new regions, and helps assess geographic diversification and the company’s sensitivity to local economic cycles.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyGXO Logistics (GXO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.54B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.49M
Price to Earnings (P/E)40.8
Beta (1Y)1.07
Revenue Growth7.55%
EPS Growth114.56%
CountryUS
Employees150,000
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.14
Shares Outstanding114,684,580
10 Day Avg. Volume1,111,126
30 Day Avg. Volume1,485,174
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.51
Price to Book (P/B)2.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.46
P/FCF Ratio55.36
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$69.83Price Target Upside45.49% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)3.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)$13.96B
GXO Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its associated entities, delivers a full range of logistics solutions globally. The company's services include warehousing, distribution, order fulfillment, specialized e-commerce support, and various other suppl...
How the Company Makes Money
GXO primarily makes money by delivering contract logistics services under multi-year customer agreements and charging fees for operating and managing warehouses and fulfillment networks. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Operations/manage...
GXO Logistics Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong commercial momentum (recorded wins, a growing $2.7B pipeline and over $1B secured for 2026), improving balance sheet metrics (net leverage down, bond repayment, share repurchases resumed) and concrete technology scaling plans (GXO IQ and robot deployments). Management reiterated and tightened guidance while forecasting margin expansion in H2 and into 2027. Near-term weaknesses include flat year-over-year margins (6.4% adjusted EBITDA margin), modest quarterly free cash flow ($12M), remaining integration and execution risk, and experimental status of humanoid robotics. On balance the positives — particularly the accelerated wins, breadth/quality of pipeline, deleveraging and clear execution plan for AI/automation — outweigh the near-term operational and execution headwinds.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Organic Expansion
Second-quarter revenue of $3.4 billion, up 4% year-over-year with organic revenue growth of 3.4%.
Negative Updates
Margins Remain Flat Year-over-Year
Adjusted EBITDA margin was 6.4% in Q2, consistent with the prior year; management acknowledged current EBIT margins of ~3.5%–4% and stated they lag industry peers, targeting >6% over time.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth and Organic Expansion
Second-quarter revenue of $3.4 billion, up 4% year-over-year with organic revenue growth of 3.4%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
GXO tightened its 2026 guidance (midpoints unchanged) while reaffirming organic revenue growth of 4%–5%, adjusted EBITDA of $945M–$965M, adjusted diluted EPS of $2.95–$3.15 and free cash flow conversion of 30%–40%; management said Q2 results ($3.4B revenue, +4% Y/Y, +3.4% organic; adjusted EBITDA $219M; adjusted EPS $0.59; adjusted EBITDA margin 6.4%) and commercial momentum underpin that view and should drive margin improvement in the back half of the year. Key cash and balance-sheet metrics included operating cash flow of $76M and free cash flow of $12M in Q2, $769M of cash on hand, net leverage of 2.6x (down from 3.0x), repayment of $400M of bonds post-quarter, $21M of share repurchases YTD with ~ $280M remaining authorization, and an on-track $60M run-rate Wincanton synergy by year-end. Commercial metrics supporting guidance: Q2 new business wins of $410M (up >30% Y/Y), nearly $640M of wins in H1 (+~20% Y/Y), a post-quarter pipeline of $2.7B, more than $1B of incremental new-business revenue secured for 2026 (and ~$353M secured for 2027), plus technology/automation scale (GXO IQ ~50 sites in 2026 and ~20,000 robots deployed this year) that management expects will help accelerate growth and expand margins into 2027.GXO Logistics Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 13.64B | 13.18B | 11.71B | 9.78B | 8.99B | 7.94B |
| Gross Profit | 1.85B | 1.53B | 1.44B | 1.38B | 1.22B | 968.00M |
| EBITDA | 776.97M | 694.00M | 664.00M | 680.00M | 622.00M | 509.00M |
| Net Income | 131.00M | 32.00M | 134.00M | 229.00M | 197.00M | 153.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.37B | 12.26B | 11.27B | 9.51B | 9.22B | 7.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 769.00M | 854.00M | 413.00M | 468.00M | 495.00M | 333.00M |
| Total Debt | 6.12B | 7.90B | 5.18B | 4.09B | 4.22B | 2.81B |
| Total Liabilities | 9.35B | 9.25B | 8.23B | 6.56B | 6.54B | 4.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.99B | 2.98B | 3.00B | 2.91B | 2.65B | 2.35B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 180.00M | 110.00M | 190.00M | 284.00M | 200.00M | 205.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 509.00M | 434.00M | 549.00M | 558.00M | 542.00M | 455.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -199.00M | -196.00M | -1.16B | -410.00M | -1.15B | -207.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 276.00M | 111.00M | 636.00M | -186.00M | 787.00M | -241.00M |
GXO Logistics Technical Analysis
Neutral
48.00
Price Trends
49.68
Negative
50.48
Negative
52.94
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.62
Negative
51.42
Neutral
55.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GXO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.19, below the 50-day MA of 49.68, and below the 200-day MA of 52.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GXO.
GXO Logistics Risk Analysis
GXO Logistics disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GXO Logistics reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
GXO Logistics Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $24.54B | 26.99 | 40.68% | 0.85% | 6.77% | 12.05% | |
74 Outperform | $25.71B | 39.03 | 18.75% | 0.65% | 5.28% | 28.24% | |
69 Neutral | $76.33B | 17.11 | 15.11% | 1.50% | 7.73% | 10.07% | |
65 Neutral | $22.61B | 55.41 | 21.57% | ― | 7.03% | 16.37% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
58 Neutral | $17.25B | 28.27 | 36.01% | 1.68% | -0.09% | 19.50% | |
54 Neutral | $5.54B | 40.80 | 4.41% | ― | 7.55% | 114.56% |
* Industrials Sector Average
GXO
GXO Logistics
46.71
-4.18
-8.21%
CHRW
CH Robinson
150.10
25.94
20.90%
EXPD
Expeditors International
185.96
66.25
55.34%
XPO
XPO
190.06
59.48
45.55%
FDX
FedEx
314.13
134.67
75.05%
JBHT
JB Hunt
274.78
134.92
96.47%
GXO Logistics Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
GXO Logistics Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Aug 20, 2026
On August 17, 2026, GXO Logistics’ board appointed Christina Carvalho as chief accounting officer, effective September 14, 2026, ending the interim tenure of Laura Bracken in that role. Carvalho, a Certified Public Accountant, brings extensi...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
GXO Logistics Highlights Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Performance Metrics
Neutral
Aug 4, 2026
On August 4, 2026, GXO Logistics released a slide presentation detailing its second‑quarter 2026 results and the non‑GAAP metrics it uses to assess its contract logistics business. The materials, furnished in connection with upcoming i...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
GXO Logistics Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay
Positive
May 22, 2026
GXO Logistics, Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders on May 20, 2026, where shareholders elected ten directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting or until their successors are in place. The vote results showed strong support for mo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.