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Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPD

Expeditors International

(NYSE:EXPD)

Select Model
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:$233.00â–²(17.86% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

EXPD scores well mainly on financial quality (low leverage, strong ROE, improving TTM growth and solid cash generation) and a strong technical uptrend. The primary offset is valuation (P/E ~25.9 with a modest ~0.77% yield), which reduces the margin of safety despite positive corporate developments.

Positive Factors
Market share and demand growthShare gains across strategically focused markets and double-digit growth across most businesses indicate improving competitive traction and broad customer demand. Expanding the customer base and diversifying revenues could make performance more durable across regions, products, and operating conditions.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and volatile revenueThe uneven revenue history shows meaningful exposure to global trade cycles, shipment volumes, and freight-market conditions. Although growth has recovered, another weakening in logistics activity could reduce revenue momentum and make near-term operating performance less predictable.

Expeditors International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.

-$1.00B$0.00$1.00B$2.00B$3.00B$4.00B$5.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

After a 2021 boom and steep 2022–early‑2023 pullback, revenue has staged a clear recovery since mid‑2024 led by North and South Asia and MEAI, with the U.S. trailing but gaining momentum into 2025. That pattern underlines Expeditors’ sensitivity to Asian trade cycles—which are currently the primary growth engine—while Europe and Latin America provide downside diversification; full upside, however, hinges on sustained volume and pricing recovery rather than a return to the inflation‑driven peaks of 2021.

Data provided by:The Fly

Expeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%EXPD+45.35%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$25.70B
Dividend Yield
0.80%
Average Volume (3M)
1.05M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
25.0
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
18.64%
EPS Growth
28.14%
Country
US
Employees
19,800
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Integrated Freight & Logistics

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. functions as a prominent global logistics and supply chain management enterprise. With a vast operational footprint spanning the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India,...

How the Company Makes Money

Expeditors makes money primarily by arranging and managing the transportation and handling of customers’ shipments and charging for these services. A key revenue stream is freight forwarding (air and ocean): Expeditors buys transportation capacity fr...

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials reflect a high-quality operator: strong profitability and ROE alongside low leverage. TTM revenue growth has re-accelerated (~10%) and free cash flow rebounded strongly, but results remain cyclical with prior revenue contraction and some margin/cash-flow timing variability (working-capital swings).

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

86Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.25B11.07B10.60B9.30B17.07B16.52B
Gross Profit3.62B1.69B1.35B1.25B2.17B2.17B
EBITDA1.41B1.15B1.16B1.09B1.92B1.98B
Net Income1.04B813.76M810.07M752.88M1.36B1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.79B4.89B4.75B4.52B5.59B7.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.09B1.31B1.15B1.51B2.03B1.73B
Total Debt575.84M570.59M568.94M527.73M518.47M467.66M
Total Liabilities3.44B2.53B2.53B2.13B2.48B4.11B
Stockholders Equity2.34B2.36B2.22B2.39B3.11B3.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow927.87M953.40M682.89M1.01B2.04B832.25M
Operating Cash Flow983.74M1.01B723.36M1.05B2.13B868.49M
Investing Cash Flow-27.03M-44.70M-40.52M-39.43M-87.71M-36.65M
Financing Cash Flow-1.04B-802.48M-1.03B-1.54B-1.68B-613.55M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price197.69

Price Trends

50DMA192.51Positive
100DMA183.25Positive
200DMA167.13Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.45Negative
RSI53.34Neutral
STOCH63.93Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 197.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 197.20, above the 50-day MA of 192.51, and above the 200-day MA of 167.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Risk Analysis

Expeditors International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.We are exposed to risks relating to evaluations of internal control over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures.Q4, 2025
2.The current volatile international trade environment as a result of intergovernmental disputes, trade actions, increased tariffs and other geo-political risks may adversely impact our business and operating results.Q4, 2025

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

EXPD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
EXPDEXPD78Outperform$26.56B25.0245.78%0.80%18.64%28.14%
FDXFDX70Outperform$74.48B20.4512.56%1.45%3.09%14.94%
UPSUPS66Neutral$92.88B21.9428.51%5.74%-0.18%-19.99%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CHRWCHRW62Neutral$15.48B23.7339.59%1.88%10.38%12.97%
GXOGXO61Neutral$5.97B47.674.56%―7.08%54.11%
LSTRLSTR60Neutral$5.09B32.0419.67%2.41%10.70%20.54%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%80%EXPDCHRWFDXLSTRUPSGXODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
EXPD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EXPDExpeditors International Of Washington197.6964.5448.47%
CHRWCh Robinson Worldwide133.84-12.16-8.33%
FDXFedEx Corporation329.40124.4360.71%
LSTRLandstar System Inc151.2526.3321.08%
UPSUnited Parcel Service114.3126.4830.15%
GXOGxo Logistics Inc56.966.1412.08%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividends

Expeditors Declares Semi-Annual Dividend, Boosting Shareholder Returns

Positive
Nov 3, 2026

On November 3, 2026, Expeditors said its board had declared a semi-annual cash dividend of $0.81 per share on November 2, payable December 15 to shareholders of record December 1. The company said the dividend would contribute to more than $1 billion...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Expeditors International Elevates Leadership for Professional Services

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

Effective Oct. 1, 2026, Expeditors International will shift Blake Bell from his role as President, Global Business Development to Senior Vice President, Professional Services. The company expects that assigning dedicated leadership to professional se...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Expeditors International Boosted by Strong Q2 Airfreight Demand

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

In the second quarter of 2026, Expeditors International reported exceptionally strong airfreight volumes and pricing, driven by robust technology-sector demand, especially AI infrastructure and hyperscaler shipments, and its success in securing capac...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026