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Expeditors International (EXPD)
NYSE:EXPD
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Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPD

Expeditors International

(NYSE:EXPD)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$219.00
▲(15.84% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/17/26
EXPD scores well primarily on financial performance—strong free cash flow conversion, conservative leverage, and resilient profitability—supporting a durable business profile. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, though overbought signals suggest potential near-term consolidation. The main drag is valuation (P/E ~28 with a low ~0.8% yield), which makes the stock more sensitive to any freight-cycle slowdown; recent corporate updates are modestly positive due to strong airfreight trends and targeted cost/productivity actions.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Strong free cash flow growth and close conversion from net income indicate high earnings quality and effective working-capital management. This internally generated liquidity can support technology investment, shareholder returns, and resilience through freight-market cycles without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Freight-cycle volatility
Expeditors remains exposed to fluctuations in global trade and freight activity, as shown by the sharp prior revenue contraction and subsequent recovery. Such cyclicality can produce uneven growth, complicate operating planning, and pressure profitability when shipment demand weakens across major markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Strong free cash flow growth and close conversion from net income indicate high earnings quality and effective working-capital management. This internally generated liquidity can support technology investment, shareholder returns, and resilience through freight-market cycles without relying heavily on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Expeditors International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAfter a 2021 boom and steep 2022–early‑2023 pullback, revenue has staged a clear recovery since mid‑2024 led by North and South Asia and MEAI, with the U.S. trailing but gaining momentum into 2025. That pattern underlines Expeditors’ sensitivity to Asian trade cycles—which are currently the primary growth engine—while Europe and Latin America provide downside diversification; full upside, however, hinges on sustained volume and pricing recovery rather than a return to the inflation‑driven peaks of 2021.
Data provided by:The Fly

Expeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. functions as a prominent global logistics and supply chain management enterprise. With a vast operational footprint spanning the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Indi...
How the Company Makes Money
Expeditors makes money primarily by arranging and managing the transportation and handling of customers’ shipments and charging for these services. A key revenue stream is freight forwarding (air and ocean): Expeditors buys transportation capacity...

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financial quality supported by low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.27), very strong and improving free cash flow (FCF up ~56% with ~95% of net income converting to FCF), and solid profitability. The main offset is cyclical volatility in revenue and some margin/FCF measures across years, including a sharp 2023 contraction and a step-down in gross profit margin versus prior annual levels.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.04B11.07B10.60B9.30B17.07B16.52B
Gross Profit2.88B1.69B1.35B1.25B2.17B2.17B
EBITDA1.26B1.15B1.16B1.09B1.92B1.98B
Net Income919.29M813.76M810.07M752.88M1.36B1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.13B4.89B4.75B4.52B5.59B7.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B1.31B1.15B1.51B2.03B1.73B
Total Debt567.28M570.59M568.94M527.73M518.47M467.66M
Total Liabilities3.01B2.53B2.53B2.13B2.48B4.11B
Stockholders Equity2.12B2.36B2.22B2.39B3.11B3.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow923.86M953.40M682.89M1.01B2.04B832.25M
Operating Cash Flow972.54M1.01B723.36M1.05B2.13B868.49M
Investing Cash Flow-18.97M-44.70M-40.52M-39.43M-87.71M-36.65M
Financing Cash Flow-1.06B-802.48M-1.03B-1.54B-1.68B-613.55M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price189.05
Price Trends
50DMA
182.83
Positive
100DMA
170.76
Positive
200DMA
160.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.44
Positive
RSI
58.12
Neutral
STOCH
50.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 189.44, above the 50-day MA of 182.83, and above the 200-day MA of 160.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Risk Analysis

Expeditors International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$24.82B27.7140.68%0.83%6.77%12.05%
69
Neutral
$71.86B16.5415.11%1.57%7.73%10.07%
64
Neutral
$5.78B44.1215.87%2.14%4.10%-19.02%
62
Neutral
$84.28B18.3729.07%6.62%-0.18%-19.99%
58
Neutral
$17.88B28.8136.01%1.65%-0.09%19.50%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
$5.27B40.114.41%7.55%114.56%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPD
Expeditors International
190.94
72.70
61.48%
CHRW
CH Robinson
152.99
21.02
15.93%
FDX
FedEx
303.65
121.44
66.64%
LSTR
Landstar System
170.29
51.87
43.81%
UPS
United Parcel
99.06
20.02
25.33%
GXO
GXO Logistics
45.92
-3.94
-7.90%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Expeditors International Elevates Leadership for Professional Services
Positive
Sep 16, 2026
Effective Oct. 1, 2026, Expeditors International will shift Blake Bell from his role as President, Global Business Development to Senior Vice President, Professional Services. The company expects that assigning dedicated leadership to professional...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors International Boosted by Strong Q2 Airfreight Demand
Positive
Aug 11, 2026
In the second quarter of 2026, Expeditors International reported exceptionally strong airfreight volumes and pricing, driven by robust technology-sector demand, especially AI infrastructure and hyperscaler shipments, and its success in securing ca...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2026