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Bath & Body Works (BBWI) AI Stock Analysis

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BBWI

Bath & Body Works

(NYSE:BBWI)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:$25.00â–²(17.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

BBWI’s score is driven primarily by a mixed financial profile: strong free cash flow and continued profitability are weighed down by high leverage/negative equity and a weak revenue trajectory. Valuation is a key positive (low P/E and ~3.4% yield), while technicals are supportive but near-term momentum appears overbought. The latest earnings call adds modest support via raised EPS/FCF guidance, but the reliance on a one-time tariff refund and continued guided sales declines keep the outlook restrained.

Positive Factors
Strong Cash GenerationBBWI is converting profitability into substantial operating and free cash flow, providing internal funding for merchandising, digital capabilities, and debt reduction. This cash generation supports resilience through a retail slowdown and gives management flexibility to invest without relying entirely on external financing.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative EquityHigh debt combined with negative equity leaves BBWI reliant on continued cash generation and financing access rather than a strong capital base. This reduces flexibility if sales weaken, raises the importance of maintaining margins, and can constrain investment or shareholder-return choices.

Bath & Body Works Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue By SegmentBreaks down revenue by product lines or business units, revealing which segments are driving sales and where there might be opportunities or challenges.

$0.00$500.00M$1.00B$1.50B$2.00B$2.50B$3.00BJan 21May 21Jul 21Oct 21Jan 22Apr 22Jul 22Oct 22Jan 23Apr 23Jul 23Oct 23Feb 24May 24Aug 24Nov 24Feb 25May 25Aug 25Nov 25Jan 26May 26Aug 26
Chart Insights

Stores remain the dominant, seasonally concentrated revenue engine while Direct’s year‑over‑year holiday peaks have steadily softened — a red flag that digital growth hasn’t yet offset core category (body care) weakness. Management’s Amazon launch and new‑formula momentum provide credible upside, but the reaffirmed guidance, margin headwinds from tariffs/inflation, and international shipping disruptions mean any recovery will be gradual. The business is reliant on stores for near‑term sales stability; durable improvement depends on translating early product/channel proof points into sustained e‑commerce traction.

Data provided by:The Fly

Bath & Body Works (BBWI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%BBWI+1.49%SPY+9.07%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$4.31B
Dividend Yield
3.75%
Average Volume (3M)
6.86M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.7
Beta (1Y)
1.29
Revenue Growth
-2.18%
EPS Growth
14.77%
Country
US
Employees
60,735
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Specialty Retail

Bath & Body Works Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bath & Body Works, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of personal care and home fragrance products. The company offers body and home fragrances, including 3-wick candles, home fragrance diffusers, fine fragrance mists, eau de parfum, body wash, ha...

How the Company Makes Money

BBWI generates revenue primarily by selling Bath & Body Works-branded merchandise directly to consumers (DTC) through two main channels: (1) physical retail stores, where it earns revenue from in-store transactions across core categories such as body...

Bath & Body Works Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:21.50%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call showcased several meaningful tactical wins—Q2 results beat guidance, adjusted EPS outperformed and full-year EPS guidance was raised; digital returned to growth, Fruit Fusion demonstrated the new go-to-market playbook, and expanded distribution (Amazon, Ulta) scaled quickly. However, many of the upside results were aided by a one-time tariff refund and the underlying business remains pressured: store sales are down, body care is still underperforming, and full-year and Q3 revenue are still guided to declines. Management emphasized multiyear transformation and prudent investment, but near-term headwinds (tariffs, store traffic, margin deleverage) temper the optimism.

Positive Updates

Q2 Net Sales Ahead of Guidance
Net sales of $1.5 billion in Q2 declined 2.3% year-over-year but beat guidance (previously down 5% to down 3%), providing evidence of sequential improvement versus Q1.

Negative Updates

Underlying Business Pressure and Store Declines
U.S. and Canadian store net sales were $1.1 billion, down 5.4% YoY; management cited pressured store traffic and channel shift to direct (free ship $50) as headwinds—store performance remains a key challenge to restoring broad growth.

Company Guidance

Management narrowed full‑year net sales guidance to down 4.0% to down 2.5% and raised full‑year adjusted EPS to $2.60–$2.80 after Q2 outperformance (Q2 net sales $1.5B, down 2.3%; Q2 adjusted EPS $0.62, which included ≈$80M of tariff refunds that contributed ~530 bps to merchandise margin and would leave EPS ≈$0.31 ex‑refund). They now expect full‑year adjusted gross profit of ~43.3% (including the refund), adjusted SG&A rate ~29.6%, adjusted net non‑operating expense ≈$217M, adjusted tax rate ~26.8% and ~203M weighted average diluted shares; Q3 guidance is net sales down 5% to down 2.5%, gross profit ≈40%, SG&A ≈34.8%, adjusted net non‑operating expense ≈$54M, adjusted tax rate ≈26% and Q3 adjusted EPS $0.07–$0.12. Other updated metrics: capex ~$240M (YTD $98M), free cash flow ~$650M (up from $600M), Fuel for Growth savings ~ $200M (vs. $175M goal), $250M of 2029 notes redeemed, and management is accounting for ~ $30M (≈40 bps) of forward tariff/input cost pressure and ~$35M of incremental Consumer First Formula investments (about 70% of which are weighted to Q3).

Bath & Body Works Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Profitability remains solid (TTM gross margin ~44%, operating margin ~14%, net margin ~11%) and cash generation is strong (TTM operating cash flow ~$1.27B; free cash flow ~$1.03B with +13.4% growth). Offsetting this is material balance-sheet risk (high debt ~ $4.7B and negative equity ~ -$1.1B) and a sharply negative recent revenue trend (TTM revenue growth -48.3%), which increases sensitivity to any demand or margin pressure.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.21B7.29B7.31B7.43B7.56B7.88B
Gross Profit3.18B3.19B3.23B3.24B3.25B3.85B
EBITDA1.47B1.41B1.62B1.64B1.61B2.17B
Net Income781.00M649.00M798.00M878.00M800.00M1.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.16B5.07B4.87B5.46B5.49B6.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments794.00M953.00M674.00M1.08B1.23B1.98B
Total Debt4.74B4.95B4.96B5.57B6.05B6.01B
Total Liabilities6.21B6.35B6.25B7.09B7.70B7.54B
Stockholders Equity-1.05B-1.28B-1.39B-1.63B-2.21B-1.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.03B865.00M660.00M656.00M816.00M1.22B
Operating Cash Flow1.27B1.10B886.00M954.00M1.14B1.49B
Investing Cash Flow-221.00M-227.00M-162.00M-286.00M-328.00M-259.00M
Financing Cash Flow-621.00M-599.00M-1.13B-815.00M-1.56B-3.19B

Bath & Body Works Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price21.36

Price Trends

50DMA18.95Positive
100DMA19.53Positive
200DMA19.53Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.13Positive
RSI54.27Neutral
STOCH47.08Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBWI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.08, above the 50-day MA of 18.95, and above the 200-day MA of 19.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBWI.

Bath & Body Works Risk Analysis

Bath & Body Works disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bath & Body Works reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Bath & Body Works Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BBWI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SBHSBH81Outperform$1.75B9.5223.11%―1.08%3.88%
ULTAULTA72Outperform$27.78B23.4045.40%―11.16%5.20%
BBWIBBWI65Neutral$4.45B5.74-61.76%3.75%-2.18%14.77%
BWMXBWMX64Neutral$652.29M8.7869.99%7.96%28.31%43.42%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
MNSOMNSO58Neutral$3.35B18.7714.11%6.03%30.43%-44.33%
TKLFTKLF47Neutral$5.93M0.851.71%14.56%77.22%-89.32%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%20%BBWISBHULTABWMXMNSOTKLFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BBWI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.21.36-0.14-0.63%
SBHSally Beauty Holdings18.314.2029.77%
ULTAUlta Beauty644.76128.2024.82%
BWMXBetterware De Mexico, S.A. De C.V16.593.3925.67%
MNSOMiniso Group Holding Ltd.11.04-10.18-47.98%
TKLFYoshitsu Co. Ltd. Sponsored ADR1.45-1.59-52.30%

Bath & Body Works Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Bath & Body Works Grants CEO Major Performance Stock Award

Positive
Sep 23, 2026

On September 21, 2026, Bath & Body Works granted CEO Daniel Heaf a performance stock unit award with a target value of $10 million, equivalent to 591,366 shares, tied to ambitious stock price hurdles over a four-year performance period. The award...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Bath & Body Works Raises 2026 Earnings Guidance

Positive
Aug 26, 2026

On August 26, 2026, Bath & Body Works reported unaudited second‑quarter 2026 results that exceeded its prior guidance, with net sales of $1.5 billion, down 2.3% year on year, but earnings per diluted share rising to $0.58 and adjusted EPS t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026