Ball (BALL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $13.02B
• Dividend Yield: 1.67%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.64M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.62
• Revenue Growth: 2.87%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 16,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 1.02
• Shares Outstanding: 272,148,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,716,985
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,635,563
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.87
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.43
• P/FCF Ratio: -45.64
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.59
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.63
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 11.26
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 15.67
• 1Y Price Target: $55.86
• Price Target Upside: 14.26% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 66 Neutral
• Price Target: $51.00 ▲(4.32% Upside)

Ball Corporation's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and moderate financial health. However, technical indicators show bearish trends, and valuation metrics suggest a fair market price. The company's focus on operational excellence and shareholder returns supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Positive Factors

Sustainable Packaging Demand

The increasing demand for sustainable packaging, such as recyclable aluminum cans, provides a durable competitive advantage and stable revenue growth for Ball's largest segment.

Strong Shareholder Returns

Consistent shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks reflect strong cash generation and management's commitment to returning value, enhancing long-term investor confidence.

Operational Excellence

Ball's focus on operational excellence and efficiency improvements supports margin sustainability and competitive positioning, crucial for long-term profitability.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Significant leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Ball's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.

Tariff Challenges

Ongoing tariff challenges can affect cost structures and profitability, posing a risk to Ball's North American operations and long-term financial performance.

Low Operating Cash Flow Conversion

Low conversion of earnings to cash flow may indicate inefficiencies in cash management, affecting liquidity and the ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Ball Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ball Corporation (BALL) is a global leader in metal packaging for beverages, personal care products, and household goods, as well as aerospace technologies. Founded in 1880, the company operates through two primary segments: Beverage Packaging and Aerospace. Ball's Beverage Packaging segment produces aluminum cans and bottles for various beverages, including beer, soft drinks, and energy drinks, while its Aerospace segment provides innovative solutions and products for government and commercial customers, including satellites and space exploration technologies.

How the Company Makes Money

Ball Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its metal packaging products and aerospace solutions. The Beverage Packaging segment is the largest revenue driver, where the company sells aluminum cans to beverage manufacturers around the world. This segment benefits from strong demand for sustainable packaging solutions, as aluminum is widely recognized for its recyclability and environmental advantages. Additionally, Ball has established long-term contracts with major beverage brands, providing stable revenue streams. The Aerospace segment contributes to earnings through contracts with government and commercial entities, delivering high-tech products and services that often include research and development components. Partnerships with leading companies in the aerospace industry further enhance Ball's capabilities and revenue potential. Overall, Ball's focus on sustainability, innovation, and strong customer relationships underpin its financial success.

Ball Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ball Corporation shows moderate financial performance with stable revenue growth and improved cash flow metrics. However, profitability and leverage remain areas for improvement, with low EBIT and EBITDA margins and a high debt-to-equity ratio.

Income Statement

Ball's income statement shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.15% TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is stable at around 20%, and the net profit margin has improved to 4.48% TTM from a negative trend in the prior year. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 TTM, indicating significant leverage, though it has improved from previous years. Return on equity is modest at 9.56% TTM, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 31.47% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.15, suggesting potential challenges in converting earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.48 TTM is a positive sign of cash flow adequacy.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.69B	11.79B	12.06B	13.37B	13.81B	11.78B
Gross Profit	1.84B	2.44B	2.31B	2.25B	2.73B	2.46B
EBITDA	1.32B	1.45B	1.76B	1.70B	1.98B	1.63B
Net Income	680.00M	4.01B	707.00M	719.00M	878.00M	585.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	18.72B	17.63B	19.30B	19.91B	19.71B	18.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	576.00M	893.00M	695.00M	548.00M	563.00M	1.37B
Total Debt	7.55B	6.02B	8.57B	9.40B	8.16B	8.10B
Total Liabilities	13.27B	11.70B	15.47B	16.38B	16.03B	14.91B
Stockholders Equity	5.45B	5.86B	3.77B	3.46B	3.63B	3.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	140.00M	-369.00M	818.00M	-1.37B	34.00M	319.00M
Operating Cash Flow	551.00M	115.00M	1.86B	283.00M	1.76B	1.43B
Investing Cash Flow	-752.00M	5.00B	-1.05B	-768.00M	-1.64B	-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow	-652.00M	-4.79B	-662.00M	485.00M	-894.00M	-602.00M

Ball Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 48.89
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BALL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.28, below the 50-day MA of 49.34, and below the 200-day MA of 52.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BALL.

Ball Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CCK	74 Outperform	$11.22B	12.04	34.10%	1.06%	2.94%	893.70%
PKG	73 Outperform	$17.74B	19.93	―	2.51%	7.30%	15.30%
BALL	66 Neutral	$13.02B	17.89	11.74%	1.67%	2.87%	―
SLGN	66 Neutral	$4.13B	13.12	14.58%	2.03%	11.10%	6.55%
GEF	64 Neutral	$2.74B	20.82	7.46%	3.85%	-2.55%	-40.81%
AMCR	63 Neutral	$18.17B	24.59	6.55%	6.32%	10.03%	-28.33%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%

Ball Corporate Events

Ball Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth

Ball Corporation, a leading provider of sustainable aluminum packaging solutions for beverage, personal care, and household products, reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing significant growth in earnings and shareholder returns.

Ball Corporation Appoints John Panichella as Director

On October 29, 2025, Ball Corporation’s Board of Directors appointed John E. Panichella, CEO of Solenis, as a director. Panichella, with a robust background in leadership roles at companies like Ashland Inc. and General Electric Water and Process Technologies, will also serve on the Audit and Finance Committees. His election was independent, with no personal or transactional ties to existing board members or company executives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Sell with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Completes $750 Million Senior Notes Offering

On August 14, 2025, Ball Corporation successfully completed a public offering of $750 million in 5.500% Senior Notes due in 2033. These notes are senior unsecured obligations guaranteed by the company’s domestic subsidiaries and are subject to certain limitations and conditions, including redemption options and change of control repurchase events, which could impact the company’s financial strategies and obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Announces $750M Senior Notes Offering

On August 7, 2025, Ball Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement for a $750 million public offering of 5.500% Senior Notes due 2033. The offering is expected to close on August 14, 2025, and the proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt refinancing or repayment. The company plans to repay outstanding borrowings under its credit facilities using a portion of the proceeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth

The recent earnings call for Ball Corporation painted a picture of strong financial performance, underscored by significant EPS growth and robust segment results in EMEA and South America. However, the call also highlighted challenges such as margin pressure in North America, underperformance in Brazil, and concerns over tariffs.

Ball Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results

Ball Corporation, a leading provider of sustainable aluminum packaging solutions for beverages, personal care, and household products, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The company, which operates globally with a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, continues to enhance its market presence in the aluminum packaging industry.