Want to see AMCR full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Amcor
(NYSE:AMCR)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
â–²(2.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is held back mainly by softening recent financial performance (2026 revenue decline, margin compression) and elevated leverage alongside weaker free-cash-flow trends. These risks are partly offset by constructive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD), an attractive dividend yield, and a reasonably positive earnings outlook supported by ahead-of-plan synergy capture and management’s guidance—tempered by near-term working-capital and cash-conversion headwinds.
Positive Factors
Global Packaging Scale
Amcor's global manufacturing footprint, procurement scale, and long-standing B2B relationships support customer retention and operating efficiency. Its engineered packaging, design, material-science, and healthcare capabilities can provide differentiation beyond commodity packaging.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Margin Pressure
The combination of declining revenue and lower profitability suggests demand, pricing, or mix pressures are weighing on the earnings base. Persistent margin compression would reduce reinvestment capacity and make synergy delivery more important to sustaining returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Global Packaging Scale
Amcor's global manufacturing footprint, procurement scale, and long-standing B2B relationships support customer retention and operating efficiency. Its engineered packaging, design, material-science, and healthcare capabilities can provide differentiation beyond commodity packaging.
Read all positive factors
Amcor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and identifying areas of potential expansion or risk.
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and identifying areas of potential expansion or risk.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAmcor (AMCR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$21.58B
Dividend Yield5.64%
Average Volume (3M)3.28M
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.2
Beta (1Y)0.54
Revenue Growth56.62%
EPS Growth32.08%
CountryUS
Employees75,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.39
Shares Outstanding462,345,700
10 Day Avg. Volume3,404,819
30 Day Avg. Volume3,279,470
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.37
Price to Book (P/B)1.70
Price to Sales (P/S)0.85
P/FCF Ratio16.34
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$49.32Price Target Upside2.95% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)4.31
Revenue Forecast (FY)$23.75B
Amcor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Amcor plc stands as a prominent global provider of packaging solutions, focusing on the creation, production, and distribution of its diverse product portfolio across Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Amcor makes money primarily by selling packaging products and related services to business customers (B2B), typically large consumer packaged goods companies and healthcare manufacturers. Revenue is generated from (1) the manufacture and sale of f...
Amcor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026
(Q4-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive operational and financial story: management delivered strong EPS growth, exceeded initial synergy expectations, showed sequential volume improvement, expanded margins in both core segments, and announced dividend growth while improving safety performance. However, near-term cash flow and balance-sheet metrics were pressured by a $500M working-capital impact tied to the Middle East conflict, $290M of integration-related cash costs, and modest organic volume expansion. Management expects to recover working capital over 12 months, achieve the remaining synergies toward the $650M target, and deliver double-digit adjusted EPS growth in calendar 2027, which underpins a constructive outlook despite short-term headwinds.Positive Updates
Strong EPS Growth
Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.23, up 23% year-over-year; full year fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.02, up 13% year-over-year — delivering on prior target of double-digit adjusted EPS growth for fiscal 2026.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow Shortfall
Fiscal 2026 free cash flow of $1.3 billion, which was $200 million below the company's outlook range (impacted by transaction/integration cash and working capital effects related to the Middle East conflict).
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EPS Growth
Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.23, up 23% year-over-year; full year fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.02, up 13% year-over-year — delivering on prior target of double-digit adjusted EPS growth for fiscal 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Amcor guided adjusted EPS of $1.80–$1.90 for the six months ending Dec. 31, 2026 (versus prior-year $1.83, after a $0.04 divestiture impact bringing the baseline to $1.79), with the outlook reflecting a $0.10–$0.12 headwind from higher interest and taxes and a $0.13–$0.21 tailwind from synergy capture and net operating performance; leverage is expected to be 3.5–3.6x at Dec. 31, 2026 (seasonally lower earnings/cash flow) and roughly 3x by year-end 2027, with management targeting double-digit adjusted EPS growth in calendar 2027 and mid-single-digit EBITDA growth implied into that year; management also reiterated capital/cash assumptions (FY2026 free cash flow $1.3B, target to recover >$500M of working capital over 12 months—roughly $100–$300M in the first six months—CapEx ≈5% of sales), noted Q4 synergies of $115M and FY synergies of $285M toward a $650M three‑year target (including ~$140M of growth wins so far), and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.65 per share.Amcor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 23.51B | 15.01B | 13.64B | 14.69B | 14.54B |
| Gross Profit | 4.69B | 2.83B | 2.71B | 2.73B | 2.82B |
| EBITDA | 3.37B | 1.77B | 1.85B | 2.13B | 1.90B |
| Net Income | 1.11B | 511.00M | 730.00M | 1.05B | 805.00M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 37.09B | 37.07B | 16.52B | 17.00B | 17.43B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.11B | 827.00M | 588.00M | 689.00M | 775.00M |
| Total Debt | 15.08B | 15.01B | 7.19B | 7.21B | 6.98B |
| Total Liabilities | 25.29B | 25.33B | 12.57B | 12.91B | 13.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.79B | 11.73B | 3.88B | 4.03B | 4.08B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.23B | 810.00M | 829.00M | 735.00M | 999.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.15B | 1.39B | 1.32B | 1.26B | 1.53B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -524.00M | -2.10B | -476.00M | -309.00M | -527.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.34B | 910.00M | -857.00M | -1.02B | -891.00M |
Amcor Technical Analysis
Neutral
47.91
Price Trends
44.97
Positive
41.91
Positive
41.99
Positive
Market Momentum
0.53
Positive
48.03
Neutral
24.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMCR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 47.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.00, above the 50-day MA of 44.97, and above the 200-day MA of 41.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMCR.
Amcor Risk Analysis
Amcor disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amcor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Amcor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $12.88B | 16.67 | 26.54% | 1.01% | 10.76% | 45.91% | |
72 Outperform | $21.42B | 30.26 | 14.86% | 2.06% | 10.35% | -23.16% | |
70 Outperform | $16.88B | 17.84 | 17.04% | 1.25% | 16.86% | 64.01% | |
65 Neutral | $21.58B | 19.20 | 9.45% | 5.81% | 56.62% | 32.08% | |
62 Neutral | $25.25B | 48.45 | 2.73% | 3.64% | 1.69% | 42.09% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $20.82B | -5.82 | -22.39% | 4.39% | 10.34% | -7165.92% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AMCR
Amcor
45.89
5.26
12.94%
BALL
Ball
62.97
11.09
21.37%
CCK
Crown Holdings
116.39
18.23
18.57%
IP
International Paper Co
37.93
-9.41
-19.87%
PKG
Packaging
233.94
21.23
9.98%
SW
Smurfit Westrock
46.90
1.47
3.24%
Amcor Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Amcor Announces Key Leadership Changes in Global Operations
Positive
Jun 15, 2026
On June 15, 2026, Amcor announced the retirement of Fred Stephan as Division President, Global Flexible Packaging Solutions effective June 30, 2026, with his continued service as special advisor through December 31, 2026 under a transition and ret...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.