Greif Class A (GEF)
NYSE:GEF
Want to see GEF full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Greif Class A
(NYSE:GEF)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$67.00
▼(-4.12% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/02/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial fundamentals (strong margins and improved leverage offset by weak recent cash conversion and modest revenue contraction). Valuation is a clear positive with a very low P/E and a healthy dividend yield, while technical indicators are bearish (below key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call adds support from cost savings and balance-sheet strength, but guidance and demand softness cap the upside.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage and balance-sheet strength
The materially lower leverage and sizable equity position increase financial resilience across cycles. Reduced debt levels and stronger capital structure lower refinancing risk, expand strategic optionality for M&A or buybacks, and improve ability to sustain dividends and investments during prolonged demand weakness.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion / slightly negative free cash flow
Recent deterioration in cash conversion limits financial flexibility despite strong accounting margins. Slightly negative FCF constrains organic investment, debt paydown and capital returns until working-capital pressure normalizes, making the company more sensitive to cyclical downturns or unexpected cash needs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage and balance-sheet strength
The materially lower leverage and sizable equity position increase financial resilience across cycles. Reduced debt levels and stronger capital structure lower refinancing risk, expand strategic optionality for M&A or buybacks, and improve ability to sustain dividends and investments during prolonged demand weakness.
Read all positive factors
Greif Class A (GEF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.23B
Dividend Yield3.19%
Average Volume (3M)259.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.7
Beta (1Y)0.79
Revenue Growth-29.32%
EPS Growth-9.87%
CountryUS
Employees14,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)18.15
Shares Outstanding24,776,628
10 Day Avg. Volume331,509
30 Day Avg. Volume259,509
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.66
P/FCF Ratio-33.25
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.19
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.81
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.57
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.53
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$72.00Price Target Upside3.03% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)3.88
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.27B
Greif Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging se...
How the Company Makes Money
Greif makes money mainly by selling industrial packaging products and paper-based packaging materials/services to business customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Global Industrial Packaging: sales of rigid industrial packaging such as steel d...
Greif Class A Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes strong execution on cost optimization, margin expansion, substantial free cash flow and an unusually strong balance sheet, which together enabled share repurchases and maintained free cash flow guidance. These positives were tempered by external headwinds—primarily the Middle East conflict causing modest direct EBITDA loss, revised (lower) EBITDA guidance, and ongoing soft end-market volumes. Overall, the company presents a resilient operational and financial profile with manageable but meaningful near-term risks from geopolitical disruption and soft demand.Positive Updates
Strong Cost Savings Achievement
Achieved $75 million of savings in Q2 toward a full-year target of $80M–$90M and a broader program committed to $120M by fiscal year-end 2027, with potential upside from additional opportunities.
Negative Updates
Middle East Conflict Disruption
Intermittent shutdowns in at least one facility caused an EBITDA loss of less than $5M in Q2; the conflict led management to lower full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance and factor potential continued volume softness and inflationary pressure into forecasts.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Cost Savings Achievement
Achieved $75 million of savings in Q2 toward a full-year target of $80M–$90M and a broader program committed to $120M by fiscal year-end 2027, with potential upside from additional opportunities.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Greif updated its low-end guidance to $610 million of adjusted EBITDA while maintaining low-end adjusted free cash flow guidance of $315 million, reflecting an estimated direct Q2 Middle East impact and a revised volume outlook that could push EBITDA about $20 million lower; the outlook also assumes a $20 million lower working capital source offset by lower cash taxes and includes a net ~$9 million benefit from URB/OCC moves (RISI recognized $60/ton URB in April after a $60–$70 announcement). Year-to-date the company has realized $75 million of cost savings toward a $80–$90 million full‑year target and a $120 million program through FY2027, ended the quarter at 1.1x leverage (target below 2x), completed a $150 million buyback with $300 million remaining authorization, carries a 3.14% weighted average interest rate on debt, plans ~ $85 million of maintenance CapEx, and is coming off a quarter in which adjusted EBITDA rose 7.5% YoY, adjusted EBITDA margin improved 110 bps YoY (230 bps sequential), adjusted EPS rose over 60% YoY, and adjusted free cash flow improved 107% ($90 million) versus Q2 2025 (over 200% excluding ~$30 million from the divested containerboard business).Greif Class A Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.73B | 4.29B | 4.33B | 5.22B | 6.35B | 5.56B |
| Gross Profit | 1.08B | 950.73M | 892.15M | 1.15B | 1.29B | 1.09B |
| EBITDA | 694.90M | 440.29M | 534.44M | 834.10M | 803.50M | 805.70M |
| Net Income | 1.02B | 840.00M | 265.96M | 359.20M | 376.70M | 390.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.60B | 5.77B | 6.65B | 5.96B | 5.47B | 5.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 286.10M | 256.70M | 197.70M | 180.90M | 147.10M | 124.60M |
| Total Debt | 1.21B | 1.57B | 3.07B | 2.54B | 2.18B | 2.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.52B | 2.72B | 4.40B | 3.85B | 3.66B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.94B | 2.91B | 2.08B | 1.95B | 1.76B | 1.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -14.70M | -85.20M | 169.50M | 435.90M | 474.50M | 248.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 181.60M | 58.60M | 356.00M | 649.50M | 657.50M | 396.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.07B | 1.64B | -658.30M | -670.20M | -28.20M | 46.80M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.22B | -1.69B | 324.30M | 69.70M | -531.00M | -422.90M |
Greif Class A Technical Analysis
Negative
69.88
Price Trends
66.22
Negative
68.50
Negative
65.22
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.94
Negative
43.17
Neutral
46.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.25, above the 50-day MA of 66.22, and above the 200-day MA of 65.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GEF.
Greif Class A Risk Analysis
Greif Class A disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class A reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Greif Class A Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $4.80B | 4.61 | 30.14% | 4.33% | 17.41% | 167.71% | |
64 Neutral | $3.23B | 3.72 | 35.34% | 3.19% | -29.32% | -9.87% | |
63 Neutral | $3.83B | 13.52 | 12.47% | 1.97% | 9.55% | -1.62% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | $2.38B | 216.26 | -2.15% | 9.90% | 13.86% | 74.85% | |
42 Neutral | $1.22B | -6.59 | -14.49% | ― | -1.61% | 3.42% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GEF
Greif Class A
63.40
1.85
3.00%
OI
O-I Glass
8.03
-5.22
-39.40%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
36.28
-16.21
-30.89%
SON
Sonoco Products
47.84
4.73
10.98%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
3.98
0.36
9.79%
Greif Class A Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Greif Class A Highlights Strong Q2 Cash Flow, Deleveraging
Positive
May 1, 2026
Greif reported fiscal second quarter 2026 results on April 28, 2026, showing net income from continuing operations down 32.3% to $12.6 million, though net income excluding adjustments jumped 57.5% to $62.7 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 7.5% to ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Greif Class A Refinances and Restructures Secured Credit Facilities
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Greif, Inc. and several affiliated borrowing entities entered into a third amended and restated senior secured credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. as administrative agent and a syndicate of financial institutions,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.