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Sonoco Products (SON)
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Sonoco Products (SON) AI Stock Analysis

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SON

Sonoco Products

(NYSE:SON)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(7.31% Upside)
Sonoco Products' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic achievements, particularly in the Consumer Packaging segment. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with strong results overshadowed by macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sonoco's significant revenue growth reflects strong demand and successful strategic initiatives, enhancing its market position and financial stability.
Portfolio Transformation
The sale of ThermoSafe allows Sonoco to streamline its operations and focus on core segments, potentially improving efficiency and profitability.
Operational Efficiency
Achieving operational synergies will enhance cost efficiency and competitiveness, supporting long-term profitability and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic headwinds in Europe and Asia could impact revenue and profitability, posing risks to future financial performance.
Volume Softness
Softening demand in key markets may affect sales and operating profits, challenging Sonoco's ability to maintain growth momentum.
Cash Flow Pressure
Reduced cash flow guidance indicates potential liquidity constraints, which could limit investment capacity and strategic flexibility.

Sonoco Products (SON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonoco Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonoco Products Company (SON) is a global provider of consumer packaging, industrial products, and protective solutions. Founded in 1899 and headquartered in Hartsville, South Carolina, Sonoco operates in several sectors, including flexible packaging, rigid paper containers, and molded products. The company serves a wide array of markets, including food and beverage, healthcare, and personal care, offering products such as paperboard tubes, containers, and flexible packaging solutions designed to meet the diverse needs of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneySonoco generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling a diverse range of packaging products and services. The company's revenue model includes sales from consumer packaging, which encompasses flexible and rigid packaging solutions, and industrial products, such as paperboard tubes and cores. Additionally, Sonoco earns revenue from its protective solutions segment, which provides packaging that safeguards products during shipping and handling. Significant partnerships with notable companies in various industries help secure long-term contracts and consistent revenue. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability also attracts customers seeking eco-friendly packaging solutions, further enhancing its profitability.

Sonoco Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong financial performance and strategic achievements being overshadowed by challenges in the European market and adjustments to financial expectations. Despite record results and successful strategic moves, the outlook was tempered by macroeconomic headwinds and volume softness.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Top and Bottom Line Performance
Net sales grew 57%, and adjusted EBITDA was up 37%, reaching a record 18.1% margin. Total adjusted earnings grew 29% despite higher-than-expected interest expenses.
Successful Portfolio Transformation
Sonoco entered into an agreement to sell its ThermoSafe business for up to $725 million, signaling a focus on a streamlined portfolio with two core business segments: Consumer and Industrial Packaging.
Strong Consumer Packaging Growth
Consumer Packaging sales and operating profit grew 117%, and adjusted EBITDA increased 112%, driven by the Metal Packaging EMEA acquisition and strong performance in the U.S. metal packaging business.
Industrial Packaging Margin Expansion
Industrial Packaging segment saw operating profits up 28% and adjusted EBITDA up 21%, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of margin improvement.
Operational Efficiency and Synergy Realization
Efforts to achieve $100 million in annual run rate synergies by the end of 2026 are on track, with savings benefiting the entire consumer metal and paper can portfolio.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Metal Packaging EMEA
Despite improvements, third quarter results were below expectations due to macroeconomic headwinds and weaker-than-anticipated seafood availability, with a weaker fourth quarter projected.
Adjustments to Financial Outlook
Guidance for net sales was tightened to $7.8 billion to $7.9 billion due to softening market conditions in Europe and Asia, with adjusted EBITDA narrowed to $1.3 billion to $1.35 billion.
Volume Softness in Consumer and Industrial Segments
Unfavorable volume mix and subdued market conditions outside of the U.S. affected sales and operating profits, leading to a reduction in the adjusted EPS range.
Pressure on Operating Cash Flows
Operating cash flow guidance reduced to $700 million to $750 million due to projected pressures in sales and operating profit.
Company Guidance
During the Sonoco Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported remarkable financial performance despite challenging market conditions. Net sales surged by 57%, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 37%, reaching a record margin of 18.1%. The Consumer Packaging segment exhibited substantial growth, with sales and operating profit up by 117% and adjusted EBITDA up by 112%, driven by the addition of Metal Packaging EMEA and robust performance in the U.S. food can business, which saw a 5% volume increase. The Industrial Packaging segment also performed strongly, with operating profits rising by 28% and adjusted EBITDA up by 21%, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of margin improvement. Additionally, Sonoco entered an agreement to sell its ThermoSafe business for up to $725 million, anticipating a reduction in its net leverage ratio to approximately 3.4x. Looking ahead, Sonoco narrowed its full-year guidance, projecting net sales between $7.8 billion and $7.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $1.3 billion and $1.35 billion, while expecting adjusted EPS of $5.65 to $5.75. The company also outlined plans to optimize its operations and reduce support function costs, with significant savings and value capture expected from its simplified portfolio structure.

Sonoco Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonoco Products shows strong financial health with robust revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet indicates a favorable trend in leverage reduction, although the equity ratio suggests reliance on debt. Cash flow generation is a notable strength, supporting the company's operational and strategic initiatives.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Sonoco Products has demonstrated strong revenue growth with an 8.04% increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 21%, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has improved significantly to 10.26% in the TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively modest, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.49 in the TTM, indicating a healthier leverage position compared to previous years. Return on equity is strong at 22.27%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Sonoco Products has shown impressive free cash flow growth of 110.72% in the TTM, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that a significant portion of earnings is being reinvested or used for debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.12B5.31B5.44B5.86B5.59B5.24B
Gross Profit1.31B1.14B1.20B1.23B1.06B1.05B
EBITDA817.18M610.97M965.41M869.63M148.19M591.93M
Net Income627.81M163.95M474.96M466.44M-85.48M207.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.72B12.51B7.19B7.05B5.07B5.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments244.85M431.01M138.90M227.44M170.98M564.85M
Total Debt1.61B7.30B3.23B3.47B1.84B1.96B
Total Liabilities8.40B10.22B4.76B5.02B3.22B3.37B
Stockholders Equity3.32B2.27B2.42B2.07B1.84B1.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow302.95M440.61M519.84M189.90M55.82M521.96M
Operating Cash Flow673.10M833.85M882.92M509.05M298.67M705.62M
Investing Cash Flow-2.34B-4.11B-619.34M-1.75B-173.49M-127.01M
Financing Cash Flow48.67M3.67B-351.99M1.33B-513.54M-162.87M

Sonoco Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.07
Price Trends
50DMA
43.31
Negative
100DMA
44.35
Negative
200DMA
44.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.81
Negative
RSI
47.45
Neutral
STOCH
43.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SON, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.21, below the 50-day MA of 43.31, and below the 200-day MA of 44.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SON.

Sonoco Products Risk Analysis

Sonoco Products disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonoco Products reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonoco Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.17B17.0314.32%3.93%0.76%-17.69%
70
Outperform
$5.26B13.3040.42%2.24%-1.22%-0.76%
66
Neutral
$4.16B13.2014.58%2.03%11.10%6.55%
63
Neutral
$3.95B4,130.936.39%5.24%8.31%-99.39%
63
Neutral
$5.05B10.0416.24%2.52%-3.93%-27.37%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$2.01B11.90%10.34%87.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SON
Sonoco Products
40.07
-8.82
-18.04%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
17.05
-11.48
-40.24%
SEE
Sealed Air
35.77
1.06
3.05%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
38.61
-14.09
-26.74%
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products
24.58
-1.82
-6.89%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
3.36
0.12
3.70%

Sonoco Products Corporate Events

Sonoco Products Faces Legal Challenges: Potential Financial Impact and Investor Concerns
Oct 30, 2025

Sonoco Products Company faces potential business risks related to ongoing legal proceedings, as outlined in their recent disclosures. These legal challenges could result in significant financial liabilities or regulatory penalties, impacting the company’s overall financial health and operational stability. Investors and stakeholders should closely monitor the developments in these legal matters, as they may influence Sonoco’s market position and future profitability. The company’s ability to effectively manage and resolve these legal issues will be crucial in mitigating associated risks.

Sonoco’s Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

The recent earnings call from Sonoco Products Company painted a mixed picture, highlighting both significant achievements and notable challenges. While the company celebrated record financial performance and strategic successes, concerns about the European market and adjustments to financial expectations tempered the overall outlook. Despite achieving record results and making successful strategic moves, macroeconomic headwinds and volume softness posed challenges to the company’s future prospects.

Sonoco Products Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 24, 2025

Sonoco Products Company, a global leader in sustainable packaging, operates in the consumer and industrial packaging sectors, known for its innovative solutions and commitment to sustainability. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Sonoco announced a significant increase in net sales and net income, driven by strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies. The company reported a 57.3% increase in net sales to $2.1 billion and a 141% rise in GAAP net income to $122.9 million compared to the same period last year. Key highlights include the agreement to sell its ThermoSafe business unit for up to $725 million, which is expected to reduce existing debt, and the successful integration of the Metal Packaging EMEA business, contributing to record performance in the Consumer Packaging segment. Despite these achievements, Sonoco adjusted its full-year earnings guidance downward, citing anticipated volume weakness in the fourth quarter due to challenging macroeconomic conditions. Looking ahead, Sonoco remains focused on growth and cost reduction strategies, with new product and market launches planned for 2026, positioning the company for long-term shareholder value creation.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Sonoco Products Sells ThermoSafe Unit for $725 Million
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 7, 2025, Sonoco Products Company announced the sale of its ThermoSafe business unit to Arsenal Capital Partners for up to $725 million. This transaction is part of Sonoco’s strategy to streamline its operations into two core global business segments, with the proceeds expected to reduce existing debt and support the company’s portfolio simplification and organizational streamlining efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (SON) stock is a Hold with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sonoco Products stock, see the SON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025