Ball (BALL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $13.53B
• Dividend Yield: 1.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.59M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.57
• Revenue Growth: -3.12%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 16,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.90
• Shares Outstanding: 272,148,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,870,744
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,587,431
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.68
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.83
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.09
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.03
• 1Y Price Target: $57.63
• Price Target Upside: 15.65% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $51.00 ▲(2.35% Upside)

Ball Corporation's overall stock score reflects a moderate financial position with strong earnings growth and shareholder returns. However, technical indicators show bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. Operational challenges in North America and Brazil also weigh on the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The growth in global beverage can shipments indicates strong demand and market expansion, supporting Ball's revenue growth and market position.

Cash Flow Generation

Robust free cash flow growth enhances Ball's ability to invest in growth opportunities, reduce debt, and return capital to shareholders, strengthening financial stability.

Operational Performance in EMEA and South America

Strong performance in EMEA and South America reflects successful operational strategies and market penetration, contributing positively to overall profitability.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Ball's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.

North America Margin Pressure

Margin pressure in North America suggests operational inefficiencies and cost challenges, which could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments.

Leadership Change

The departure of a key executive may disrupt strategic initiatives and talent management, potentially affecting organizational stability and performance.

Ball Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Beverage Packaging, North and Central America; Beverage Packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa; Beverage Packaging, South America; and Aerospace. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It also develops spacecraft, sensors and instruments, radio frequency systems, and other technologies for the civil, commercial, and national security aerospace markets, as well as offers defense hardware, antenna and video tactical solutions, civil and operational space hardware, and systems engineering services. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and tests satellites, remote sensors, and ground station control hardware and software; and provides launch vehicle integration and satellite operational services. Further, it offers target identification, warning, and attitude control systems and components; cryogenic systems and associated sensor cooling devices; star trackers; and fast-steering mirrors to the government agencies or their prime contractors. Additionally, the company manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.

How the Company Makes Money

Ball Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its metal packaging products and aerospace solutions. The Beverage Packaging segment is the largest revenue driver, where the company sells aluminum cans to beverage manufacturers around the world. This segment benefits from strong demand for sustainable packaging solutions, as aluminum is widely recognized for its recyclability and environmental advantages. Additionally, Ball has established long-term contracts with major beverage brands, providing stable revenue streams. The Aerospace segment contributes to earnings through contracts with government and commercial entities, delivering high-tech products and services that often include research and development components. Partnerships with leading companies in the aerospace industry further enhance Ball's capabilities and revenue potential. Overall, Ball's focus on sustainability, innovation, and strong customer relationships underpin its financial success.

Ball Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ball demonstrates a moderate financial position with improving revenue and cash flow metrics. The income statement shows a stable gross profit margin and improved net profit margin. However, the balance sheet reveals high leverage, and cash flow conversion remains a challenge despite strong free cash flow growth.

Income Statement

Ball's income statement shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 3.15% TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin is stable at around 20%, and the net profit margin has improved to 4.48% TTM from a negative trend in the prior year. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 TTM, indicating significant leverage, though it has improved from previous years. Return on equity is modest at 9.56% TTM, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 31.47% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.15, suggesting potential challenges in converting earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.48 TTM is a positive sign of cash flow adequacy.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.40B	11.79B	12.06B	13.37B	13.81B	11.78B
Gross Profit	2.50B	2.44B	2.31B	2.25B	2.73B	2.46B
EBITDA	1.62B	1.45B	1.76B	1.70B	1.98B	1.63B
Net Income	556.00M	4.01B	707.00M	719.00M	878.00M	585.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	18.61B	17.63B	19.30B	19.91B	19.71B	18.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	296.00M	885.00M	695.00M	548.00M	563.00M	1.37B
Total Debt	7.03B	5.67B	8.57B	9.40B	8.16B	8.10B
Total Liabilities	13.33B	11.70B	15.47B	16.38B	16.03B	14.91B
Stockholders Equity	5.21B	5.86B	3.77B	3.46B	3.63B	3.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	376.00M	-369.00M	818.00M	-1.37B	34.00M	319.00M
Operating Cash Flow	777.00M	115.00M	1.86B	283.00M	1.76B	1.43B
Investing Cash Flow	-592.00M	5.00B	-1.05B	-768.00M	-1.64B	-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.21B	-4.79B	-662.00M	485.00M	-894.00M	-602.00M

Ball Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 49.83
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BALL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 49.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.94, below the 50-day MA of 50.11, and below the 200-day MA of 52.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.66 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BALL.

Ball Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CCK	74 Outperform	$11.54B	12.25	34.10%	1.04%	2.93%	893.61%
PKG	73 Outperform	$18.78B	21.56	―	2.34%	7.30%	15.30%
BALL	65 Neutral	$13.53B	23.21	9.59%	1.61%	-3.12%	―
GEF	64 Neutral	$2.93B	22.23	7.46%	3.64%	-2.55%	-40.81%
AMCR	63 Neutral	$19.00B	25.71	6.55%	6.27%	10.03%	-28.33%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
SLGN	61 Neutral	$4.77B	15.85	14.54%	1.77%	5.49%	-1.01%

Ball Corporate Events

Ball Corporation Completes $750 Million Senior Notes Offering

On August 14, 2025, Ball Corporation successfully completed a public offering of $750 million in 5.500% Senior Notes due in 2033. These notes are senior unsecured obligations guaranteed by the company’s domestic subsidiaries and are subject to certain limitations and conditions, including redemption options and change of control repurchase events, which could impact the company’s financial strategies and obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Announces $750M Senior Notes Offering

On August 7, 2025, Ball Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement for a $750 million public offering of 5.500% Senior Notes due 2033. The offering is expected to close on August 14, 2025, and the proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt refinancing or repayment. The company plans to repay outstanding borrowings under its credit facilities using a portion of the proceeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth

The recent earnings call for Ball Corporation painted a picture of strong financial performance, underscored by significant EPS growth and robust segment results in EMEA and South America. However, the call also highlighted challenges such as margin pressure in North America, underperformance in Brazil, and concerns over tariffs.

Ball Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results

Ball Corporation, a leading provider of sustainable aluminum packaging solutions for beverages, personal care, and household products, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The company, which operates globally with a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, continues to enhance its market presence in the aluminum packaging industry.