AGL Energy (AGLXY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.89B
• Dividend Yield: 5.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 113.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.24
• Revenue Growth: 4.67%
• EPS Growth: -112.83%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3,735
• Sector: Utilities
• Sector Strength: 65
• Industry: Independent Power Producers
• EPS (TTM): 0.26
• Shares Outstanding: 672,747,250
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 58
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 113
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.54
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.41
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.48
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.20
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: $6.00 ▲(3.45% Upside)

AGL Energy's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. While technical indicators and strategic initiatives provide some optimism, the negative P/E ratio and earnings pressures weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness. The company's focus on renewable energy and customer satisfaction are positive long-term factors, but immediate financial concerns dominate the outlook.

AGL Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AGL Energy Limited supplies energy and other services to residential, small and large businesses, and wholesale customers in Australia. It operates in three segments: Customer Markets, Integrated Energy, and Investments. The company engages in generating electricity through thermal, hydro, wind, and solar power generation plants; gas storage activities; and the retail sale of electricity, gas, solar, and energy products and services. The company operates electricity generation portfolio of 11,208 megawatts; the Newcastle gas storage facility in New South Wales; the Silver Springs underground gas storage facility in Queensland; natural gas production assets at Camden in New South Wales; and the North Queensland gas assets. It serves 4.2 million customer accounts. AGL Energy Limited was founded in 1837 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

AGL Energy makes money primarily through its energy retailing operations, where it sells electricity and gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This segment is the largest contributor to its revenue. The company also earns income from electricity generation by operating a diverse portfolio of power plants, including coal, gas, wind, and other renewable energy sources. Additionally, AGL engages in wholesale energy trading, leveraging market price fluctuations to optimize its profitability. Strategic partnerships and investments in renewable energy projects also play a role in sustaining and expanding its revenue streams, as the company transitions to more sustainable energy solutions.

AGL Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

AGL Energy faces profitability and cash flow challenges despite slight revenue growth. Negative net profit margin and declining gross profit margin indicate operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet is stable but highlights profitability issues, while the cash flow statement reveals liquidity concerns.

Income Statement

AGL Energy's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a slight revenue growth of 1.89% in the latest year, but profitability metrics are concerning. The net profit margin is negative at -0.71%, indicating losses. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, and EBIT margin has significantly dropped, reflecting operational challenges. These factors suggest pressure on profitability despite revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at 0.68, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but highlights profitability concerns.

Cash Flow

AGL Energy's cash flow statement indicates challenges in cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, showing a decline in cash available for reinvestment. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some cash generation capability, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues. These factors point to potential liquidity concerns.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	14.53B	13.84B	13.12B	14.16B	13.22B	10.94B
Gross Profit	4.03B	2.93B	3.25B	1.15B	1.09B	1.49B
EBITDA	1.87B	1.00B	2.06B	1.50B	2.11B	-1.73B
Net Income	232.00M	-98.00M	711.00M	-1.26B	860.00M	-2.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.17B	16.20B	15.66B	15.24B	19.27B	15.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	253.00M	332.00M	971.00M	376.00M	341.00M	370.00M
Total Debt	2.81B	3.31B	2.73B	2.88B	2.88B	3.19B
Total Liabilities	9.90B	11.35B	10.23B	10.12B	12.75B	9.95B
Stockholders Equity	5.27B	4.86B	5.43B	5.12B	6.52B	5.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	767.00M	-284.00M	1.40B	288.00M	591.00M	555.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.90B	841.00M	2.24B	912.00M	1.23B	1.25B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.41B	-1.56B	-926.00M	-729.00M	-885.00M	-937.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-395.00M	99.00M	-530.00M	-159.00M	-303.00M	-366.00M

AGL Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 5.80
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGLXY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.86, above the 50-day MA of 5.65, and below the 200-day MA of 6.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AGLXY.

AGL Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NWE	77 Outperform	$3.75B	16.64	7.93%	4.27%	3.78%	7.48%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$17.65B	18.10	5.60%	3.62%	6.62%	11.55%
VST	65 Neutral	$65.81B	30.82	45.85%	0.48%	46.90%	388.66%
ALE	62 Neutral	$3.91B	21.28	6.46%	4.30%	-0.44%	-17.46%
UGI	62 Neutral	$7.21B	17.68	8.75%	4.50%	-0.52%	-39.42%
NRG	59 Neutral	$31.64B	69.23	17.66%	1.03%	2.09%	-74.13%
AGLXY	51 Neutral	$3.89B	29.29	-1.75%	5.38%	4.67%	-112.83%

AGL Energy Corporate Events

AGL Energy’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

AGL Energy’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, reflecting both promising strategic initiatives and significant financial challenges. The company is making substantial investments in growth and customer satisfaction, but these efforts are tempered by decreased earnings and lower thermal fleet availability. While AGL’s focus on flexible assets and decarbonization is promising, financial pressures from reduced profits and increased costs remain a concern.

AGL Energy Reports 2025 Earnings and Strategic Progress

AGL Energy Limited is a leading Australian energy company, operating in the electricity generation and retail sectors, with a focus on transitioning to renewable energy sources and reducing carbon emissions. In its 2025 earnings report, AGL highlighted its strategic progress and financial performance, emphasizing its commitment to decarbonization and customer-centric solutions. The company reported an underlying net profit after tax of $640 million, despite a statutory loss due to significant items and market conditions. AGL’s investments in renewable energy and battery storage projects have expanded its development pipeline, aligning with its goal to add 12 GW of new capacity by 2035. Looking forward, AGL remains focused on executing its long-term strategy amidst evolving market dynamics, aiming to deliver sustainable value to shareholders and support Australia’s energy transition.