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SMCF - ETF AI Analysis

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SMCF

Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF (SMCF)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
SMCF’s rating suggests it is a solid-quality ETF, supported by strong holdings like Alkermes, which benefits from robust profitability, low debt, and growth-focused acquisitions, and Renaissancere Holdings, which adds strength through solid earnings, effective capital management, and a supportive valuation. The fund is also helped by financially sound insurers and financial firms such as Reinsurance Group of America and Hanover Insurance, though names like Builders Firstsource and HF Sinclair, which face issues like declining sales, weaker profitability, or a negative P/E ratio, may weigh on the overall rating and highlight the risk of exposure to companies with more mixed fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year and in recent months, showing solid momentum.
Top Holdings with Strong Gains
Several of the largest positions, such as HF Sinclair, Alkermes, and StoneX Group, have posted strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is reasonably low for an actively themed small-cap strategy, allowing more of the returns to stay with investors.
Negative Factors
Heavy Financial Sector Concentration
More than half of the portfolio is in financial stocks, which increases the risk if that sector faces a downturn.
Single-Country Exposure
Almost all assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering little geographic diversification if the U.S. market weakens.
Small Size and Limited Scale
The ETF has a relatively small asset base, which can lead to lower trading liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads for investors.

SMCF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SMCF Summary

The Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF (SMCF) tracks the Solactive US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions Index, focusing on smaller U.S. companies that generate strong, steady cash flow. It holds a mix of industries, with a big tilt toward financial firms, and includes names like Fidelity National Financial and HF Sinclair. Investors might consider SMCF if they want growth potential from small-cap stocks while still focusing on companies with solid finances and diversification across sectors. A key risk is that small-cap stocks can be more volatile than larger companies, so the ETF’s value can rise and fall sharply with the market.
How much will it cost me?The Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF (SMCF) has an expense ratio of 0.29%, which means you’ll pay $2.90 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is slightly higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on selecting small-cap companies with strong cash flow performance. Active management typically involves more research and decision-making, which can lead to higher fees.
What would affect this ETF?The SMCF ETF, focused on U.S. small-cap companies with strong cash flow, could benefit from economic growth and increased demand in sectors like financials and industrials, which make up a significant portion of its holdings. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact small-cap stocks and sectors like consumer cyclical and energy, which are sensitive to market conditions. Regulatory changes or shifts in industry dynamics could also influence the performance of its top holdings.

SMCF Top 10 Holdings

SMCF is powered by a pack of U.S. small-cap financials, with insurers like Reinsurance Group, RenaissanceRe, UMB Financial, Jackson Financial, and Hanover Insurance doing much of the heavy lifting as their shares keep rising. HF Sinclair adds an energetic boost from the energy side, while Alkermes brings a strong, if sometimes volatile, biotech flavor. On the flip side, Fidelity National Financial has been lagging, and Builders FirstSource is clearly losing steam, modestly dragging on results. Overall, this is a U.S.-centric, financial-heavy story with a few industrial and health care sidekicks.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Reinsurance Group5.21%$168.90K$16.54B31.06%
74
Outperform
HF Sinclair Corporation4.82%$156.15K$18.74B106.28%
68
Neutral
Renaissancere Holdings4.36%$141.27K$13.73B37.29%
78
Outperform
Mueller Industries4.18%$135.43K$14.10B30.70%
78
Outperform
Fidelity National Financial3.77%$122.12K$12.28B-24.42%
74
Outperform
UMB Financial3.23%$104.57K$10.92B15.50%
77
Outperform
Jackson Financial Incorporation3.02%$97.82K$9.52B47.38%
73
Outperform
Hanover Insurance2.52%$81.55K$7.95B28.58%
77
Outperform
Oscar Health2.35%$76.09K$9.96B65.98%
49
Neutral
Alkermes2.29%$74.16K$7.73B53.97%
80
Outperform

SMCF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
39.85
Positive
100DMA
38.70
Positive
200DMA
36.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
55.45
Neutral
STOCH
89.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMCF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.06, equal to the 50-day MA of 39.85, and equal to the 200-day MA of 36.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMCF.

SMCF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$3.24M0.29%
72
Outperform
$88.92M0.04%
64
Neutral
$88.50M0.75%
64
Neutral
$83.99M0.18%
66
Neutral
$80.79M0.64%
66
Neutral
$66.85M0.61%
65
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMCF
Themes US Small Cap Cash Flow Champions ETF
40.36
7.97
24.61%
BKSE
BNY Mellon US Small Cap Core Equity ETF
AIMS
Acuitas Small Cap Active ETF
STXK
Strive 2000 ETF
RUSC
US Small Cap Equity Active ETF
SYZ
Lazard US Systematic Small Cap Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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