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Fidelity National Financial (FNF)
NYSE:FNF
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Fidelity National Financial (FNF) AI Stock Analysis

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FNF

Fidelity National Financial

(NYSE:FNF)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
â–¼(-11.36% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/17/26
FNF scores highest on fundamentals, driven by very strong and improving free-cash-flow generation and a conservatively positioned balance sheet. The main offsets are weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD) and guidance for modest near-term title margin compression alongside cautious residential demand. Reasonable valuation and a high dividend yield provide additional support.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
FNF’s substantial and growing free cash flow demonstrates strong conversion of earnings into cash, providing internal funding for dividends, investments and acquisitions. This cash-generation capability also supports resilience through real-estate cycles and reduces reliance on external financing for ongoing capital needs.
Negative Factors
Cautious residential demand
Persistently low existing-home sales constrain the volume of purchase transactions that generate title premiums, escrow fees and related services. Management’s cautious outlook suggests residential activity may remain a meaningful earnings headwind over the next several months, limiting recovery in the largest part of the business.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
FNF’s substantial and growing free cash flow demonstrates strong conversion of earnings into cash, providing internal funding for dividends, investments and acquisitions. This cash-generation capability also supports resilience through real-estate cycles and reduces reliance on external financing for ongoing capital needs.
Read all positive factors

Fidelity National Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsTitle revenue has stepped back from pandemic peaks but stabilized and regained momentum into 2024–25, driven by order improvements and margin expansion—management now targets 15%–20% adjusted pre‑tax Title margins and expects steady Title interest/dividend cash to the holding company. F&G is a growing, somewhat volatile revenue driver: stronger AUM and sales are boosting contribution and dividend flows, but alternatives underperformance and a Q1 2026 soft patch add execution risk. Corporate & Other receipts have risen, underwriting the company’s active buyback/dividend posture but pressuring holding-company liquidity; mortgage‑rate sensitivity remains the primary downside to Title upside.
Data provided by:The Fly

Fidelity National Financial (FNF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fidelity National Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Fidelity National Financial, Inc., or FNF, is a leading provider of various insurance solutions and related services across the United States. The company structures its operations into three primary divisions: Title, F&G, and Corporate and Other....
How the Company Makes Money
FNF primarily makes money by underwriting title insurance and providing transaction services connected to real estate closings. In its Title segment, the largest sources of revenue typically include: (1) title insurance premiums collected on resid...

Fidelity National Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveys a largely positive picture driven by strong Title segment performance (notably a 33% YoY increase in adjusted pretax Title earnings and a 230 bps margin improvement), robust commercial momentum (24% increase in direct commercial revenue for the first half), solid technology adoption (inHere engaging 80% of residential sales), and growth in F&G AUM (+8% YoY). Near-term headwinds include cautious residential/refinance demand due to high mortgage rates, expected modest margin compression in the second half from front-loaded recruiting and tuck-in acquisitions, rising operating costs, and a lower holding-company cash balance. On balance, the favorable operating results, revenue and margin expansion, and strategic investments appear to outweigh the transitory and manageable challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Title Segment Earnings and Margin Expansion
Adjusted pretax Title earnings of $448 million in Q2 2026, up 33% year-over-year. Adjusted pretax title margin reached 17.8% in Q2, an increase of 230 basis points versus Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Caution on Residential Purchase and Refinance Activity
U.S. existing home sales remain at historically low levels (~4 million annual pace) due to elevated mortgage rates. Management is cautious on residential purchase and refinance activity for the remainder of 2026.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Title Segment Earnings and Margin Expansion
Adjusted pretax Title earnings of $448 million in Q2 2026, up 33% year-over-year. Adjusted pretax title margin reached 17.8% in Q2, an increase of 230 basis points versus Q2 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
FNF guided to a modest compression in adjusted pretax title margin in H2 2026 (Q2 margin was 17.8% with $448M of adjusted pretax title earnings), driven by front‑loaded strategic investments (heavy recruiting and tuck‑in acquisitions) even as commercial momentum should persist and residential purchase/refinance activity remains cautious; for the next 12 months they expect $95–$100M of interest and investment income per quarter and roughly $28M per quarter of F&G dividend income to the holding company, will continue provisioning title claims at 4.5% of total title premiums with carried reserves ~ $15M (~1% above actuary central estimate), see regulatory dividend capacity of ~ $200M (and roughly $600M including less‑regulated subsidiaries) for the back half of the year, and reiterated capital returns (Q2 returned ~$195M; ~$417M YTD); operating metrics cited to frame guidance include total orders opened averaging 6,200/day in Q2 (July ~5,900/day, +7% YoY), purchase orders +3% YoY (+7% QoQ), refinance 1,600/day (+16% YoY, -22% QoQ), commercial direct revenue $778M in 1H (+24% YoY) with commercial orders 919/day (+7% YoY), and F&G AUM $74.7B (+8% YoY) with Q2 F&G net sales $1.5B and adjusted net earnings of $65M.

Fidelity National Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are solid, led by standout cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$6.8B and free cash flow ~$6.6B, with ~14.2% FCF growth and strong cash conversion near net income). Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improving (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.50), supporting resilience. Profitability is positive but constrained by a relatively thin net margin (~5.1%) and ROE (~9.7%) that remain well below earlier-cycle highs.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.28B14.51B13.36B11.52B11.46B15.07B
Gross Profit11.90B14.24B7.07B5.66B7.14B8.97B
EBITDA3.08B2.52B2.69B1.46B2.34B4.10B
Net Income772.00M602.00M1.27B517.00M1.29B2.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets114.53B109.01B95.37B80.61B65.14B60.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.85B32.86B31.84B26.56B21.49B36.36B
Total Debt4.74B4.77B4.71B4.28B3.66B3.51B
Total Liabilities105.72B100.04B86.84B73.15B58.57B51.23B
Stockholders Equity7.45B7.42B7.75B6.91B6.12B9.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.79B6.38B6.67B6.35B4.22B3.96B
Operating Cash Flow5.93B6.52B6.82B6.48B4.36B4.09B
Investing Cash Flow-5.95B-9.63B-7.86B-9.09B-10.52B-7.45B
Financing Cash Flow329.00M2.26B1.76B3.09B4.09B5.00B

Fidelity National Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price47.38
Price Trends
50DMA
42.89
Negative
100DMA
45.66
Negative
200DMA
47.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Negative
RSI
46.49
Neutral
STOCH
73.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FNF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.74, above the 50-day MA of 42.89, and below the 200-day MA of 47.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FNF.

Fidelity National Financial Risk Analysis

Fidelity National Financial disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fidelity National Financial reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fidelity National Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$6.58B10.0412.76%1.88%2.49%7.73%
77
Outperform
$531.91M13.1614.63%3.75%8.67%21.89%
74
Outperform
$6.61B9.0913.33%3.49%14.14%52.69%
74
Outperform
$4.73B9.0311.26%2.85%27.93%-2.18%
72
Outperform
$5.91B8.9713.90%2.15%-1.88%4.83%
69
Neutral
$10.85B14.0410.13%5.14%12.68%-27.30%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FNF
Fidelity National Financial
40.44
-12.17
-23.14%
FAF
First American Financial
64.72
3.00
4.86%
ITIC
Investors Title Company
281.73
26.78
10.50%
MTG
MGIC Investment
28.80
2.40
9.11%
RDN
Radian Group
35.75
3.09
9.45%
ACT
Enact Holdings
47.89
12.86
36.72%

Fidelity National Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Fidelity National Corrects 2026 Refinance Order Metrics
Positive
Sep 16, 2026
On September 15, 2026, Fidelity National Financial corrected refinance order metrics it had discussed during a fireside chat at the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, clarifying that July 2026 refinance opened orders were actually up a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2026