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UMB Financial Corp (UMBF)
NASDAQ:UMBF
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UMB Financial (UMBF) AI Stock Analysis

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UMBF

UMB Financial

(NASDAQ:UMBF)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$117.00
â–²(9.18% Upside)
UMB Financial's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by bearish technical indicators and moderate valuation. The company's robust cash flow and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths, while declining revenue growth and market momentum pose challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Loan Production
Record loan production indicates robust demand and effective lending strategies, enhancing revenue potential and market position.
Fee Income Growth
Growth in fee income reflects strong client engagement and diversified revenue streams, supporting financial stability and profitability.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Smooth integration of Heartland Financial enhances operational efficiency and expands market reach, supporting long-term strategic growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth indicates potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact future profitability.
Increased Acquisition Expenses
Rising acquisition expenses may strain financial resources and impact short-term profitability, potentially affecting cash flow management.
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
A declining gross profit margin can reduce overall profitability, necessitating cost management strategies to sustain margins.

UMB Financial (UMBF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UMB Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. The company operates through various segments, including Commercial Banking, Institutional Banking, and Wealth Management. UMB offers a range of core products and services such as commercial loans, treasury management, investment management, and personal banking to individuals, businesses, and governmental entities across the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyUMB Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investment securities, as well as non-interest income from service fees and asset management. Key revenue streams include net interest income from the lending operations in commercial and consumer banking, fees from treasury management services, and wealth management services that include trust and investment advisory fees. The company also benefits from its strategic partnerships with businesses and institutions, which enhance its service offerings and client base, contributing to its overall earnings.

UMB Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter for UMB Financial, with significant achievements in loan production, fee income, and successful integration of Heartland Financial. Despite some challenges like increased acquisition expenses and market valuation impacts, the positive aspects and strategic growth initiatives outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition and Integration of Heartland Financial
Successfully completed the full systems and brand conversion of all HTLF locations. This milestone was reached early in October, which marked a smooth transition for clients and associates.
Record Loan Production and Income Growth
Quarterly top-line loan production surpassed $2 billion for the first time, with 8% linked-quarter annualized growth in both average loans and deposits.
Strong Fee Income and Trust Services Performance
Fee income increased by 12.4% on a linked-quarter basis. Trust and securities processing income saw solid contributions, with a 49% increase in new business year-to-date in the Specialty Trust and Agency Solutions team.
Positive Credit Quality Metrics
Net charge-offs on legacy UMB loans decreased to 8 basis points of average loans, down from 13 basis points in the prior quarter. Total net charge-offs were 20 basis points, remaining near or below historical averages.
Dividend Increase
Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share, representing a 7.5% increase from the prior quarter and marking the 23rd dividend increase in the past 20 years.
Negative Updates
Increased Acquisition Expenses
Third-quarter acquisition expenses increased to $35.6 million compared to $13.5 million in the second quarter.
Negative Impact from Market Valuation Changes
Fee income was negatively impacted by market valuation changes on equity positions, resulting in a negative $38 million swing in fee income sequentially due to Voyager stock price changes.
Slight Increase in Non-Performing Loans
Total non-performing loans were $132 million or 35 basis points of loans, driven by two legacy HTLF loans.
Company Guidance
In the UMB Financial Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting several key metrics. UMB Financial reported a new record for gross loan production, surpassing $2 billion, and maintained consistent credit quality with an allowance of 1.07% of total loans. The net income available to common shareholders stood at $180.4 million, including $35.6 million in acquisition expenses. Excluding nonrecurring items, the net operating income was reported at $206.5 million or $2.70 per share. The net interest income totaled $475 million, marking a 1.7% increase from the previous quarter, driven by organic growth in average loans and earning assets. Fee income showed a strong 12.4% increase on a linked-quarter basis. Additionally, UMB Financial achieved an increase in common equity Tier 1 ratio to 10.70%, and a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share was declared, marking a 7.5% increase from the prior quarter. The company expressed confidence in maintaining charge-off levels near or below historical averages for the remainder of the year, with total nonperforming loans at $132 million. Looking ahead, UMB Financial expects continued strong loan activity and pipeline growth in both legacy and HTLF markets.

UMB Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UMB Financial demonstrates strong cash flow and efficient operations, with a high free cash flow to net income ratio. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and gross profit margin, which could impact future profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
UMB Financial shows a strong EBIT and EBITDA margin in the TTM, indicating efficient operations. However, the recent revenue growth rate is negative, suggesting a decline in sales. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM, indicating better leverage management. Return on equity has decreased slightly, reflecting a potential decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow has shown significant growth in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which could indicate potential issues in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.04B2.64B2.24B1.58B1.24B1.30B
Gross Profit2.07B1.41B1.28B1.32B1.18B1.09B
EBITDA896.91M594.04M480.32M586.03M484.81M401.69M
Net Income607.04M441.24M350.02M431.68M353.02M286.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.88B50.41B44.01B38.51B42.69B33.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B16.33B12.68B8.69B21.23B12.84B
Total Debt3.31B3.00B3.50B2.60B3.51B2.59B
Total Liabilities64.44B46.94B40.91B35.85B39.55B30.11B
Stockholders Equity7.44B3.47B3.10B2.67B3.15B3.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow843.57M201.08M445.69M717.84M500.39M313.38M
Operating Cash Flow853.75M225.29M472.60M769.55M534.08M373.60M
Investing Cash Flow-5.20B-3.26B-1.27B-3.85B-4.24B-4.49B
Financing Cash Flow2.96B5.96B4.77B-4.58B9.42B5.95B

UMB Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price107.16
Price Trends
50DMA
116.65
Negative
100DMA
113.27
Negative
200DMA
108.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.72
Positive
RSI
36.72
Neutral
STOCH
27.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UMBF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 107.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.81, below the 50-day MA of 116.65, and below the 200-day MA of 108.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UMBF.

UMB Financial Risk Analysis

UMB Financial disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UMB Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UMB Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.55B11.7311.69%1.54%3.61%13.93%
73
Outperform
$9.88B14.819.64%3.73%-7.07%31.09%
70
Outperform
$7.99B12.028.26%2.71%20.72%3.63%
70
Outperform
$7.52B9.9513.05%2.54%5.87%53.36%
68
Neutral
$8.07B12.0311.06%1.42%38.81%10.38%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$7.60B9.2112.75%3.36%0.12%27.77%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UMBF
UMB Financial
107.06
-12.91
-10.76%
CMA
Comerica
78.17
13.01
19.97%
ONB
Old National Bancorp Capital
20.68
-0.30
-1.43%
BPOP
Popular
112.88
19.56
20.96%
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
128.68
3.58
2.86%
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
51.88
-3.85
-6.91%

UMB Financial Corporate Events

UMB Financial’s Strong Quarter: Key Earnings Call Insights
Oct 31, 2025

UMB Financial Corp. recently held its earnings call, reflecting a strong quarter marked by significant achievements in loan production, fee income, and the successful integration of Heartland Financial. Despite some challenges, such as increased acquisition expenses and market valuation impacts, the positive aspects and strategic growth initiatives outweighed the negatives, setting a robust tone for the company’s future.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
UMB Financial Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, UMB Financial Corporation announced a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per share for common stock and $193.75 per share for Series B preferred stock, payable in January 2026. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a significant increase in net income and operating income compared to the previous year, driven by record loan production and successful integration of Heartland Financial USA, Inc. The results highlight UMB’s strong market positioning and operational efficiency, benefiting stakeholders through improved financial performance and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMBF) stock is a Buy with a $133.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UMB Financial stock, see the UMBF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
UMB Financial Announces Redemption of Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

UMB Financial Corporation announced the redemption of its 3.70% Fixed-to-Fixed Rate Subordinated Notes due 2030, effective September 17, 2025. This move involves redeeming all outstanding notes at their principal amount plus accrued interest, impacting the company’s financial obligations and potentially its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMBF) stock is a Buy with a $132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UMB Financial stock, see the UMBF Stock Forecast page.

UMB Financial Corp. Reports Strong Earnings and Growth
Aug 1, 2025

The recent earnings call of UMB Financial Corp. painted a positive picture, highlighting strong performance in net income, investment gains, and growth in loans and deposits. Despite facing challenges related to the integration of Heartland and seasonal deposit pressures, the company showcased a successful pilot conversion and a preferred stock offering, contributing to an optimistic outlook.

UMB Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Jul 31, 2025

UMB Financial Corporation, a financial services company headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri, offers a range of banking services including commercial, personal, and institutional banking across multiple states in the U.S. and serves clients internationally.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025