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Mueller Industries
(NYSE:MLI)
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Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
▲(15.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/12/26
MLI scores well primarily due to strong financial performance (high profitability and very low leverage). Technicals are also supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive momentum, though near-overbought signals add some caution. Valuation is reasonable but not especially cheap, and recent cash-flow softness is the key fundamental watch item; corporate events are a modest positive.
Positive Factors
Exceptionally conservative balance sheet
Minimal leverage gives Mueller substantial financial flexibility to fund operations, pursue growth, and manage cyclical demand without heavy refinancing or interest burdens. This conservative balance sheet can help preserve resilience and strategic options across changing industrial conditions.
Negative Factors
Sharp recent free-cash-flow decline
Although cash generation remains positive, the steep recent free-cash-flow decline signals pressure from working capital, timing, or operating needs. If sustained, weaker cash conversion could reduce flexibility for investment, dividends, and other capital-allocation priorities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exceptionally conservative balance sheet
Minimal leverage gives Mueller substantial financial flexibility to fund operations, pursue growth, and manage cyclical demand without heavy refinancing or interest burdens. This conservative balance sheet can help preserve resilience and strategic options across changing industrial conditions.
Read all positive factors
Mueller Industries (MLI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$13.43B
Dividend Yield1.07%
Average Volume (3M)1.65M
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.6
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth14.81%
EPS Growth21.29%
CountryUS
Employees4,832
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Metal Fabrication
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.90
Shares Outstanding221,181,380
10 Day Avg. Volume1,363,756
30 Day Avg. Volume1,650,355
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.59
Price to Book (P/B)5.17
Price to Sales (P/S)3.08
P/FCF Ratio18.77
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.95
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.75
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit10.07
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.70
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)4.17
Revenue Forecast (FY)$5.07B
Mueller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mueller Industries, Inc., established in 1917 and based in Collierville, Tennessee, is a global manufacturer and distributor of various products crafted from copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic. The company operates internationally, with a presen...
How the Company Makes Money
Mueller Industries makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling engineered commodity-based products (notably copper/brass and related alloys, as well as certain plastic and aluminum products) into building-services and industrial supply chai...
Mueller Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
96
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.66B | 4.18B | 3.77B | 3.42B | 3.98B | 3.77B |
| Gross Profit | 1.27B | 1.14B | 1.04B | 986.83M | 1.12B | 830.36M |
| EBITDA | 1.20B | 1.09B | 874.00M | 886.41M | 920.57M | 694.24M |
| Net Income | 850.51M | 765.19M | 604.88M | 602.90M | 658.32M | 468.52M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.26B | 3.02B | 3.29B | 2.76B | 2.24B | 1.73B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.42B | 1.39B | 1.06B | 1.27B | 678.88M | 87.92M |
| Total Debt | 24.68M | 46.46M | 33.76M | 35.56M | 23.85M | 24.99M |
| Total Liabilities | 683.25M | 497.12M | 486.50M | 400.58M | 428.44M | 471.97M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.55B | 2.49B | 2.77B | 2.34B | 1.79B | 1.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 374.14M | 686.64M | 565.71M | 618.74M | 686.30M | 279.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 451.05M | 755.44M | 645.91M | 672.77M | 723.94M | 311.70M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -117.26M | -24.91M | -606.93M | 135.08M | -242.00M | 29.07M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.08M | -394.62M | -160.48M | -104.51M | -102.66M | -376.72M |
Mueller Industries Technical Analysis
Negative
61.51
Price Trends
63.07
Negative
63.35
Negative
62.17
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.28
Negative
45.57
Neutral
15.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.80, below the 50-day MA of 63.07, and below the 200-day MA of 62.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLI.
Mueller Industries Risk Analysis
Mueller Industries disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mueller Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Mueller Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84 Outperform | $13.43B | 15.61 | 27.33% | 1.07% | 14.81% | 21.29% | |
76 Outperform | $3.06B | 18.52 | 16.19% | 1.23% | 18.44% | 54.40% | |
75 Outperform | $26.12B | 54.97 | 26.59% | 1.81% | 4.58% | 15.71% | |
64 Neutral | $571.07M | 15.76 | 9.92% | 3.80% | 17.06% | 16.89% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
52 Neutral | $1.09B | -126.97 | -0.96% | ― | 14.47% | -220.54% | |
50 Neutral | $1.36B | -21.46 | -3.18% | 2.87% | 31.54% | -171.56% |
* Industrials Sector Average
MLI
Mueller Industries
60.71
12.13
24.98%
ATI
ATI
191.84
108.86
131.19%
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
36.66
-26.89
-42.31%
IIIN
Insteel Industries
29.50
-5.64
-16.05%
WOR
Worthington Industries
62.45
7.77
14.21%
RYZ
Ryerson Holdings
26.23
4.27
19.46%
Mueller Industries Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Mueller Industries Announces Director Retirement and Dividend Declaration
Positive
Aug 10, 2026
On August 6, 2026, Mueller Industries, Inc. announced that longtime director Gary S. Gladstein notified the Board he will retire from the Board effective December 31, 2026, concluding a tenure that included service as Chairman from 2013 to 2015 an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.