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PGJ - ETF AI Analysis

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PGJ

Invesco Golden Dragon China Etf (PGJ)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$37.89
The overall rating of the Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) reflects a mix of strengths and challenges among its top holdings. Leading contributors like Alibaba and Yum China bolster the fund’s rating with their strong financial performance, growth in AI and cloud segments, and strategic expansion initiatives. However, weaker holdings such as Nio, which faces financial difficulties and negative cash flows, slightly weigh on the fund’s overall score. A key risk factor is the ETF’s concentration in Chinese companies, which may expose it to regional economic and regulatory uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Strong Year-to-Date Performance
The ETF has delivered solid gains so far this year, indicating positive momentum.
Consumer Cyclical Leadership
The fund’s largest sector exposure, Consumer Cyclical, includes strong-performing companies like Alibaba and Tencent Music.
Focused Exposure to Growth Industries
The ETF emphasizes high-growth sectors like Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services, and Technology, which can drive long-term returns.
Negative Factors
High Geographic Concentration
Nearly all of the fund’s exposure is tied to U.S.-listed Chinese companies, limiting diversification across global markets.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some major holdings, such as Yum China and JD, have underperformed year-to-date, dragging on overall results.
Above-Average Expense Ratio
The ETF’s expense ratio is higher than many alternatives, which can reduce net returns for investors over time.

PGJ vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PGJ Summary

The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) is an investment fund that focuses on U.S.-listed companies earning significant revenue from China. It includes a mix of sectors like consumer goods, technology, and communication services, with well-known companies such as Alibaba and Yum China Holdings among its top holdings. This ETF is a way to invest in China's growing economy and diversify your portfolio with international exposure. However, new investors should know that its performance is closely tied to the Chinese market, which can be volatile and influenced by political or economic changes.
How much will it cost me?The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) has an expense ratio of 0.7%, which means you’ll pay $7 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, focusing on a niche market with specialized exposure to U.S.-listed companies tied to China. Active management typically involves higher costs due to research and strategy implementation.
What would affect this ETF?The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) could benefit from China's economic growth and innovation, particularly in sectors like consumer cyclical, communication services, and technology, which make up a significant portion of its holdings. However, potential risks include regulatory changes in China, geopolitical tensions, and global economic slowdowns, which could negatively impact the performance of its top holdings like Alibaba and Baidu. Additionally, fluctuations in interest rates or currency values may influence investor sentiment toward international investments.

PGJ Top 10 Holdings

The Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) leans heavily on consumer cyclical and communication services, with tech playing a smaller but notable role. Alibaba continues to rise, buoyed by strong growth in its cloud and AI segments, while Tencent Music shows mixed signals, balancing profitability with short-term bearish trends. Baidu’s AI investments are promising, but declining ad revenue holds it back. Meanwhile, Yum China and JD are lagging, weighed down by weaker financial performance. With its focus on U.S.-listed Chinese firms, PGJ offers a concentrated play on China’s evolving economic landscape.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Alibaba9.89%$15.93M$413.59B79.58%
79
Outperform
Baidu7.80%$12.56M$41.71B38.15%
67
Neutral
JD7.47%$12.03M$53.05B-17.87%
72
Outperform
Yum China Holdings7.39%$11.91M$16.52B-0.60%
76
Outperform
Tencent Music Entertainment Group5.85%$9.42M$32.53B100.25%
75
Outperform
Nio4.11%$6.61M$16.68B21.17%
51
Neutral
NetEase3.99%$6.43M$91.15B80.12%
81
Outperform
Full Truck Alliance3.79%$6.11M$13.54B45.20%
72
Outperform
Vipshop3.66%$5.89M$9.07B27.07%
75
Outperform
Kanzhun Ltd Sponsored3.53%$5.68M$10.68B46.66%
75
Outperform

PGJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
31.92
Positive
100DMA
30.27
Positive
200DMA
28.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
50.86
Neutral
STOCH
79.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PGJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.42, equal to the 50-day MA of 31.92, and equal to the 200-day MA of 28.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PGJ.

PGJ Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$158.42M0.70%
68
Neutral
$8.25B0.59%
63
Neutral
$241.94M0.19%
59
Neutral
$105.53M0.59%
54
Neutral
$61.08M0.80%
66
Neutral
$11.35M0.75%
58
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PGJ
Invesco Golden Dragon China Etf
32.28
5.55
20.76%
MCHI
iShares MSCI China ETF
FLCH
Franklin FTSE China ETF
ECNS
iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF
FCA
First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund
CGRO
CoreValues Alpha Greater China Growth ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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