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DVDN - ETF AI Analysis

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DVDN

Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (DVDN)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
DVDN’s overall rating suggests it is a solid but not top-tier dividend-focused ETF, with its performance heavily influenced by mortgage and specialty finance holdings. Strong contributors like TRIN, which benefits from robust financial performance, positive technical trends, and supportive earnings commentary, help lift the fund’s quality, while several large positions such as NLY and RITM face high leverage and weaker or declining profitability, which weigh on the rating. The main risk is the fund’s concentration in leveraged, income-oriented financial and mortgage-related companies, which can be more vulnerable to economic and interest rate shocks.
Positive Factors
Income-Focused Real Estate and Financial Holdings
The fund concentrates on real estate and financial companies that typically pay attractive dividends, which can appeal to income-seeking investors.
Several Strong Individual Performers
Some top holdings, such as Trinity Capital and NexPoint Real Estate Finance, have shown strong recent performance, helping offset weaker positions in the portfolio.
Targeted Exposure to U.S. Market
With most assets invested in U.S. companies, the ETF offers focused exposure to the U.S. economy for investors who prefer domestic markets.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is relatively high for an ETF, which means more of the returns are eaten up by fees over time.
Heavy Concentration in Real Estate
A large majority of assets are in the real estate sector, so the fund is highly sensitive to downturns or stress in real estate markets.
Recent Weak Performance and Mixed Top Holdings
The ETF has recently delivered weak returns, and several of its largest positions have been lagging, which may weigh on near-term results.

DVDN vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DVDN Summary

Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (DVDN) is a fund that focuses on real estate, especially Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), rather than tracking a traditional index. These companies own income-producing properties and are required to pay out most of their profits as dividends. The ETF holds well-known names like Blackstone Mortgage and Annaly Capital, aiming to provide investors with regular income plus some growth potential from the real estate market. This can help diversify a portfolio, but investors should know that real estate and mortgage-focused stocks can be sensitive to interest rates and can go up and down with the market.
How much will it cost me?The Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (Ticker: DVDN) has an expense ratio of 0.9%, which means you’ll pay $9 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, focusing on a niche sector like REITs that requires specialized expertise.
What would affect this ETF?The Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF (DVDN), with its focus on U.S. real estate and REITs, could benefit from a strong real estate market driven by economic growth, low interest rates, or increased demand for income-generating properties. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can increase borrowing costs for REITs, or economic downturns that negatively impact property values and rental income. Its concentrated exposure to the real estate sector makes it sensitive to these factors.

DVDN Top 10 Holdings

DVDN is heavily tilted toward U.S. mortgage and real estate finance names, so a handful of stocks really set the tone. Trinity Capital and NexPoint Real Estate Finance have been rising, acting like the fund’s offensive line and helping to offset weakness elsewhere. On the other side, Blackstone Mortgage, Invesco Mortgage, Dynex Capital, and Ladder Capital have been lagging, dragging on recent returns as higher funding costs and credit worries bite. With most exposure in real estate and financials, the fund is both sector-focused and concentrated in a few key income-oriented players.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Trinity Capital7.28%$224.77K$1.71B17.02%
76
Outperform
Annaly Capital7.18%$221.88K$17.37B12.25%
63
Neutral
AGNC Investment7.04%$217.49K$12.85B15.33%
66
Neutral
Dynex Capital6.89%$212.81K$3.21B3.90%
60
Neutral
Adamas Trust6.74%$208.22K$882.62M48.33%
60
Neutral
Invesco Mortgage6.62%$204.59K$805.15M-1.07%
60
Neutral
ARMOUR Residential REIT6.54%$201.90K$2.36B11.16%
58
Neutral
Ladder Capital6.49%$200.50K$1.24B-12.61%
66
Neutral
Orchid Island Capital6.39%$197.33K$1.31B-7.67%
65
Neutral
Claros Mortgage Trust5.56%$171.69K$273.70M-44.51%
47
Neutral

DVDN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
15.76
Negative
100DMA
16.04
Negative
200DMA
16.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
51.61
Neutral
STOCH
77.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVDN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.60, equal to the 50-day MA of 15.76, and equal to the 200-day MA of 16.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DVDN.

DVDN Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$3.13M0.90%
62
Neutral
$60.00M0.35%
70
Outperform
$57.32M0.68%
69
Neutral
$53.69M0.75%
65
Neutral
$8.13M0.60%
64
Neutral
$1.08M0.59%
64
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVDN
Kingsbarn Dividend Opportunity ETF
15.70
-3.91
-19.94%
PSR
Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate Fund
REIT
ALPS Active REIT ETF
SRHR
SRH REIT Covered Call ETF
HAUS
Home Appreciation U.S. REIT ETF
REAI
Tidal Etf Trust Intelligent Real Estate Etf
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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