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Yara International
(OTC:YARIY)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▼(-5.51% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/23/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability and returns have rebounded with manageable leverage) and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI) and a mixed earnings-call backdrop where cost/improvement progress is offset by lower Q3 results, gas-cost pressure, and reliability constraints.
Positive Factors
Earnings Recovery
The rebound in profitability shows that Yara can restore earnings power when fertilizer spreads and operating conditions improve. Stronger margins and returns support internal funding, reinforce the company’s competitive position, and provide a healthier base for performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Commodity-Cycle Exposure
Yara’s earnings remain sensitive to the spread between fertilizer prices and natural-gas costs, so stronger recent results may not be fully durable across the cycle. This commodity exposure can create substantial volatility in margins, returns, and cash generation even with effective internal execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Earnings Recovery
The rebound in profitability shows that Yara can restore earnings power when fertilizer spreads and operating conditions improve. Stronger margins and returns support internal funding, reinforce the company’s competitive position, and provide a healthier base for performance over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Yara International (YARIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.90B
Dividend Yield5.52%
Average Volume (3M)1.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.7
Beta (1Y)0.19
Revenue Growth12.29%
EPS Growth90.20%
CountryUS
Employees15,702
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.40
Shares Outstanding509,451,260
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume1,511
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)2.38
Price to Sales (P/S)1.33
P/FCF Ratio21.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.30
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.84
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.37
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.32
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)2.65
Revenue Forecast (FY)$17.39B
Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Yara International ASA engages in the production, distribution, and sale of fertilizers. It operates through the following segments: Europe, Americas, Africa and Asia, Global Plants and Operational Excellence, Clean Ammonia, and Industrial Solutio...
How the Company Makes Money
Yara primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling nitrogen-based fertilizer products and related crop nutrition offerings. Its core revenue stream comes from fertilizer sales to farmers, distributors, and agricultural retailers, with pricing...
Yara International Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture. Yara highlighted stronger underlying returns, 31% year-to-date EPS growth, disciplined costs, resilient cash flow, improving European nitrate performance, and progress toward its EBITDA improvement targets. However, third-quarter EBITDA and EPS declined, higher European gas costs pressured margins, demand and purchasing remained delayed in several markets, and reliability issues continued to constrain production and program realization. The positive operational and strategic developments were broadly balanced by current earnings and market challenges.Positive Updates
Positive Return on Invested Capital
12-month return on invested capital was 13.5%, compared with 8% at the same time last year. Management said the 2025 cost program and USD 60 million of 2026 year-to-date EBITDA improvements contributed approximately 1.5 percentage points to ROIC.
Negative Updates
Quarterly EBITDA and EPS Decline
Third-quarter EBITDA excluding special items was USD 675 million, down from USD 804 million in the third quarter of 2025, a decline of approximately 16%. EPS was USD 0.95 per share, down from USD 1.33, a decline of approximately 29%.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Positive Return on Invested Capital
12-month return on invested capital was 13.5%, compared with 8% at the same time last year. Management said the 2025 cost program and USD 60 million of 2026 year-to-date EBITDA improvements contributed approximately 1.5 percentage points to ROIC.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Yara said its EBITDA improvement program remains on track, with USD 60 million delivered so far in 2026, a target of USD 200 million EBITDA uplift by the end of 2027 and an additional USD 150 million by the end of 2030, or USD 350 million by 2030; the bulk of the outstanding improvements is linked to production or production increases, mainly in the production area toward the end of 2027. The company can curtail up to 1 million tonne of its European ammonia production per year, with curtailments rising from 150,000 tonnes in Q3 to 270,000 tonnes today; at a current run rate of 270,000 tonnes of ammonia, $36 million MBtu per ton of ammonia and fourth quarter gas cost of $24 per MBtu, this gives $230 million in gas cost avoidance just there. Yara does not guide on volumes or provide a quarter-by-quarter forecast for improvements, is hopeful the Gulf Coast Ammonia acquisition will close in Q4, and remains committed to a strong balance sheet and a mid-investment-grade credit rating.Yara International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 16.90B | 15.62B | 13.81B | 15.43B | 23.90B | 16.62B |
| Gross Profit | 4.22B | 4.42B | 3.68B | 3.34B | 6.55B | 4.48B |
| EBITDA | 3.29B | 3.12B | 1.41B | 1.47B | 4.83B | 2.58B |
| Net Income | 1.41B | 1.37B | 14.00M | 48.00M | 2.78B | 449.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 17.79B | 17.14B | 14.99B | 16.03B | 17.98B | 17.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 873.97M | 913.00M | 317.00M | 447.00M | 908.00M | 350.00M |
| Total Debt | 3.83B | 4.18B | 4.05B | 4.23B | 4.22B | 4.33B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.47B | 8.39B | 7.99B | 8.46B | 9.38B | 10.15B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.29B | 8.72B | 6.99B | 7.55B | 8.59B | 7.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 924.43M | 956.00M | 248.00M | 1.15B | 1.47B | 597.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.92B | 1.89B | 1.29B | 2.29B | 2.39B | 1.41B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -801.67M | -906.00M | -1.08B | -1.20B | -509.00M | -874.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.16B | -392.00M | -401.00M | -1.52B | -1.23B | -1.50B |
Yara International Technical Analysis
Negative
24.34
Price Trends
22.95
Negative
22.94
Negative
24.42
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.40
Negative
38.92
Neutral
0.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For YARIY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.47, above the 50-day MA of 22.95, and below the 200-day MA of 24.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for YARIY.
Yara International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $424.96M | 15.81 | 5.27% | 3.48% | 4.20% | ― | |
76 Outperform | $18.66B | 9.12 | 40.41% | 1.70% | 20.04% | 76.29% | |
70 Outperform | $1.34B | 8.36 | 51.56% | 11.42% | 17.47% | 82.16% | |
66 Neutral | $10.90B | 7.74 | 15.67% | 5.52% | 12.29% | 90.20% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
57 Neutral | $5.91B | 18.77 | 5.02% | 4.50% | 10.92% | -16.91% | |
49 Neutral | $5.85B | 91.95 | 0.36% | 4.79% | 8.84% | -167.87% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
YARIY
Yara International
21.40
3.68
20.79%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
123.30
41.70
51.10%
UAN
CVR Partners
126.76
43.31
51.89%
IPI
Intrepid Potash
31.58
4.95
18.59%
MOS
Mosaic Co
18.39
-8.09
-30.54%
ICL
Icl
4.58
-1.71
-27.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.