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XPLR Infrastructure
(NYSE:XIFR)
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Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▼(-18.73% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile fundamentals—especially sharply deteriorating operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow—despite a return to positive net income. Technical indicators are broadly neutral with modest longer-term improvement but negative MACD. Valuation is reasonable on P/E, but the lack of a dividend yield limits support from income/total-return factors.
Positive Factors
Contracted, cash-generating asset model
Ownership of long-lived infrastructure and real assets tied to contracted or regulated arrangements can support recurring distributions over multiple quarters. This business model may provide greater cash-flow visibility than purely transactional operations, while portfolio ownership creates exposure to established operating platforms.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
Sustained revenue contraction would weaken the cash distributions and earnings that support XIFR’s ownership model. The latest sharp TTM decline, following earlier modest decreases, signals limited top-line momentum and could reduce funding available for reinvestment, debt service, or acquisitions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Contracted, cash-generating asset model
Ownership of long-lived infrastructure and real assets tied to contracted or regulated arrangements can support recurring distributions over multiple quarters. This business model may provide greater cash-flow visibility than purely transactional operations, while portfolio ownership creates exposure to established operating platforms.
Read all positive factors
XPLR Infrastructure (XIFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.83B
Dividend Yield19.2%
Average Volume (3M)1.19M
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.1
Beta (1Y)0.77
Revenue Growth-2.84%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
EmployeesN/A
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength65
IndustryRenewable Utilities
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.67
Shares Outstanding94,272,800
10 Day Avg. Volume1,330,145
30 Day Avg. Volume1,192,667
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.67
Price to Book (P/B)0.29
Price to Sales (P/S)0.79
P/FCF Ratio-4.29
Enterprise Value/Market Cap7.63
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.63
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit67.09
Enterprise Value/Ebitda18.31
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$12.00Price Target Upside2.65% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)1.84
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.35B
XPLR Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
XPLR Infrastructure LP focuses on acquiring, overseeing, and owning renewable energy ventures. These projects are typically contractually secured, ensuring stable, long-term financial returns. The company's portfolio includes investments in wind a...
How the Company Makes Money
XPLR Infrastructure makes money primarily through cash distributions, dividends, and other cash flows it receives from its ownership interests in its portfolio companies and assets. These underlying businesses typically generate revenue from long-...
XPLR Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally constructive strategic and operational story: solid Q1 results within expectations, clear progress on repowering, successful capital transactions in 2025 that reduce near-term corporate refinancing needs, and a new battery co‑investment expected to add ~200 MW of storage. Offsetting this were near-term headwinds: slightly below‑average wind resource (99% vs. 103% prior year), higher O&M due to pulled-forward maintenance, and material incremental interest expense (~$74M corporate + ~$12M project) that reduced Free Cash Flow in Q1. Management reiterated full-year 2026 guidance and emphasized capital discipline and liquidity, suggesting the negatives are largely expected, temporary, or part of executed transactions.Positive Updates
Solid Operational Start to 2026
Management described a 'solid start' to 2026 with portfolio performance consistent with expectations and disciplined execution of strategic priorities to simplify capital structure and invest in the asset base.
Negative Updates
Lower Wind Resource in Q1
First-quarter existing projects experienced wind resource at ~99% of long-term average versus ~103% in the prior-year period, reducing generation relative to last year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Solid Operational Start to 2026
Management described a 'solid start' to 2026 with portfolio performance consistent with expectations and disciplined execution of strategic priorities to simplify capital structure and invest in the asset base.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated 2026 guidance of $1.75 billion to $1.95 billion of adjusted EBITDA and $600 million to $700 million of Free Cash Flow Before Growth, noting Q1 results of roughly $435 million of adjusted EBITDA and $89 million of FCF Before Growth (Q1 typically representing about 12%–15% of full‑year FCF BG); Q1 wind resource was ~99% of long‑term average (versus 103% a year earlier), ~30% of 2026 repowering projects are complete, and XPLR completed the final draw on 2025 project financing commitments while expecting the next major corporate refinancing in 2027; the company plans a 49% stake in four battery projects adding ~200 net MW by year‑end 2027 with ~ $80 million net equity required (with roughly $45 million of that expected from interconnection sales), and Q1 FCF was reduced by roughly $74 million of incremental corporate interest from ~$1.75 billion of unsecured notes issued in March 2025 plus about $12 million of additional project interest; cash & equivalents were about $943 million (with ~ $300 million held in project reserves), and management highlighted a recent ~90 MW recontract at ~ $25/MWh higher (a 15‑year busbar) as an early example of recontracting upside.XPLR Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.20B | 1.19B | 1.23B | 1.08B | 969.00M | 722.00M |
| Gross Profit | 208.00M | 126.00M | 726.00M | 558.00M | 442.00M | 348.00M |
| EBITDA | 762.00M | 607.00M | 345.00M | 772.00M | 581.00M | 474.00M |
| Net Income | 63.00M | -28.00M | -23.00M | 200.00M | 477.00M | 137.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 18.99B | 19.59B | 20.29B | 22.51B | 23.05B | 18.98B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 500.00M | 960.00M | 328.00M | 274.00M | 226.00M | 147.00M |
| Total Debt | 6.03B | 6.20B | 5.34B | 6.29B | 5.29B | 5.33B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.38B | 8.70B | 7.43B | 8.45B | 8.28B | 7.82B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.24B | 3.19B | 3.21B | 3.57B | 3.33B | 2.98B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -634.00M | -219.00M | 559.00M | -538.00M | -575.00M | 564.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 123.00M | 739.00M | 800.00M | 731.00M | 776.00M | 677.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -682.00M | 630.00M | 1.24B | -194.00M | -1.19B | -2.30B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 146.00M | -674.00M | -2.00B | -527.00M | 551.00M | 1.66B |
XPLR Infrastructure Technical Analysis
Negative
11.69
Price Trends
10.70
Negative
11.30
Negative
10.96
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.33
Negative
30.90
Neutral
23.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XIFR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.91, above the 50-day MA of 10.70, and above the 200-day MA of 10.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XIFR.
XPLR Infrastructure Risk Analysis
XPLR Infrastructure disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. XPLR Infrastructure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
XPLR Infrastructure Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $4.71B | 54.12 | 19.16% | ― | ― | ― | |
66 Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% | |
62 Neutral | $5.41B | -1.12 | 243.54% | 5.31% | -2.38% | -301.98% | |
61 Neutral | $2.50B | 20.90 | 9.00% | ― | 14.06% | 11.99% | |
55 Neutral | $5.52B | 43.12 | 4.96% | 0.54% | 31.13% | -4.27% | |
54 Neutral | $6.57B | 42.14 | 1.96% | 5.79% | 7.99% | 22.73% | |
48 Neutral | $1.83B | 14.15 | 1.97% | 19.20% | -2.84% | ― |
* Utilities Sector Average
XIFR
XPLR Infrastructure
9.48
-0.33
-3.36%
ORA
Ormat Techno
89.69
-17.68
-16.46%
CWEN
Clearway Energy
32.03
1.15
3.71%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
29.15
-13.12
-31.04%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
6.85
-0.69
-9.15%
MWH
Solv Energy
23.27
-7.40
-24.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.