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White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) AI Stock Analysis

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WTM

White Mountains Insurance Group

(NYSE:WTM)

Select Model
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:$2,474.00▲(8.99% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/27/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (notably a debt-free balance sheet and excellent recent profitability) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a high dividend yield). Technical signals are neutral and do not add meaningful upside momentum, while corporate events are modestly positive on governance/capital positioning.

Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheetNo financial debt materially reduces solvency risk and interest burden, giving White Mountains flexibility to support subsidiaries, withstand insurance-cycle volatility, and deploy capital when attractive opportunities arise.
Negative Factors
Earnings cyclicalityThe wide historical earnings swings show that results remain sensitive to underwriting conditions, catastrophe losses, reserving outcomes, and investment markets. This cyclicality can make sustainable earnings and capital planning less predictable.

White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%WTM+18.25%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$5.42B
Dividend Yield
0.04%
Average Volume (3M)
21.16K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.2
Beta (1Y)
0.22
Revenue Growth
20.88%
EPS Growth
445.91%
Country
US
Employees
1,648
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Insurance - Diversified

White Mountains Insurance Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. provides insurance services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Bermuda, and internationally. It operates through Ark/WM Outrigger, HG Global, Kudu, Distinguished, and Other Operations segments. The company...

How the Company Makes Money

White Mountains makes money primarily through (1) underwriting income from its insurance and reinsurance operations and (2) investment income and gains on the assets it holds at the parent company and within its regulated insurance subsidiaries. Unde...

White Mountains Insurance Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals led by an excellent balance sheet (no debt in TTM, sizable equity base, healthy ROE ~21%) and very high recent profitability (net margin ~40%, EBIT margin ~49%). Offsets include meaningful earnings cyclicality across years and uneven earnings-to-cash conversion, with free cash flow down sharply TTM (~-32%) and a recent period of negative cash flow despite strong net income.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.80B2.71B2.35B2.17B1.16B614.40M
Gross Profit1.82B1.45B1.07B1.15B370.90M33.10M
EBITDA1.41B1.42B371.10M610.30M-104.80M-231.50M
Net Income1.12B1.11B230.40M509.20M792.80M-275.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.77B12.31B9.93B8.39B7.39B7.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.79B3.15B1.22B1.61B1.18B605.80M
Total Debt932.50M837.00M562.50M564.60M575.20M639.10M
Total Liabilities7.51B6.05B4.79B3.82B3.45B3.30B
Stockholders Equity5.39B5.43B4.48B4.24B3.75B3.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow425.00M-7.20M586.80M404.10M434.00M98.20M
Operating Cash Flow425.00M-7.20M586.80M404.10M434.00M98.20M
Investing Cash Flow-432.20M212.70M-447.00M-543.90M155.70M-204.00M
Financing Cash Flow-251.40M-205.20M4.20M7.20M-461.80M149.20M

White Mountains Insurance Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price2269.99

Price Trends

50DMA2102.28Positive
100DMA2110.40Positive
200DMA2136.60Positive

Market Momentum

MACD48.30Negative
RSI76.29Negative
STOCH82.07Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2269.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2150.88, above the 50-day MA of 2102.28, and above the 200-day MA of 2136.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 48.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.29 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTM.

White Mountains Insurance Group Risk Analysis

White Mountains Insurance Group disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. White Mountains Insurance Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

White Mountains Insurance Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

WTM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ACGLACGL83Outperform$36.29B8.5918.35%―-5.29%14.08%
WTMWTM82Outperform$5.42B5.1721.34%0.04%20.88%445.91%
HIGHIG82Outperform$35.46B7.9524.13%1.81%4.08%34.70%
AXSAXS78Outperform$7.52B7.0117.80%1.68%10.16%7.89%
IGICIGIC71Outperform$1.03B9.7915.95%5.74%-1.67%―
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
AIGAIG65Neutral$42.82B14.867.27%2.32%-4.19%1.09%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%WTMAIGACGLAXSHIGIGICDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
WTM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance2269.99370.9919.54%
AIGAmerican International Group, Inc.81.904.846.28%
ACGLArch Capital106.3620.3623.67%
AXSAxis Capital Holdings104.8712.1313.08%
HIGHartford Insurance Group Inc132.5910.518.61%
IGICInternational General Insurance Holdings Ltd.24.374.1320.41%

White Mountains Insurance Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

White Mountains Insurance Adds Seasoned Director to Board

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

On August 26 and 27, 2026, White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. announced that its Board of Directors has elected Stephen Klar, former President and Managing Partner of Wellington Management Group LLP, as a director, expanding the Board from 10 to 1...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings

White Mountains Highlights 2026 Investor Presentation and Strategy

Positive
Jun 5, 2026

White Mountains Insurance Group used its 2026 Annual Investor Presentation to highlight a strong 2025, when book value per share rose 25% to $2,188, supported by good operating results, solid though benchmark-lagging investment performance, and over...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2026