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VEON Ltd (VEON)
NASDAQ:VEON
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VEON (VEON) AI Stock Analysis

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VEON

VEON

(NASDAQ:VEON)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(10.75% Upside)
VEON's overall stock score reflects a positive outlook driven by strong earnings call results and attractive valuation. Financial performance shows recovery, but high leverage and income volatility are concerns. Technical analysis indicates mixed signals, with long-term trends remaining positive. The absence of corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Digital Revenue Growth
The significant growth in digital revenues highlights VEON's successful digital transformation strategy, enhancing long-term revenue streams and market competitiveness.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships like the one with Engro strengthen VEON's market position and infrastructure capabilities, supporting sustainable growth and operational efficiency.
Kyivstar Nasdaq Listing
Listing Kyivstar on Nasdaq enhances VEON's visibility and access to capital, positioning it as a leader in the Ukrainian market and expanding its investor base.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting VEON's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Noncash Charges
Anticipated noncash charges could affect VEON's financial statements, complicating performance assessments and potentially impacting investor sentiment.
Inflationary Pressures
Rising inflation can increase operational costs and pressure margins, challenging VEON's ability to maintain profitability and competitive pricing.

VEON (VEON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VEON Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVEON Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides mobile and fixed-line telecommunications services. It offers voice, data, and other telecommunication services through a range of wireless, fixed, and broadband internet services. The company provides value-added services, including short messages, multimedia messages, caller number identification, call waiting, data transmission, mobile internet, downloadable content, mobile finance, machine-to-machine, and other services; national and international roaming services; wireless internet access; and mobile bundles and call completion services. It also offers value-added services for corporations, operators, and consumers, as well as sells equipment and accessories. The company provides its services under the Beeline, Kyivstar, Jazz, Djezzy, and banglalink brands in Russia, Pakistan, Algeria, Uzbekistan, Ukraine, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Georgia. It serves approximately 220 million customers. The company was formerly known as VimpelCom Ltd. and changed its name to VEON Ltd. in March 2017. VEON Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyVEON generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, which include mobile voice and data plans, fixed broadband services, and various value-added services. The company's key revenue streams consist of mobile service subscriptions, data usage fees, and sales of devices. Additionally, VEON has developed a digital ecosystem that includes applications and platforms for messaging, e-commerce, and financial services, which contribute to its earnings. Significant partnerships with local and international companies enhance its service offerings and customer engagement, further driving revenue growth.

VEON Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant growth in revenues and digital services, successful strategic partnerships, and a completed share buyback program. However, it also notes potential noncash charges and challenges in some markets. The overall sentiment is positive due to the strong financial performance and strategic achievements outweighing the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
VEON's revenues increased by 5.9% year-on-year in U.S. dollars and EBITDA grew by 13.2% in U.S. dollar terms. In local currency terms, revenues grew by 11.2% and EBITDA by 19.6%.
Digital Revenue Surge
Direct digital revenues grew by 57% year-on-year in dollar terms, now contributing 16.5% of total group revenues. Financial services account for 57% of total digital revenue.
Strategic Partnerships and Expansions
Closed strategic infrastructure pooling partnership with Engro in Pakistan and made progress on direct-to-cell satellite communications in Ukraine in partnership with Starlink.
Successful Share Buyback
Completed the third and final phase of a $100 million share buyback program, acquiring close to 3% of shares.
Uklon Acquisition
Uklon contributed $21.7 million in revenue and $9.3 million in EBITDA for the quarter, marking a strategic milestone in digital expansion.
Negative Updates
Noncash Charge Expectations
Expected noncash charge of $150 million to $200 million in the third quarter due to transactions such as the Kyivstar listing and Kyrgyzstan operations sale.
Inflationary Pressures
Slight uptick in weighted average inflation to 8.7%, which is being closely monitored.
Challenges in Bangladesh
Revenue growth in Bangladesh was not double-digit, although there are signs of gradual recovery in consumer sentiment.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, VEON reported strong financial and operational performance. The company's revenues increased by 5.9% year-on-year in U.S. dollars and 11.2% in local currency, with EBITDA growing by 13.2% in U.S. dollars and 19.6% in local currency. VEON revised its 2025 outlook, projecting local currency revenue growth between 13% to 15% and EBITDA growth between 14% to 16%. The digital services segment demonstrated exceptional momentum, with direct digital revenues rising 57% year-on-year in U.S. dollars, and now accounting for 16.5% of total group revenues. VEON completed the acquisition of Uklon, contributing $21.7 million in revenue for the quarter, and made headway with its asset-light strategy, including a strategic infrastructure pooling partnership in Pakistan. Additionally, VEON completed the final phase of a $100 million share buyback program and enhanced financial flexibility with a $200 million bond issuance. The company also anticipates noncash charges related to upcoming transactions, such as the Kyivstar NASDAQ listing and the sale of Kyrgyzstan operations, but expects these to have a positive net equity impact.

VEON Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VEON's financial performance shows a recovery trajectory with improving profitability and revenue growth. However, high leverage and fluctuating net income present concerns. While cash flow stability is evident, strategic management of debt and continued revenue growth are crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
VEON's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin with an improvement in net income compared to the previous year, moving from negative to positive. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is commendable, reflecting a recovery trend. However, volatility in net income over the years and negative results in previous periods indicate potential risks.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed well. Positive stockholders' equity indicates stability, but the equity ratio remains low, highlighting dependency on borrowed capital. The return on equity shows improvement with positive net income in 2024, yet past negative results impact the overall assessment.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows variability, with a notable decrease in operating cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The free cash flow is positive but grew at a slower pace, indicating less reinvestment capability. The free cash flow to net income ratio reflects a strong cash generation relative to net income, but overall cash flow trends suggest cautious optimism.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.15B4.00B3.70B3.75B3.85B7.98B
Gross Profit3.38B3.49B3.26B3.28B3.37B6.09B
EBITDA2.29B1.93B1.82B2.16B1.85B2.33B
Net Income996.00M415.00M-2.53B-162.00M674.00M-349.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.46B8.04B8.22B15.10B15.92B14.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.28B2.05B2.33B3.23B2.34B1.76B
Total Debt0.004.69B5.16B8.18B10.65B10.06B
Total Liabilities6.97B6.78B7.15B14.32B14.42B13.54B
Stockholders Equity1.31B1.10B858.00M569.00M586.00M163.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow612.35M243.00M1.58B1.55B843.00M665.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.27B1.15B2.11B2.56B2.64B2.44B
Investing Cash Flow-559.53M-778.00M-2.24B-1.66B-1.18B-1.91B
Financing Cash Flow-321.99M-551.00M-1.15B116.00M-744.00M-103.00M

VEON Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.08
Price Trends
50DMA
54.87
Positive
100DMA
51.12
Positive
200DMA
46.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
51.16
Neutral
STOCH
55.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VEON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.32, above the 50-day MA of 54.87, and above the 200-day MA of 46.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VEON.

VEON Risk Analysis

VEON disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VEON reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VEON Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
5.12B11.9311.17%5.37%19.25%5.69%
70
Outperform
$3.81B3.8789.94%8.66%
70
Neutral
4.23B7.5525.78%8.52%0.35%19.08%
55
Neutral
4.10B-39.77-0.82%0.42%-5.62%80.09%
54
Neutral
3.04B-204.8618.66%3.02%3.89%-107.44%
53
Neutral
4.18B-158.49-0.54%47.58%-3.65%-134.04%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VEON
VEON
55.08
25.27
84.77%
PHI
PLDT
19.51
-6.16
-24.00%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
6.74
-1.55
-18.70%
TKC
Turkcell Iletisim
6.03
-0.75
-11.06%
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure
48.34
9.92
25.82%
TDS
Telephone & Data Systems
37.98
15.21
66.80%

VEON Corporate Events

VEON and Kyivstar Host Investor Meeting to Discuss Strategic Updates
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, VEON Ltd. and Kyivstar Group Ltd. announced an investor meeting to provide updates on Kyivstar’s strategic initiatives, financial performance, and market outlook. The meeting, held virtually, featured presentations from senior management on key developments from the second quarter of 2025 and included a Q&A session with investors. This event underscores Kyivstar’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, as well as its ongoing investment in Ukraine’s digital infrastructure.

VEON Releases Interim Financial Report Amid Geopolitical and Economic Challenges
Aug 22, 2025

On August 22, 2025, VEON Ltd. released its unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the six-month period ending June 30, 2025. The report highlights the company’s ongoing challenges due to the war in Ukraine, geopolitical tensions, and economic conditions such as inflation and rising interest rates. VEON is focused on generating sufficient cash flow, developing new revenue streams, and optimizing its capital structure to navigate these challenges. The company is also addressing potential cybersecurity threats and environmental factors that could impact its operations.

VEON’s Kyivstar Group Completes Nasdaq Listing via Cohen Circle Merger
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced the completion of a business combination between its subsidiary, Kyivstar Group Ltd., and Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I. This merger will result in Kyivstar Group becoming a U.S.-listed company on Nasdaq, trading under the ticker symbols ‘KYIV’ and ‘KYIVW’. This marks Kyivstar as the first pure-play Ukrainian investment opportunity in the U.S. stock markets. VEON holds an 89.6% stake in Kyivstar, which serves nearly 23 million mobile customers and offers a range of digital services in Ukraine. The move is seen as a significant step in making Ukraine’s success story visible to U.S. investors and highlights VEON’s commitment to investing in Ukraine’s technological and infrastructure development.

VEON’s Strategic Business Combination with Cohen Circle Nears Completion
Aug 11, 2025

VEON Ltd., a telecommunications company, is involved in a significant business combination with Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I, announced on March 18, 2025. This transaction involves VEON Holdings B.V., PubCo, and Varna Merger Sub Corp., collectively known as the Kyivstar Group. On August 11, 2025, Cohen Circle revealed that 25.4% of its Class A ordinary shares were redeemed by shareholders ahead of an extraordinary general meeting on August 12, 2025. The business combination, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, is expected to close around August 14, 2025, with approximately $178 million remaining in Cohen Circle’s Trust Account. This move is anticipated to position PubCo as a notable U.S.-listed Ukrainian investment opportunity, impacting VEON’s operations and market presence.

VEON Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Digital Revenue Surge
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a 5.9% increase in USD revenues and a 13.2% rise in USD EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company achieved significant growth in direct digital revenues, which surged by 56.6% year-over-year, reflecting its strategic focus on digital transformation. VEON’s acquisition of Uklon in April 2025 contributed to this growth, adding $21.7 million to direct digital revenues. The company also completed its share buyback program on August 1, 2025, repurchasing 2.14 million ADSs. VEON has revised its 2025 outlook, expecting local currency revenue growth of 13% to 15% and EBITDA growth of 14% to 16%.

VEON Secures Investor Commitments for Kyivstar’s Nasdaq Listing
Jul 11, 2025

On July 10, 2025, VEON Ltd. and Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I announced securing approximately USD 52.3 million in non-redemption agreements with institutional investors for the proposed business combination of Kyivstar Group Ltd and Cohen Circle. This move secures the minimum cash condition for the business combination, expected to close in the third quarter of 2025, subject to shareholder approval. Upon completion, Kyivstar Group will be listed on Nasdaq, marking it as the first pure-play Ukrainian company on a U.S. stock exchange. This development highlights the strong investor confidence in Kyivstar Group’s potential and underscores VEON’s strategic focus on expanding its market presence in Ukraine.

VEON Secures USD 200 Million in Private Bond Placement
Jul 3, 2025

On July 2, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced the successful pricing of a USD 200 million private placement of senior unsecured notes due in 2029, with an annual interest rate of 9.000%. This move marks a significant milestone in VEON’s capital markets strategy, reinforcing its access to global capital markets and reflecting investor confidence in the company’s financial outlook. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes and to optimize VEON’s capital structure, with settlement expected on July 15, 2025.

VEON Ltd. Reports Increased Revenues and Profits for Q1 2025
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, VEON Ltd. released its unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the three-month period ending March 31, 2025. The company reported an increase in total operating revenues to $1,026 million, up from $942 million in the same period the previous year. Profit for the period rose to $118 million, compared to $78 million in 2024. This financial performance reflects VEON’s continued growth and operational efficiency, potentially strengthening its position in the telecommunications industry and positively impacting stakeholders.

VEON Appoints Vitaly Shmakov as Acting General Counsel
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced the appointment of Vitaly Shmakov as Acting General Counsel, effective July 1, 2025. Shmakov, who has been with VEON since 2016, brings nearly 20 years of experience in M&A and corporate law, having previously served in various legal roles within the company. This strategic appointment underscores VEON’s commitment to leveraging internal talent for its transformative growth initiatives, including the planned listing of Kyivstar on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

VEON Announces Leadership Change as Omiyinka Doris Steps Down
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, VEON Ltd. announced that Omiyinka Doris will step down from her role as Group General Counsel effective July 1, 2025, but will continue as a strategic advisor. Doris has been instrumental in guiding VEON through significant geopolitical and economic challenges, including the company’s exit from Russia and the planned listing of Kyivstar on Nasdaq. Her leadership in legal and compliance functions has been pivotal to VEON’s transformation and strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025