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TeraGo Inc. (TSE:TGO)
:TGO
Canadian Market

TeraGo Inc. (TGO) AI Stock Analysis

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TeraGo Inc.

(TSX:TGO)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-15.97%Downside)
The overall score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. However, positive corporate events and stable technical indicators provide some support.

TeraGo Inc. (TGO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TeraGo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeraGo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides connectivity, colocation, and cloud services for businesses primarily in Canada. The company owns and operates a carrier-grade multi-protocol label switching enabled wireline and fixed wireless, and Internet protocol communications network that provide Internet access, private interconnection, and data connectivity services. It also offers data connectivity services that allow businesses to connect their various sites within a city or across the company's geographic footprint through a private virtual local area network; and a range of diverse Ethernet-based services over a wireless connection to customer locations. In addition, the company provides data center colocation services that protect and connect its customers' valuable information assets; disaster recovery services; and managed hosting solutions. It provides data center services for national government agencies, financial services companies, IT service providers, content and network service providers, and small and medium businesses. Further, the company offers cloud services, including infrastructure as a service for compute, storage, disaster recovery cloud solutions, and other services to customers in various industry verticals, federal, provincial, and municipal governments and agencies, as well as non-profit organizations. It provides its services through direct and indirect sales channels. TeraGo Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Thornhill, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeraGo Inc. generates revenue through a combination of subscription-based and usage-based models. The company's primary revenue streams include monthly recurring charges for cloud and data center services, such as virtual servers, storage, and managed IT solutions. Additionally, TeraGo earns revenue from providing internet connectivity services, where clients pay for bandwidth usage and network infrastructure services. Revenue is also driven by long-term contracts with enterprise customers who require reliable and scalable IT infrastructure solutions. Strategic partnerships with technology providers enhance TeraGo's service offerings, enabling the company to deliver comprehensive solutions that contribute to its earnings.

TeraGo Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for TeraGo, highlighted by improved financial metrics, a significant new contract, and increased revenue and cash flow. However, challenges remain, particularly regarding the net loss and the need to refinance debt. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic efforts appear to be yielding positive results.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Metrics
Gross margin increased by 1.2%, customer churn reduced by 31%, adjusted EBITDA rose by 2.8%, ARPA grew by 8.1%, and cash flow from operations increased by 56%.
Major Contract Acquisition
Secured a multimillion-dollar agreement with a major Canadian retailer to enhance their applications and network infrastructure using TeraGo's advanced Managed Fixed Wireless Internet and SD-WAN solutions.
Revenue Growth
Total revenues for Q3 2024 were $6.54 million, compared to $6.49 million in Q3 2023, driven by increased sales bookings and lower customer churn.
Increased Cash Generation
Generated $1.1 million in cash from operations in Q3 2024, compared to $0.7 million in the same period in 2023.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 2024 was $3.3 million compared to a net loss of $3.1 million in Q3 2023, influenced by higher interest costs.
Debt Refinancing Challenge
All debt reclassified to short-term due to maturity in September 2025, requiring active management efforts to refinance at potentially lower interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the TeraGo Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided several key performance metrics indicating positive financial and operational trends. The gross margin improved by 1.2%, with a significant 31% reduction in customer churn and a 2.8% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Average Revenue Per Account (ARPA) increased by 8.1% to $1,221 compared to the previous year, while cash flow from operations surged by 56%. Total revenues for the quarter reached $6.54 million, a slight increase from $6.49 million in Q3 2023, largely due to increased sales bookings and decreased churn. Although the net loss widened slightly to $3.3 million from $3.1 million the previous year, the company generated $1.1 million in cash from operations, up from $0.7 million in the same period of 2023. The company also highlighted a multi-million dollar agreement with a major Canadian retailer, expected to boost revenue in the coming year, reflecting a robust sales pipeline and strategic focus on mid-market and large-scale customers.

TeraGo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TeraGo Inc. shows a declining revenue trend and negative net income, indicating a lack of profitability. High leverage and weakened balance sheet stability further challenge its financial health. Cash flow generation remains inconsistent, which poses risks to sustainable growth.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend, with total revenue decreasing from $48.4M in 2019 to $26.2M in 2024. Gross profit margin has also decreased from 80.1% to 73.3% over the same period. The net income remains negative, indicating a lack of profitability. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins are weak, signaling operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning debt-to-equity ratio, which increased from 1.19 in 2019 to 9.01 in 2024, indicating high leverage. Stockholders' equity has significantly declined, reducing financial stability. The equity ratio decreased from 43.5% to 9.1%, suggesting increased financial risk.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow statements indicate fluctuating free cash flow, with a slight positive growth in recent years. However, free cash flow remains low relative to net income, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unstable. The company faces challenges in generating sustainable cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.16M26.05M27.62M43.30M45.45M
Gross Profit
19.18M19.10M20.18M32.16M35.63M
EBIT
-7.15M-9.30M-8.96M-5.15M-3.27M
EBITDA
2.79M876.00K603.00K3.28M11.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.27M-13.19M-14.05M-19.07M-13.04M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.42M4.64M7.38M5.48M5.86M
Total Assets
53.99M53.50M55.38M93.23M103.17M
Total Debt
44.33M31.93M20.50M35.91M56.16M
Net Debt
40.15M27.55M14.28M30.43M50.30M
Total Liabilities
49.07M36.16M25.78M52.97M62.30M
Stockholders Equity
4.92M17.33M29.60M40.26M40.87M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.48M-5.45M-4.96M1.94M5.72M
Operating Cash Flow
5.01M501.00K1.25M9.32M13.33M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.52M-5.02M18.82M-7.75M-7.58M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.90M2.69M-19.34M-1.95M-8.58M

TeraGo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.19
Price Trends
50DMA
1.16
Positive
100DMA
1.18
Positive
200DMA
1.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
50.81
Neutral
STOCH
32.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TGO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 1.16, and below the 200-day MA of 1.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:TGO.

TeraGo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$14.56B5.82-4.02%6.41%2.72%-31.67%
TSTGO
50
Neutral
C$23.84M-170.20%0.38%7.22%
BCBCE
$21.03B83.032.83%12.17%
RCRCI
$15.22B11.6716.65%5.21%
TUTU
$24.59B28.387.51%7.42%
TSCGO
74
Outperform
C$621.96M7.1210.38%5.72%0.06%115.11%
$2.11B8.8510.84%5.33%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TGO
TeraGo Inc.
1.19
-0.76
-38.97%
BCE
BCE
22.80
-7.40
-24.50%
RCI
Rogers Communication
27.65
-8.44
-23.39%
TU
Telus
16.12
1.57
10.79%
TSE:CGO
Cogeco Inc. SV
64.50
18.32
39.67%
CGEAF
Cogeco Communications
49.80
14.02
39.18%

TeraGo Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TERAGO Inc. Re-elects Board Members at 2025 Shareholder Meeting
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

TERAGO Inc. announced the re-election of all six nominees to its board of directors during the 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. This re-election ensures continuity in leadership as the company continues to leverage its extensive mmWave spectrum holdings to provide innovative wireless solutions, reinforcing its position in the Canadian market.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
TERAGO Partners with Ericsson to Advance Private 5G Solutions in Canada
Positive
May 27, 2025

TERAGO Inc. has announced a strategic partnership with Ericsson to deliver advanced private 5G solutions across Canada. This collaboration aims to enhance operational efficiency and innovation for businesses by providing high-speed, low-latency connectivity, particularly benefiting sectors such as manufacturing, transportation, and logistics. As a member of Ericsson’s 5-star partner program, TERAGO is set to become a preferred provider of secure wireless network infrastructure, positioning itself to capitalize on the growing demand for seamless and secure connectivity in the digital age.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TeraGo Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results with Focus on Profitability and Efficiency
Positive
May 13, 2025

TeraGo Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a disciplined focus on profitability and efficiency. Despite a slight decrease in total revenue due to increased churn from discontinuing unprofitable accounts, the company saw a 10.9% increase in Adjusted EBITDA, driven by higher gross margins and lower operating expenses. The company also noted a significant increase in backlog MRR and ARPA, reflecting its strategy to attract larger, multi-location customers. The recent consultation by Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada (ISED) regarding mmWave spectrum is seen as a positive development, providing regulatory clarity and supporting TeraGo’s strategy in the evolving connectivity landscape.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TERAGO to Discuss Q1 2025 Financial Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
May 1, 2025

TERAGO Inc. announced it will host a conference call on May 14, 2025, to discuss its first-quarter financial results for 2025, which will be released the day before. This event provides stakeholders an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
TERAGO Inc. Secures $2M Through Private Placement of Warrants
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

TERAGO Inc. has successfully closed a private placement of 800,000 common share purchase warrants as part of a second amendment to its credit and guaranty agreement with Crowdout Capital LLC and Cymbria Corporation. The proceeds from this transaction, amounting to USD$2,000,000, will be used for capital expenditures and general corporate purposes. This move, involving a related party transaction, underscores TERAGO’s strategic financial maneuvers to bolster its operational capabilities and maintain its competitive edge in the managed network services industry.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
TERAGO Expands Credit Facility and Strengthens Market Position
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

TERAGO Inc. has amended its Credit and Guaranty Agreement with CrowdOut Capital and Cymbria Corporation, increasing its secured debt facility from $19 million to $21 million, funded by Cymbria. This amendment, alongside the issuance of 800,000 common share purchase warrants to Cymbria, reflects confidence in TERAGO’s strategic position in the 5G and Fixed Wireless Access markets, potentially enhancing its market opportunities and innovation capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TERAGO Inc. Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results Amid Strategic Growth
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

TERAGO Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a successful smart growth strategy and operational improvements. The company achieved a 16.9% increase in Adjusted EBITDA and a 5.2% growth in ARPA for the year, alongside a significant rise in cash flows from operations. Despite a net loss for the year, TERAGO improved profitability through lower operational expenses and better margins on new customer deals. The company anticipates continued momentum in MRR bookings, contributing to long-term value creation for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.