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Rogers Communication (TSE:RCI.B)
TSX:RCI.B
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Rogers Communication (RCI.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RCI.B

Rogers Communication

(TSX:RCI.B)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$54.00
â–²(8.65% Upside)
Rogers Communication's overall score reflects strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly in 5G and media expansion. The company's successful deleveraging and attractive dividend yield are positive factors. However, high leverage and regulatory risks, along with challenges in subscriber growth, temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Media Segment Growth
The significant growth in media revenue highlights Rogers' ability to capitalize on popular sports events, strengthening its media segment and diversifying its revenue base.
Debt Reduction
Achieving debt reduction targets ahead of schedule improves Rogers' financial stability and flexibility, positioning it better for future investments and growth.
5G Network Expansion
The expansion of 5G technology enhances Rogers' competitive position in the telecommunications industry, offering faster and more reliable services to customers.
Negative Factors
Subscriber Growth Slowdown
A slowdown in subscriber growth indicates potential challenges in market expansion and customer acquisition, which could impact long-term revenue growth.
ARPU Decline
A decline in ARPU suggests pricing pressure and competitive challenges, potentially affecting profitability and revenue per user in the long term.
CRTC Decision Impact
Regulatory decisions affecting capital programs may hinder Rogers' ability to expand and upgrade its network, impacting future growth and operational efficiency.

Rogers Communication (RCI.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rogers Communication Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications and media company in Canada. It operates through three segments: Wireless, Cable, and Media. The company offers mobile Internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device and accessory financing, wireless home phone, device protection, e-mail, global voice and data roaming, bridging landline, machine-to-machine and Internet of Things solutions, and advanced wireless solutions for businesses, as well as device delivery services; and postpaid and prepaid services under the Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands to approximately 11.3 million subscribers. It also provides Internet and WiFi services; smart home monitoring services, such as monitoring, security, automation, energy efficiency, and smart control through a smartphone app. In addition, the company offers local and network TV; on-demand television; cloud-based digital video recorders; voice-activated remote controls, and integrated apps; personal video recorders; linear and time-shifted programming; digital specialty channels; 4K television programming; and televised content on smartphones, tablets, and personal computers, as well as operates Ignite TV and Ignite TV app. Further, it provides residential and small business local telephony services; calling features, such as voicemail, call waiting, and long distance; voice, data networking, Internet protocol, and Ethernet services; private networking, Internet, IP voice, and cloud solutions; optical wave and multi-protocol label switching services; IT and network technologies; and cable access network services. The company also owns Toronto Blue Jays and the Rogers Centre event venue; and operates Sportsnet ONE, Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet World, Citytv, OMNI, FX (Canada), FXX (Canada), and OLN television networks, as well as 55 AM and FM radio stations. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers Communications generates revenue primarily through its wireless segment, which includes the sale of mobile voice and data services to consumers and businesses. This segment is complemented by its cable services, which provide internet, television, and home phone services. Additional revenue streams come from the media sector, which includes advertising revenue from its television and radio stations, as well as subscription fees from various digital platforms. Significant partnerships, such as those with content providers, enhance its media offerings and contribute to earnings. The company also benefits from infrastructure investments, leading to improved service quality and customer retention, further boosting revenue.

Rogers Communication Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Rogers demonstrated strong financial and operational performance with notable growth in its core segments and successful deleveraging. However, challenges such as subscriber growth slowdown and regulatory risks pose concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Rogers reported positive revenue and EBITDA growth in its Wireless, Cable, and Media businesses, with consolidated service revenue and adjusted EBITDA each increasing by 2%.
Cable Revenue Recovery
Cable service revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew by 1% and 3%, respectively, marking a successful return to growth in this segment.
Significant Debt Reduction
Rogers reduced its leverage to 3.6x, achieving its delevering target 9 months ahead of schedule, significantly improving its balance sheet.
Launch of Satellite-to-Mobile Texting
Rogers launched satellite-to-mobile texting, becoming the first Canadian wireless provider to offer this service, expanding coverage significantly.
MLSE Acquisition
Rogers became the majority owner of Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment with a 75% controlling interest, adding significant value to its Media segment.
Negative Updates
Decline in Wireless Subscriber Additions
Wireless subscriber net additions fell from 162,000 last year to 61,000 this quarter, reflecting a decrease in market size due to reduced immigration.
ARPU Decrease
Blended mobile phone ARPU declined by 3% due to competitive intensity and lower outbound roaming revenue.
CRTC Decision Impact
The CRTC's decision could negatively impact Rogers' capital programs and network construction jobs, with billions in investment at risk.
Media Costs Increase
Media operating costs rose by 9% due to higher programming costs and increased expenses related to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Company Guidance
During the Rogers Communications Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported notable financial and strategic achievements. Total service revenue and adjusted EBITDA both grew by 2%, with the Wireless segment seeing a 1% increase in both service revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The Cable segment also showed growth, with a 1% rise in service revenue and a 3% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Media revenue surged by 10%, driven by higher viewership during the NHL playoffs and the Toronto Blue Jays' strong performance. The company completed a $7 billion equity investment to reduce its debt, achieving a 3.6x leverage ratio nine months ahead of schedule. Rogers also highlighted the launch of satellite-to-mobile texting, enhancing its wireless coverage significantly, and the rollout of 5G advanced network technology. Additionally, they discussed the inclusion of Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment (MLSE) financial results, estimating the Media segment's revenue at $3.9 billion and EBITDA at $0.3 billion for 2025. Looking forward, Rogers updated its 2025 guidance, anticipating a 3% to 5% growth in total service revenue and maintaining an adjusted EBITDA growth of 0% to 3%.

Rogers Communication Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rogers Communication demonstrates strong revenue growth and solid operational margins. However, high leverage poses a financial risk, and there is room for improvement in cash flow conversion. The company is well-positioned in the telecommunications industry but should focus on reducing debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Rogers Communication shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase in revenue over the TTM period. The gross profit margin remains stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased slightly, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity is reasonable, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Rogers Communication demonstrates positive free cash flow growth, which is a strong indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash generation relative to reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for improvement in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.80B20.60B19.31B15.40B14.65B13.92B
Gross Profit9.69B9.62B8.58B6.39B5.89B5.77B
EBITDA9.29B9.21B8.22B6.12B5.63B5.54B
Net Income1.52B1.73B849.00M1.68B1.56B1.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.19B71.41B69.28B55.66B41.96B38.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96B898.00M800.00M13.30B715.00M2.48B
Total Debt45.41B47.63B45.20B36.75B22.84B21.26B
Total Liabilities59.32B61.01B58.84B45.56B31.43B29.28B
Stockholders Equity11.22B10.40B10.44B10.09B10.53B9.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B1.59B1.29B1.42B1.37B2.01B
Operating Cash Flow5.82B5.63B5.22B4.49B4.16B4.32B
Investing Cash Flow-3.86B-4.46B-20.20B-3.26B-6.13B-2.56B
Financing Cash Flow4.55B-1.08B2.48B11.36B203.00M227.00M

Rogers Communication Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.70
Price Trends
50DMA
47.74
Positive
100DMA
42.90
Positive
200DMA
40.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
61.61
Neutral
STOCH
50.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCI.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.01, above the 50-day MA of 47.74, and above the 200-day MA of 40.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RCI.B.

Rogers Communication Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
9.74B12.8232.64%3.20%-1.02%4.71%
71
Outperform
$26.94B17.2613.68%4.02%1.87%71.51%
71
Outperform
9.74B12.7032.64%3.21%-1.02%4.71%
68
Neutral
33.51B33.976.35%7.50%2.56%21.28%
67
Neutral
2.74B8.2610.46%5.70%-0.76%-1.21%
59
Neutral
30.04B70.443.33%8.91%-0.66%-78.79%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
49.70
-2.22
-4.27%
BCE
BCE
23.10
-8.88
-27.77%
TU
Telus
15.68
0.08
0.51%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
41.60
7.41
21.67%
CGEAF
Cogeco Communications
46.46
-3.50
-7.01%
QBCRF
Quebecor
30.84
5.70
22.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025