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Tokio Marine Holdings
(OTC:TKOMY)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
â–²(7.48% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/22/26
The score is led by strong financial performance (improving profitability, conservative leverage, and strong ROE), partially offset by cash flow volatility and some near-term revenue/gross margin pressure. Technical indicators are the largest drag due to bearish momentum (below key moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation is supportive but only moderately so (P/E ~18, dividend yield ~3%).
Positive Factors
Improved profitability
Material margin expansion from earlier years indicates stronger earnings power and improved operating performance. Sustained profitability can provide greater capacity to absorb claims volatility, invest in growth, and support shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue contraction
The latest revenue decline interrupts the prior growth trend and may indicate weaker premium expansion, business mix pressure, or foreign-exchange effects. Persistent contraction could limit operating leverage and make future profit growth more dependent on investment income.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved profitability
Material margin expansion from earlier years indicates stronger earnings power and improved operating performance. Sustained profitability can provide greater capacity to absorb claims volatility, invest in growth, and support shareholder returns.
Read all positive factors
Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$86.95B
Dividend Yield2.97%
Average Volume (3M)32.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)18.1
Beta (1Y)0.38
Revenue Growth-3.48%
EPS Growth-42.36%
CountryUS
Employees67,526
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInsurance - Property & Casualty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)518.13
Shares Outstanding1,934,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume40,992
30 Day Avg. Volume32,232
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio17.30
Price to Book (P/B)2.61
Price to Sales (P/S)1.79
P/FCF Ratio24.88
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)3.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)$51.49B
Tokio Marine Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. operates as a global conglomerate, offering a wide array of services including property and casualty insurance, life insurance, financial solutions, and various general business activities. The company structures its ex...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokio Marine Holdings makes money primarily through its insurance operations. Key revenue and earnings drivers include: (1) Underwriting income: The group sells insurance policies and collects premiums. It aims to price risk so that earned premium...
Tokio Marine Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in fiscal 2024 with significant growth in adjusted net income and shareholder returns. However, challenges including decreased life insurance premiums, inflation impacts, and CRE loan issues were noted. The overall outlook for fiscal 2025 remains positive with projected income growth and continued equity sales.Positive Updates
Strong Fiscal 2024 Performance
Adjusted net income excluding one-off effects was JPY679.0 billion, showing a 14% year-over-year growth driven by major international businesses and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Life Insurance Premiums
Life insurance premiums decreased by 44% from the February announcement due to block reinsurance by Anshin Life in March.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Fiscal 2024 Performance
Adjusted net income excluding one-off effects was JPY679.0 billion, showing a 14% year-over-year growth driven by major international businesses and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Tokio Marine's FY 2024 results and FY 2025 forecast, several key financial metrics and guidance points were discussed. The FY 2024 adjusted net income, excluding one-off effects, reached JPY679 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, bolstered by the strong performance of international businesses and currency exchange rate impacts. The sales of business-related equities amounted to JPY922 billion, surpassing the initial forecast by JPY10 billion, contributing to an overall adjusted net income, including these gains, of JPY1.215 trillion. For FY 2025, the company projects JPY700 billion in adjusted net income, excluding equity sales gains, indicating a 3% growth over the previous year. The projected dividend per share (DPS) for FY 2024 was revised to JPY172, representing a 40% increase, and is expected to grow by 22% to JPY210 in FY 2025. The company also plans to repurchase JPY220 billion of its own shares in FY 2025. The projected sales of business-related equities for FY 2025 remain at JPY600 billion, consistent with the previous year, and the adjusted net income, including these sales, is expected to reach JPY1.1 trillion. The management emphasized the importance of consistent profit growth and shareholder returns, alongside disciplined capital management and strategic investment opportunities.Tokio Marine Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 7.96T | 7.58T | 7.08T | 6.31T | 5.75T |
| Gross Profit | 3.88T | 6.57T | 6.13T | 5.46T | 5.00T |
| EBITDA | 1.71T | 1.71T | 1.06T | 726.82B | 724.58B |
| Net Income | 1.04T | 1.06T | 695.81B | 374.61B | 420.48B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 32.10T | 31.24T | 30.59T | 27.70T | 27.25T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.04T | 1.07T | 896.90B | 871.99B | 848.82B |
| Total Debt | 227.98B | 227.25B | 224.40B | 222.81B | 219.79B |
| Total Liabilities | 26.62T | 26.13T | 25.41T | 24.04T | 23.17T |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.44T | 5.08T | 5.18T | 3.63T | 4.02T |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 571.82B | 1.32T | 1.05T | 982.71B | 1.07T |
| Operating Cash Flow | 619.49B | 1.35T | 1.07T | 1.01T | 1.10T |
| Investing Cash Flow | 694.01B | 164.62B | -627.65B | 18.19B | -665.44B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -677.60B | -1.19T | -406.20B | -1.01T | -504.63B |
Tokio Marine Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
46.52
Price Trends
47.29
Positive
46.39
Positive
42.46
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.46
Positive
51.84
Neutral
47.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKOMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.13, below the 50-day MA of 47.29, and above the 200-day MA of 42.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKOMY.
Tokio Marine Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
87 Outperform | $130.18B | 11.12 | 35.40% | 2.20% | 10.49% | 12.26% | |
86 Outperform | $65.79B | 5.13 | 43.13% | 1.60% | 5.92% | 134.66% | |
86 Outperform | $25.87B | 14.25 | 19.55% | 2.44% | 4.27% | 10.55% | |
85 Outperform | $77.29B | 9.77 | 25.62% | 1.17% | 2.39% | 65.13% | |
82 Outperform | $133.42B | 12.15 | 15.22% | 1.09% | 8.24% | 24.30% | |
68 Neutral | $86.95B | 18.07 | 12.98% | 2.79% | -3.48% | -42.36% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
TKOMY
Tokio Marine Holdings
47.86
4.68
10.83%
CB
Chubb
343.77
74.16
27.51%
ALL
Allstate
261.81
62.02
31.04%
PGR
Progressive
222.51
-7.25
-3.16%
TRV
Travelers Companies
371.15
103.20
38.52%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
68.67
-1.07
-1.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.