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Chubb (CB)
NYSE:CB
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Chubb (CB) AI Stock Analysis

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CB

Chubb

(NYSE:CB)

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Outperform 83 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:
$417.00
▲(21.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/21/26
CB scores well primarily on strong financial performance (durable profitability, solid capital position, and robust cash generation) and a very positive earnings call with confident medium-term outlook. Technicals support the trend, but elevated momentum readings suggest the stock may be near-term extended. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E, while dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
Underwriting profitability
Record underwriting income and an 84.1% combined ratio demonstrate strong risk selection, pricing discipline, and claims management. These capabilities support durable earnings quality because insurance profitability depends on consistently keeping losses and expenses below earned premiums across market cycles.
Negative Factors
Commercial pricing pressure
Increasing competition can restrict premium growth and weaken future underwriting margins, especially where pricing fails to keep pace with loss costs. Alternative capital and excess capacity may prolong this pressure, making disciplined risk selection more important but potentially limiting volume.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Underwriting profitability
Record underwriting income and an 84.1% combined ratio demonstrate strong risk selection, pricing discipline, and claims management. These capabilities support durable earnings quality because insurance profitability depends on consistently keeping losses and expenses below earned premiums across market cycles.
Read all positive factors

Chubb Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Premiums
Net Premiums
Net Premiums measure the total revenue Chubb earns from insurance policies after deducting reinsurance costs. This is a key indicator of the company's ability to generate income from its core business operations, reflecting its market position and growth potential in the insurance industry.
Chart InsightsChubb’s written and earned premiums have accelerated since 2022 with consistent Q3 peaks; written growth led earlier, but earned premiums have caught up in 2024–26, meaning the larger book is now converting into revenue. That reflects durable pricing and volume momentum supporting near‑term top‑line strength, though investors should monitor catastrophe volatility and reserve development that can offset underwriting profitability despite rising premiums.
Data provided by:The Fly

Chubb (CB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chubb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chubb Limited, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, is a global insurer and reinsurer, offering a broad spectrum of products across various markets. In North America, its Commercial Property & Casualty (P&C) division caters to businesses of all s...
How the Company Makes Money
Chubb primarily makes money through its insurance and reinsurance operations by (1) collecting premiums in exchange for providing coverage and (2) investing the premium “float” (funds held between the time premiums are received and claims are paid...

Chubb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive overall. Chubb reported record year-to-date underwriting income, substantial earnings and tangible book value growth, strong underwriting margins, record investment income, broad international growth, robust cash flow, and significant shareholder returns. Management also expressed confidence in future North America Commercial growth, Asia, data center insurance, operating efficiencies, and long-term double-digit tangible book value growth. Offsetting issues included softer North America Commercial premiums, increasingly competitive pricing, CAT losses, fixed-income mark losses, modest adverse development, project delays, and emerging AI liability risks, but these challenges were outweighed by the breadth and strength of the reported results.
Positive Updates
Record Nine-Month Earnings and EPS Growth
Core operating income for the first nine months was $8.6 billion, up 21% from the prior year, while core operating EPS was $21.94, up 24.5%.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Core Operating Earnings Decline
Third-quarter core operating earnings declined about 2% because the prior-year quarter benefited from exceptionally light CAT losses, although core operating EPS increased about 1%.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Nine-Month Earnings and EPS Growth
Core operating income for the first nine months was $8.6 billion, up 21% from the prior year, while core operating EPS was $21.94, up 24.5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management expects North America Commercial growth to “improve materially in future quarters” and, “CATs and FX aside,” is confident over “the medium term” in continuing to generate “strong growth in operating earnings and EPS” and, “most important, double-digit growth in tangible book value”; the full-year core operating effective tax rate is expected to be “in the range of 19.5%-20%,” fixed income-related net investment income is expected to “continue to grow,” and capital returned to shareholders has been “in the range of 50%,” which management said “is not a rule” but “an outcome.”

Chubb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by high profitability (net margin ~18%, EBIT margin ~19%), meaningful multi-year revenue and earnings growth, and conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.24) with solid ROE (~15%). Cash generation is strong and tracks earnings well, though the provided dataset shows some year-to-year cash flow metric volatility and an uneven top-line growth path to monitor.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
79
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.08B59.78B56.15B50.13B42.98B40.77B
Gross Profit24.58B17.61B16.17B13.84B10.83B11.33B
EBITDA12.19B14.11B12.52B10.51B7.34B10.57B
Net Income11.21B10.31B9.27B9.03B5.25B8.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets281.32B272.33B246.55B230.68B199.02B200.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.21B42.59B39.19B33.79B25.79B97.91B
Total Debt18.11B17.65B15.60B14.49B14.88B16.17B
Total Liabilities200.48B192.55B178.15B166.99B148.50B140.34B
Stockholders Equity75.37B73.76B64.02B59.51B50.52B59.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.08B14.54B16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B
Operating Cash Flow16.08B14.54B16.18B12.63B11.26B11.15B
Investing Cash Flow-13.51B-12.98B-13.92B-7.65B-5.65B-6.66B
Financing Cash Flow-2.18B-1.85B-2.18B-4.49B-5.14B-4.41B

Chubb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price343.11
Price Trends
50DMA
341.30
Positive
100DMA
341.49
Positive
200DMA
331.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.61
Negative
RSI
58.86
Neutral
STOCH
72.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 343.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 343.86, above the 50-day MA of 341.30, and above the 200-day MA of 331.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CB.

Chubb Risk Analysis

Chubb disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chubb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Chubb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
87
Outperform
$132.53B11.4635.44%6.09%7.67%8.87%
86
Outperform
$64.02B4.9943.13%1.67%5.92%134.66%
83
Outperform
$137.00B12.3315.06%1.12%5.77%―
80
Outperform
$27.22B15.4425.14%2.56%1.45%-0.85%
78
Outperform
$81.63B10.2826.24%1.18%1.07%50.02%
73
Outperform
$23.17B10.2412.39%―0.86%8.75%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CB
Chubb
355.11
76.86
27.62%
ALL
Allstate
253.19
63.66
33.59%
MKL
Markel
1,870.09
-13.23
-0.70%
PGR
Progressive
228.07
24.71
12.15%
TRV
Travelers Companies
398.28
132.01
49.58%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
73.33
0.11
0.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026