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S&P Global (SPGI)
NYSE:SPGI

S&P Global (SPGI) AI Stock Analysis

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S&P Global

(NYSE:SPGI)

76Outperform
S&P Global's overall stock score of 76 reflects its strong financial health and positive earnings guidance, emphasizing growth in revenue and profitability. Technical analysis indicates caution due to mixed signals, while the valuation shows high market expectations. The earnings call was generally positive, highlighting strategic growth areas but also acknowledging market challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
First-quarter revenue exceeded expectations, with significant beats in adjusted operating margin and adjusted EPS.
Growth Strategy
SPGI created roles to expand data and sell the entire firm at the C-suite level, expected to accelerate growth.
Strategic Moves
S&P announced its intent to separate its Mobility segment into a standalone public company, aiming for increased simplification and management focus.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Full-year guidance was lowered at the midpoint across revenue growth, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted EPS.
Guidance
Full-year guidance was modestly lowered due to weaker issuance expectations in ratings and lower AUM in indices.
Macroeconomic Environment
Heightened macroeconomic uncertainty has led to depressed issuance volumes, particularly for high yield.

S&P Global (SPGI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

S&P Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionS&P Global (SPGI) is a leading provider of credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and data to the global capital and commodity markets. The company operates through several key segments, including S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Dow Jones Indices, and S&P Global Platts. These divisions offer a wide range of products and services such as credit ratings, research, investment and index data, and commodity and energy market information, serving financial institutions, corporations, governments, and individuals worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyS&P Global generates revenue through a diversified business model encompassing several key streams. The S&P Global Ratings segment earns fees from providing credit ratings and related research, which are essential for investors and issuers in evaluating credit risk. S&P Global Market Intelligence generates income by offering subscription-based financial data, research, and analytical tools to help clients make informed investment and business decisions. The S&P Dow Jones Indices segment profits from licensing fees for its indices, which are used as benchmarks for investment products like ETFs. Lastly, S&P Global Platts earns revenue by providing market data and price assessments for commodities and energy markets, with clients ranging from traders to governments. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its product offerings and market reach.

S&P Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Indicates the proportion of revenue that is predictable and stable, showcasing the company's ability to generate consistent income and its resilience to market fluctuations.
Chart InsightsS&P Global's recurring revenue remains robust, particularly in Global Market Intelligence, maintaining a high percentage of total revenue. The earnings call highlights strong subscription growth and strategic initiatives like the mobility division spin-off, which could further stabilize recurring revenue streams. However, potential risks from bond issuance volatility and market conditions could impact future growth. The company's focus on innovations and energy transition products suggests a strategic pivot towards more sustainable and resilient revenue sources.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

S&P Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
S&P Global shows impressive financial health with strong revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective balance sheet management. The company efficiently generates and utilizes cash, maintaining steady growth and stability. These factors contribute to the company's resilience and potential for continued success in the financial industry.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
S&P Global has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 29.9% increase from 2021 to 2025 TTM. The gross profit margin is robust at 75.4% for TTM, and the net profit margin is healthy at 27.3%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 40.4% and 46.0% respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, suggesting manageable leverage levels. The equity ratio stands at 55.9%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is commendable at 11.8%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
87
Very Positive
S&P Global exhibits robust cash flow management, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.44, indicating strong cash generation relative to reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 1.40. Free cash flow growth has been steady, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management and consistent cash reserves for growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.21B12.50B11.18B8.30B7.44B
Gross Profit
9.82B8.36B7.42B6.10B5.35B
EBIT
5.58B4.02B3.12B4.22B3.62B
EBITDA
6.78B5.14B4.95B4.71B4.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.85B2.63B3.25B3.02B2.34B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.69B1.32B1.29B6.50B4.12B
Total Assets
60.22B60.59B61.78B15.03B12.54B
Total Debt
11.93B12.00B11.53B4.61B4.65B
Net Debt
10.27B10.71B10.25B-1.90B532.00M
Total Liabilities
22.71B22.49B22.04B9.49B9.19B
Stockholders Equity
33.16B34.20B36.48B2.11B571.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.57B3.57B2.51B3.56B3.49B
Operating Cash Flow
5.69B3.71B2.60B3.60B3.57B
Investing Cash Flow
-255.00M562.00M3.63B-120.00M-240.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.00B-4.28B-11.33B-1.01B-2.17B

S&P Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price506.62
Price Trends
50DMA
492.66
Positive
100DMA
500.99
Positive
200DMA
501.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.06
Negative
RSI
60.87
Neutral
STOCH
92.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 506.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 471.05, above the 50-day MA of 492.66, and above the 200-day MA of 501.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SPGI.

S&P Global Risk Analysis

S&P Global disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. S&P Global reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

S&P Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCME
79
Outperform
$101.06B28.2013.40%3.74%11.72%13.31%
ICICE
79
Outperform
$98.00B35.7310.27%1.05%15.32%14.02%
77
Outperform
$44.88B35.4511.43%1.23%25.89%16.37%
76
Outperform
$155.38B39.7811.68%0.73%12.98%42.72%
MCMCO
75
Outperform
$78.73B38.8557.90%0.77%15.95%26.38%
70
Outperform
$43.00B38.22-117.99%1.19%11.67%-0.89%
64
Neutral
$12.65B9.748.04%17044.64%12.65%-5.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPGI
S&P Global
506.62
84.03
19.88%
CME
CME Group
280.45
81.65
41.07%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
173.45
43.71
33.69%
MCO
Moody's
464.75
79.97
20.78%
MSCI
MSCI
555.82
85.96
18.29%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
78.18
17.42
28.67%

S&P Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and margin growth, successful innovations, and strategic moves like the mobility division spin-off. However, challenges such as bond issuance volatility, M&A environment uncertainties, and market conditions pose potential risks. Overall, the positives slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 8% year over year, with subscription products growing 7%.
Margin Expansion
Year-over-year margin expansion of 240 basis points on a trailing twelve-month basis and 100 basis points in the first quarter.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Returned over $900 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases in the first quarter.
Engagement Growth
Active users across platforms increased on average 23% year over year.
Innovations and New Products
Introduced AI-powered iLevel automated data ingest and new benchmarks in fixed income and commodities.
Mobility Division Spin-off
Announced intent to separate mobility division into a standalone public company to maximize shareholder value.
Sustainability and Energy Transition
Revenue grew 20% to $93 million, driven by strong demand for energy transition products.
Private Markets Growth
Revenue increased 21% year over year to $140 million, driven by debt and bank loan ratings.
Negative Updates
Bond Issuance Volatility
Bond issuance increased 9% in Q1 but is expected to moderate and be flat year over year due to market volatility.
Challenges in M&A Environment
Slowing pace of decision-making and less confidence in M&A recovery timing and magnitude.
Potential Impact of Market Conditions
Market volatility, trade conflicts, and regulatory fluidity pose challenges to planning.
Equity Market Decline Impact
Revenue growth in indices expected to moderate due to declines in market valuations.
Issuance Decline Expectations
Second-quarter issuance expected to decline double digits year over year.
Upstream Business Consolidation Impact
Consolidation in the energy space expected to impact upstream revenue more in 2025.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, S&P Global Inc. reported an 8% year-over-year increase in total revenue, with subscription products growing by 7%. The company achieved a 240-basis-point margin expansion on a trailing twelve-month basis and a 9% growth in adjusted diluted EPS. S&P Global returned over $900 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases. The bond issuance increased by 9% year over year, despite expectations of moderation for the rest of the year. Active user engagement on various platforms surged by 23%. The company anticipates flat bond issuance growth compared to previous low single-digit forecasts, and revenue synergies from past acquisitions are on track to meet a $350 million target by 2026. S&P Global plans to spin off its mobility division into a standalone company within 12 to 18 months, aiming for a tax-free separation. The guidance for 2025 includes expectations for 4% to 6% total revenue growth and an adjusted margin range of 48.5% to 49.5%, with adjusted diluted EPS projected between $16.75 and $17.25.

S&P Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
S&P Global Reports Q1 Revenue Increase and Spin-Off
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 29, 2025, S&P Global reported an 8% increase in first-quarter revenue to $3.777 billion, with a 10% rise in GAAP net income. The company also announced plans to spin off its Mobility division into a standalone public entity to enhance shareholder value and focus on its core divisions. This strategic move aims to streamline operations and allow the new Mobility company to pursue growth in the automotive sector. Additionally, S&P Global is adjusting its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting changes in revenue expectations and strategic investments.

Spark’s Take on SPGI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SPGI is a Outperform.

S&P Global’s overall stock score of 73 reflects strong financial health and positive earnings guidance, emphasizing growth in revenue and profitability. The technical analysis indicates some caution due to bearish signals, while the valuation suggests a high market expectation. The earnings call highlighted strategic growth areas, yet also presented challenges in competitive market segments.

To see Spark’s full report on SPGI stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
S&P Global Announces Sale of OSTTRA Joint Venture
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, S&P Global Inc. announced its agreement to sell OSTTRA, a joint venture with CME Group Inc. This move is part of S&P Global’s strategic efforts to streamline its operations and focus on core business areas, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Spark’s Take on SPGI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SPGI is a Outperform.

S&P Global’s strong financial performance and positive earnings guidance support a favorable outlook, though high valuation and technical indicators suggest cautious optimism. The company’s strategic focus on innovation and sustainability is a key strength, while maintaining manageable debt levels remains crucial.

To see Spark’s full report on SPGI stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.