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S&P Global (SPGI)
NYSE:SPGI
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S&P Global (SPGI) AI Stock Analysis

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SPGI

S&P Global

(NYSE:SPGI)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$480.00
â–²(10.86% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins and robust free cash flow) and a positive earnings call with upbeat growth/margin guidance plus increased buybacks. These strengths are tempered by mixed technical positioning (below the 20-day and 200-day moving averages) and a moderate-to-rich valuation with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Benchmark business scale and profitability
The benchmark franchises are becoming an increasingly important earnings engine, combining strong growth with high incremental margins. Their scale, market relevance, and integration into financial products support durable recurring revenue and provide operating leverage as adoption expands.
Negative Factors
Leverage rising above target
Funding buybacks partly with new debt is expected to push leverage above management’s target range in 2026. Although natural deleveraging is expected by 2027, higher leverage temporarily reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to weaker earnings or elevated financing costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Benchmark business scale and profitability
The benchmark franchises are becoming an increasingly important earnings engine, combining strong growth with high incremental margins. Their scale, market relevance, and integration into financial products support durable recurring revenue and provide operating leverage as adoption expands.
Read all positive factors

S&P Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Recurring Revenue as a Percent of Revenue
Indicates the stability and predictability of income, showcasing the strength of subscription-based or repeat business models.
Chart InsightsMarket Intelligence’s extremely high, stable recurring mix underpins predictable revenue and—per the call—subscription acceleration and AI-driven ACV gains should strengthen that durability once a short, 50bp revenue-recognition timing headwind reverses. By contrast, Global Commodity shows persistent Q1 troughs and a slide into 2026 consistent with transactional exposure and Iran-driven energy disruption, creating volatility in the recurring mix. The planned mid‑2026 Mobility spin (Mobility has a lower recurring mix) should mechanically lift consolidated recurring percentage and simplify comparability—watch the post‑spin recast closely.
Data provided by:The Fly

S&P Global (SPGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

S&P Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
S&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through five segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S...
How the Company Makes Money
S&P Global primarily makes money by selling subscription-based and transactional information services and by charging fees for credit ratings and index-linked services across its operating segments. (1) Ratings: S&P Global Ratings generates revenu...

S&P Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial highlights — record quarters in Ratings and Indices, double-digit EPS growth, solid AI adoption and monetization signals, disciplined productivity enabling margin expansion, and an increased $7B+ buyback program. Lowlights were concentrated in the Energy division (short-term impacts from the Middle East conflict, sanctions and GTS volatility), some subscale/consulting softness in Market Intelligence, and temporary elongated sales cycles and slightly elevated leverage due to buybacks. Overall, positives (broad revenue and margin outperformance, AI traction, strategic M&A and capital return) materially outweigh the limited and described near-term headwinds.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue and EPS Growth
Total revenue grew 11% year-over-year (organic constant currency and all-in) and adjusted diluted EPS grew 23% in Q2 2026, driven by benchmark strength and margin expansion.
Negative Updates
Energy Division Headwinds from Middle East Conflict
Energy revenue grew only 3% YoY in Q2; Iran conflict complicated contract renewals and led to intentional pricing flexibility for affected customers; conference and one-time sales were pressured, and sanctions had a negative impact (estimated -120 bps to Platts and -30 bps to CERA growth in Q2).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue and EPS Growth
Total revenue grew 11% year-over-year (organic constant currency and all-in) and adjusted diluted EPS grew 23% in Q2 2026, driven by benchmark strength and margin expansion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
S&P Global introduced guidance that excludes Mobility for the full year (spin completed July 1) and calls for 6–8% organic constant‑currency revenue growth, consolidated margin expansion ex‑OSTTRA of 75–100 basis points, and adjusted EPS of $17.50–$17.75 (double‑digit growth across the range). Division guidance (recast) is: Ratings +5–8% (up 1ppt), Indices +12–14% (up 2ppt), Market Intelligence +5.5–7%, and Energy +4.5–6%. Cash flow and capital return targets include H1 adjusted FCF (including Mobility) of $2.4B, H2 adjusted FCF (ex‑Mobility) of $2.9–3.1B, a Mobility dividend of ~$2B (about $500M used for debt paydown), planned ~$2B of incremental debt to fund buybacks, and an increased share repurchase program of over $7B (more than 5% of market cap). They expect year‑end gross leverage of ~2.7–2.8x EBITDA (vs. 2.0–2.5x target) with natural deleveraging back into the target by end‑2027.

S&P Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, high-quality fundamentals: healthy profitability (high gross and net margins), steady multi-year growth, and robust free cash flow that closely tracks earnings. Offsetting factors are TTM gross margin compression versus prior years and a rising leverage trend that modestly increases balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.12B15.34B14.21B12.50B11.18B8.30B
Gross Profit11.43B10.77B9.82B8.36B7.43B6.12B
EBITDA8.23B7.69B6.78B5.15B6.02B4.46B
Net Income4.92B4.47B3.85B2.63B3.25B3.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.91B61.20B60.22B60.59B61.78B15.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.14B1.80B1.69B1.32B1.30B6.51B
Total Debt15.75B14.20B11.93B12.00B11.65B4.70B
Total Liabilities26.27B25.05B22.71B22.49B22.04B9.49B
Stockholders Equity31.62B31.23B33.16B34.20B36.48B2.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.57B5.46B5.57B3.57B2.51B3.56B
Operating Cash Flow5.73B5.65B5.69B3.71B2.60B3.60B
Investing Cash Flow-321.00M-704.00M-255.00M562.00M3.63B-120.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.06B-4.93B-5.00B-4.28B-11.33B-1.01B

S&P Global Risk Analysis

S&P Global disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. S&P Global reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

S&P Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$126.12B26.0415.47%0.90%9.67%26.18%
77
Outperform
$83.35B30.4479.69%0.84%11.67%33.94%
76
Outperform
$88.92B22.7213.81%1.29%12.60%35.84%
74
Outperform
$7.72B19.5435.29%0.97%9.33%12.16%
73
Outperform
$10.78B20.7425.61%1.49%6.65%-7.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$40.97B31.30-54.14%1.41%11.62%21.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPGI
S&P Global
427.83
-25.73
-5.67%
FDS
Factset Research
303.21
14.27
4.94%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
158.40
3.67
2.37%
MCO
Moody's
481.26
0.51
0.11%
MORN
Morningstar
205.66
-13.55
-6.18%
MSCI
MSCI
563.49
30.78
5.78%

S&P Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
S&P Global Posts Strong Q2 Results After Mobility Spin-Off
Positive
Jul 28, 2026
On July 28, 2026, SP Global reported strong second-quarter 2026 results, with GAAP revenue rising 10% year on year to $4.146 billion and operating profit up 17% to $1.812 billion. Net income climbed 14% to $1.217 billion, while diluted EPS increas...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
S&P Global Restructures Market Intelligence for AI Growth
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
On July 6, 2026, SP Global unveiled a new operating model for its Market Intelligence division, structuring it into two verticals—Kensho Data Platforms and Enterprise Solutions—to deepen its AI-driven offerings and streamline client i...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026