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Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB
(SCA.B)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
kr109.00
▼(-1.27% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/25/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial stability (low leverage and steady operating cash flow). It is weighed down by a clear bearish technical trend (trading below key moving averages with negative MACD) and an expensive valuation (P/E ~50) despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
Low leverage and a large equity cushion provide durable financial flexibility for a cyclical, asset-heavy forest-products company. This reduces refinancing risk, supports continued mill operations and forest management spending, and allows the firm to weather cycle troughs without urgent capital raises.
Negative Factors
Flat revenue trend
Stagnant to modestly declining top-line restricts the company's ability to grow operating scale and offset fixed costs. Over a multi-quarter horizon, flat revenue increases sensitivity to cost inflation and limits reinvestment capacity, making recovery dependent on market demand or structural product shifts.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet
Low leverage and a large equity cushion provide durable financial flexibility for a cyclical, asset-heavy forest-products company. This reduces refinancing risk, supports continued mill operations and forest management spending, and allows the firm to weather cycle troughs without urgent capital raises.
Read all positive factors
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB (SCA.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)
Market Cap
kr68.29B
Dividend Yield2.49%
Average Volume (3M)1.17M
Price to Earnings (P/E)24.9
Beta (1Y)0.71
Revenue Growth-3.98%
EPS Growth-23.70%
CountrySE
Employees3,333
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.96
Shares Outstanding641,477,660
10 Day Avg. Volume1,284,656
30 Day Avg. Volume1,172,274
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.25
Price to Book (P/B)0.85
Price to Sales (P/S)4.22
P/FCF Ratio71.64
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
kr104.25Price Target Upside-5.57% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)3.4
Revenue Forecast (FY)kr20.30B
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) operates as a prominent forest products company, focusing on the creation, manufacture, and sale of a diverse range of forest, wood, pulp, and containerboard items. Its extensive catalog includes various w...
How the Company Makes Money
SCA makes money primarily by monetizing its forest assets and converting harvested wood into higher-value industrial products. (1) Forestry: The company generates revenue from timber harvesting and the sale of timber assortments (e.g., sawlogs and...
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 20.01B | 20.43B | 20.23B | 18.08B | 20.79B | 18.82B |
| Gross Profit | 786.00M | 1.83B | 17.10B | 12.51B | 17.96B | 15.59B |
| EBITDA | 5.54B | 6.61B | 7.19B | 6.83B | 10.22B | 9.08B |
| Net Income | 2.79B | 3.21B | 3.64B | 3.67B | 6.75B | 5.94B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 148.79B | 146.46B | 149.26B | 147.95B | 137.35B | 118.23B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.36B | 590.00M | 1.33B | 502.00M | 836.00M | 1.06B |
| Total Debt | 16.02B | 13.54B | 14.58B | 12.77B | 12.21B | 9.87B |
| Total Liabilities | 48.66B | 44.94B | 45.23B | 43.67B | 41.00B | 35.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 100.11B | 101.52B | 104.03B | 104.28B | 96.36B | 83.06B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.93B | 1.20B | 1.31B | 759.00M | 364.00M | 863.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 4.06B | 4.02B | 3.49B | 3.89B | 6.33B | 5.97B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.86B | -2.60B | -1.70B | -3.10B | -6.52B | -4.93B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.16B | -2.14B | -959.00M | -1.12B | -30.00M | -1.27B |
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Technical Analysis
Negative
110.40
Price Trends
100.71
Negative
105.96
Negative
112.10
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.02
Positive
42.91
Neutral
39.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SCA.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 110.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.64, above the 50-day MA of 100.71, and below the 200-day MA of 112.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:SCA.B.
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | kr44.96B | 16.97 | 5.12% | 2.60% | -6.33% | -1.97% | |
63 Neutral | kr44.96B | 16.97 | ― | 2.59% | -6.33% | -1.97% | |
59 Neutral | kr68.29B | 24.90 | 3.09% | 2.49% | -3.98% | -23.70% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
52 Neutral | kr15.39B | 200.81 | 2.55% | 3.81% | -12.11% | -95.84% | |
50 Neutral | kr80.24B | 11.86 | ― | 3.46% | -3.54% | ― | |
47 Neutral | kr80.24B | 11.86 | ― | 2.50% | -3.54% | ― |
* General Sector Average
SE:SCA.B
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Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB Corporate Events
SCA’s Q1 profit hit by weaker forest product markets as renewable energy lifts earnings
Apr 24, 2026
SCA reported weaker first-quarter 2026 results, as net sales fell 8% to SEK 4.74bn and EBITDA dropped 33% due to lower selling prices, negative currency effects, and higher raw material costs, although its high self-sufficiency in wood, energy, an...
SCA Sets April 24 Webcast for Q1 2026 Results
Apr 9, 2026
SCA will publish its interim report for the first quarter of 2026 on April 24 at around 08:00 CET, followed by a webcast press conference at 10:00 CET. President and CEO Ulf Larsson and CFO Andreas Ewertz will present the quarterly results and tak...
SCA Adjusts Share Structure After March Class A to Class B Conversions
Mar 31, 2026
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB has adjusted its share capital structure following a shareholder-driven conversion of 1,600 Class A shares into Class B shares in March. After the conversion, the company’s total voting rights stand at 1,250,125,959,...
SCA AGM Approves SEK 3 Dividend, Confirms Board and Long-Term Incentive Plan
Mar 27, 2026
Svenska Cellulosa SCA held its 2026 Annual General Meeting in Sundsvall, where shareholders approved the 2025 income statements and balance sheets for the parent company and the group. They also granted discharge from liability to the Board of Dir...
SCA posts robust 2025 margins as it completes green investments and expands forest base
Mar 4, 2026
SCA has published its 2025 Annual Report, highlighting that a combination of a strong industrial base and high self-sufficiency in wood, energy and logistics allowed it to sustain a robust EBITDA margin of 32.1 percent despite a challenging global...
SCA revamps RoRo logistics to cut vessel emissions by 40%
Mar 2, 2026
SCA will overhaul its Roll-on/Roll-off sea transport from 1 October 2026, cutting weekly RoRo departures from Umeå, reducing vessel speeds from about 15 to 11–12 knots, and increasing load factors, a package of measures expected to redu...
SCA Share Conversion Shifts Balance Between Class A and Class B Stock
Feb 27, 2026
Svenska Cellulosa SCA has reported a February share conversion in which 1,000,000 Class A shares were converted into Class B shares at the request of shareholders. The move, carried out under the company’s articles of association, lowers the...
SCA Sets March Date and Voting Procedures for 2026 Annual General Meeting
Feb 16, 2026
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA has convened its 2026 Annual General Meeting for March 27 in Sundsvall, offering shareholders the choice of attending in person or exercising their voting rights by postal or electronic voting. To participate, sh...
SCA Corrects European NBSK Pulp Hike to $1,710 per Tonne
Feb 13, 2026
SCA has corrected details of its planned price increase for Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft pulp in Europe, clarifying that the new list price will be 1,710 USD per tonne, up 100 USD, for March deliveries and invoicing. The revision replaces an e...
SCA Lifts European NBSK Pulp Price as Market Tightens
Feb 13, 2026
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB, the Swedish forest products group built on Europe’s largest private forest holding, runs an integrated value chain centered on renewable raw materials, supplying packaging paper, pulp, sawn wood, renewable energy, s...
SCA Holds Sales and Dividend as Currency and Price Pressures Squeeze 2025 Earnings
Jan 30, 2026
SCA reported essentially flat full-year 2025 net sales of SEK 20.4 billion as higher volumes and prices were offset by adverse currency moves, while EBITDA fell 8% and the margin narrowed to 32.1% due to negative exchange rates and higher raw mate...
SCA CEO Steps In as Interim Head of Containerboard and Pulp After Leadership Change
Jan 30, 2026
SCA has announced a leadership change in its Group Management, as Petteri Kalela will leave his position as Head of Business Areas Containerboard and Pulp by 30 January 2026, following a mutual agreement with the company. President and CEO Ulf Lar...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.