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Holmen AB (SE:HOLM.A)
:HOLM.A
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Holmen AB (HOLM.A) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:HOLM.A

Holmen AB

(HOLM.A)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
kr349.00
▲(15.56% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
Overall score reflects a financially resilient company led by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet and continued profitability, tempered by cyclicality/normalized margins and volatile cash flow (including a notable TTM gross profit anomaly). Technicals add modest support (above key short/intermediate averages with neutral-to-positive momentum), while valuation appears reasonable but not a clear bargain.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage and Strong Balance Sheet
Low leverage reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving Holmen flexibility to sustain investment, dividends, and operations through weaker paper, timber, or energy cycles.
Negative Factors
Profitability Has Normalized From Peak Levels
Lower returns versus the peak cycle suggest reduced pricing power or less favorable industry conditions, which may constrain earnings growth until paper, timber, and energy markets improve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage and Strong Balance Sheet
Low leverage reduces financial risk and interest burden, giving Holmen flexibility to sustain investment, dividends, and operations through weaker paper, timber, or energy cycles.
Read all positive factors

Holmen AB (HOLM.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Holmen AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Holmen AB engages in the manufacture of paperboard, paper and wood products and runs forestry and energy production operations. It operates through the following segments: Forest, Paperboard, Paper, Wood Products, Renewable Energy, Group-wide and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Holmen makes money by monetizing its forest assets through an integrated set of product and energy businesses. (1) Paperboard: It sells paperboard used mainly for packaging applications; revenue is generated through contracted and spot sales to co...

Holmen AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid but not pristine. Balance sheet strength is a key positive (low leverage and resilient capital structure), while income statement profitability and a strong TTM revenue rebound are offset by margin normalization versus 2022–2023 and an unusual negative TTM gross profit figure that raises a data-quality/earnings-quality flag. Cash flow remains positive but shows volatility (TTM FCF down ~28% and moderate cash conversion).
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.61B22.06B22.76B22.80B23.95B19.48B
Gross Profit-5.26B366.00M10.24B12.12B13.75B9.83B
EBITDA3.98B4.76B5.15B6.16B8.85B5.00B
Net Income2.65B2.88B2.86B3.70B5.87B3.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.07B80.86B81.55B79.72B81.44B68.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments182.00M390.00M234.00M1.20B1.94B507.00M
Total Debt6.92B5.10B3.68B3.17B3.15B4.34B
Total Liabilities26.89B25.46B24.18B22.80B24.49B21.11B
Stockholders Equity54.18B55.41B57.37B56.92B56.95B46.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.89B1.71B1.20B4.10B4.09B1.52B
Operating Cash Flow3.44B3.85B3.32B5.80B5.48B3.23B
Investing Cash Flow-1.53B-2.12B-2.07B-1.65B-1.35B-1.31B
Financing Cash Flow-2.05B-1.58B-2.22B-4.89B-2.71B-1.76B

Holmen AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price302.00
Price Trends
50DMA
314.24
Positive
100DMA
313.16
Positive
200DMA
324.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.88
Positive
RSI
52.12
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:HOLM.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 302 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 321.60, below the 50-day MA of 314.24, and below the 200-day MA of 324.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:HOLM.A.

Holmen AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
kr48.45B18.554.80%2.98%-4.74%-0.17%
60
Neutral
kr82.30B37.142.18%2.58%-5.47%-41.24%
56
Neutral
kr90.08B13.795.30%2.42%-3.82%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
kr20.26B-479.12-0.15%2.46%-11.64%-102.28%
47
Neutral
kr788.99M-2.51-20.14%14.38%-14.21%12.49%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:HOLM.A
Holmen AB
319.00
-24.05
-7.01%
SE:BILL
BillerudKorsnas AB
81.45
-2.61
-3.10%
SE:STE.A
Stora Enso Oyj
113.50
12.11
11.94%
SE:SCA.B
Svenska Cellulosa SCA AB
116.50
-3.32
-2.77%
SE:RROS
Rottneros AB
2.95
-0.44
-12.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026