tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Evolution Gaming Group AB (SE:EVO)
:EVO
Advertisement

Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
51 Followers

Top Page

SE:EVO

Evolution Gaming Group AB

(EVO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 84 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
kr965.00
▲(17.08% Upside)
Evolution Gaming Group AB's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its high stock score. While technical analysis shows mixed signals, the company's strategic growth initiatives and robust financial health support a positive outlook. Challenges in specific regions and increased expenses are notable risks but are currently outweighed by the company's strengths.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Evolution Gaming's robust financial performance, with high profitability and strong cash flow, supports sustainable growth and resilience against market fluctuations.
North America Growth
Significant growth in North America indicates successful market penetration and potential for continued expansion, enhancing the company's global footprint.
Strategic Partnerships
The Hasbro agreement strengthens Evolution's product offerings and brand recognition, potentially driving long-term revenue growth and market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
European Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges in Europe, leading to revenue decline, could hinder growth and require strategic adjustments to maintain market position.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses outpacing revenue growth may pressure margins and necessitate cost management strategies to sustain profitability.
Cybercrime Impact in Asia
Cybercrime challenges in Asia could disrupt operations and require increased investment in cybersecurity, impacting profitability and growth in the region.

Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVO) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Evolution Gaming Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolution AB (publ) develops, produces, markets, and licenses live casino and slots solutions to gaming operators primarily in Europe and the United States. The company runs the game from a casino gaming table, which is streamed in real time and end users make betting decisions on their devices, such as computers, smartphones, tablets, etc. Its portfolio of online live table games primarily includes Live Roulette, Blackjack, Baccarat, Super Sic Bo, Dragon Tiger, Craps, Live Casino Hold'em, Three Card Poker, and Ultimate Texas Hold'em; and operates approximately 1000 tables. The company was formerly known as Evolution Gaming Group AB (publ). Evolution AB (publ) was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolution Gaming generates revenue primarily through its business-to-business (B2B) model, where it provides live casino services to online gaming operators. The company charges its clients a fee based on a revenue-sharing model, which typically involves taking a percentage of the operators' gaming revenue generated from games powered by Evolution. Additionally, Evolution may charge fixed fees for the integration and setup of its gaming solutions. Key revenue streams include licensing agreements, game development royalties, and customized gaming solutions for high-profile clients. The company's partnerships with major online gambling platforms and its expansion into new markets also contribute significantly to its growth and earnings.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 17, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there are strong growth signals from North America and significant strategic wins like the Hasbro agreement, challenges in Europe and Asia, along with slow RNG growth, temper the overall outlook. The company's proactive measures in regulation and cyber defense show promise but have yet to fully mitigate the current challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Revenue Growth
Net revenue for Q2 2025 came in at EUR 524.3 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 3.1%.
EBITDA Performance
EBITDA amounted to EUR 345.3 million with a margin of 65.9%, aligning with the full-year guidance of 66% to 68%.
North America Growth
North America saw almost 23% year-on-year growth in revenue, totaling EUR 73.9 million.
Significant Licensing Agreement with Hasbro
Evolution signed an exclusive global licensing agreement with Hasbro, a major milestone for the company.
New Studio Launches
Launched first-ever studios in the Philippines and Brazil, marking significant expansion milestones.
Shareholder Returns
Almost EUR 800 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks in the first half of the year.
Negative Updates
Challenges from European Regulations
Ring-fencing measures in Europe have negatively impacted revenues, particularly with a 5% decrease in the second quarter.
Cybercrime Impact in Asia
Ongoing cybercrime activities in Asia have posed challenges, although the region showed a 4% growth quarter-on-quarter.
RNG Revenue Slowdown
RNG revenues grew only 0.3% year-on-year, affected by the largest payout ever in RNG.
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses grew by 10% year-over-year, outpacing revenue growth.
European Market Uncertainties
Revenue in Europe showed a negative growth of 5% compared to the first quarter, driven by regulatory challenges.
Company Guidance
In the Evolution Q2 2025 earnings call, CEO Martin Carlesund and CFO Joakim Andersson provided detailed guidance, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported net revenue of EUR 524.3 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, while EBITDA reached EUR 345.3 million with a margin of 65.9%, aligning with their full-year guidance of 66-68%. The Life segment generated EUR 453.7 million, with 3.6% growth, and RNG revenues were EUR 70.6 million, showing a slight 0.3% increase. Europe saw a revenue decline of 5% due to ring-fencing measures, while Asia experienced a 4% quarter-on-quarter growth despite ongoing cybercrime challenges. North America continued its strong trajectory with a 23% year-on-year increase, and Latin America grew by 3%, aided by new regulations in Brazil. The call also emphasized strategic milestones, including a licensing agreement with Hasbro and new studio launches in the Philippines and Brazil, which are expected to bolster future growth. Total operating expenses increased by 10% year-over-year to EUR 217.9 million, and the company maintained a cash position of EUR 505.3 million after significant share buybacks and dividends. The management expressed cautious optimism for the second half of the year, anticipating stronger performance driven by improved efficiencies and strategic expansions.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolution Gaming Group AB exhibits strong financial performance with high profitability, robust revenue growth, minimal leverage, and efficient cash flow generation. The income statement shows a high net profit margin of 57.6%, and the balance sheet reflects a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.024. Cash flow is strong with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05.
Income Statement
95
Very Positive
Evolution Gaming Group AB demonstrates an exceptionally strong income statement with a very high gross profit margin of 100% and a net profit margin of approximately 57.6% for the TTM period. Revenue growth has been robust, with the latest TTM revenue representing a significant increase from prior periods. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA are also very high, indicating excellent operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is very healthy, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.024, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio stands at a solid 75.3%, reflecting a strong capital structure. However, a slight decrease in stockholders' equity from the previous annual report suggests some caution.
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is strong, with a high free cash flow and a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 1.05, indicating efficient cash generation. Free cash flow growth remains positive, supporting the company's ability to invest and return capital to shareholders.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.10B2.06B1.80B1.46B1.07B561.13M
Gross Profit2.10B2.11B1.80B1.46B1.09B561.13M
EBITDA1.41B1.59B1.20B1.01B730.94M332.26M
Net Income1.21B1.24B1.07B843.36M605.43M284.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.95B5.35B4.97B4.37B3.90B3.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments494.89M787.07M985.76M532.55M421.43M221.68M
Total Debt89.88M93.66M79.46M79.55M67.81M49.97M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.37B967.27M909.09M712.12M442.94M
Stockholders Equity3.73B3.97B4.01B3.46B3.19B2.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.14B1.16B1.07B780.53M537.30M279.17M
Operating Cash Flow1.27B1.30B1.17B877.47M598.89M316.05M
Investing Cash Flow-248.39M-247.97M-139.36M-371.60M-154.95M6.82M
Financing Cash Flow-1.20B-1.24B-574.50M-394.20M-248.52M-279.91M

Evolution Gaming Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price824.20
Price Trends
50DMA
835.02
Negative
100DMA
762.04
Positive
200DMA
777.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.22
Negative
RSI
52.19
Neutral
STOCH
56.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:EVO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 824.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 811.51, below the 50-day MA of 835.02, and above the 200-day MA of 777.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:EVO.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
kr168.52B12.45
3.80%6.27%11.76%
74
Outperform
21.37B9.7522.58%4.78%15.10%23.19%
58
Neutral
7.30B25.863.91%-5.42%-17.95%
55
Neutral
3.45B36.675.02%-5.16%-48.79%
46
Neutral
152.15M-0.30-35.97%-33.18%10.56%
46
Neutral
178.35M-0.41-44.89%1.98%37.81%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:EVO
Evolution Gaming Group AB
822.80
-129.31
-13.58%
GB:0A37
Betsson AB
152.43
29.91
24.41%
CTTMF
Catena Media
0.69
-0.02
-2.82%
KMBIF
Kambi Group
12.86
0.06
0.47%
DE:7NG
Acroud AB
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
SE:BETCO
Better Collective A/S
124.70
-90.30
-42.00%

Evolution Gaming Group AB Corporate Events

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Sep 15, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 205,000 of its own shares as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and increasing shareholder value. This initiative, conducted in compliance with EU regulations, signifies Evolution’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and enhance its market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK1125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure Through Share Buyback
Sep 8, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 377,000 of its own shares between September 1 and September 5, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to enhance its capital structure and increase shareholder value. This buyback initiative, conducted in compliance with EU regulations, reflects Evolution’s strategic focus on optimizing its financial framework, potentially benefiting stakeholders by improving the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK928.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Repurchase
Sep 1, 2025

Evolution AB (publ) announced the acquisition of 219,000 of its own shares between August 25 and August 29, 2025, as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. This program, compliant with EU regulations, has seen a total of 1,105,867 shares acquired since July 21, 2025, with a maximum of 20,446,216 shares permitted for repurchase, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its market position and benefit stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK1350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Repurchase
Aug 25, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 124,500 of its own shares as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. This program, in compliance with EU regulations, allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares, with Citibank managing the purchases independently on Nasdaq Stockholm.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK996.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Aug 18, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 248,000 of its own shares between August 11 and August 15, 2025, as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. The program, compliant with EU regulations, allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares, and as of August 15, Evolution’s holding of its own shares totals 2,327,848.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Aug 11, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 169,600 of its own shares between August 4 and August 8, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to enhance shareholder value by improving the company’s capital structure. The repurchase program, compliant with EU regulations, allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares, and aims to strengthen Evolution’s market position by reducing the total capital. As of August 8, 2025, Evolution holds 2,079,848 of its own shares, with Citibank executing the transactions independently on Nasdaq Stockholm.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Aug 4, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 173,767 of its own shares between July 28 and August 1, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to improve capital structure and enhance shareholder value. The repurchase, conducted under EU regulations, brings Evolution’s total holdings to 1,910,248 shares, with a maximum of 20,446,216 shares allowed for acquisition, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025