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Evolution Gaming Group AB (SE:EVO)
:EVO
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Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVO) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:EVO

Evolution Gaming Group AB

(EVO)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
kr758.00
▲(16.72% Upside)
Evolution Gaming Group AB's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary strengths, contributing significantly to the overall score. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the earnings call highlighted some regional challenges and operational risks, which temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Efficient cash generation supports Evolution Gaming's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, ensuring long-term financial stability.
RNG Segment Growth
Growth in the RNG segment highlights Evolution's successful diversification and innovation, potentially enhancing its competitive position in the gaming industry.
European Market Recovery
Recovery in the European market indicates resilience and potential for continued revenue growth, strengthening Evolution's market position in a key region.
Negative Factors
Asian Market Challenges
Challenges in Asia, including cybercrime and regulatory issues, could hinder growth in a significant market, impacting overall revenue potential.
Overall Revenue Decline
A decline in overall revenue, particularly in the Live segment, may indicate challenges in maintaining growth momentum and market share.
Legal and Regulatory Uncertainties
Pending legal and regulatory issues could lead to operational disruptions and increased compliance costs, affecting long-term strategic execution.

Evolution Gaming Group AB (EVO) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Evolution Gaming Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolution Gaming Group AB (EVO) is a leading provider of live casino solutions for the online gaming industry, headquartered in Sweden. The company specializes in developing and delivering high-quality live dealer games that simulate the experience of a traditional casino. Its portfolio includes a wide array of table games such as blackjack, roulette, baccarat, and poker, which are streamed in real-time from state-of-the-art studios. Evolution serves a global market, catering to both online casinos and gaming operators, and has established itself as a pioneer in the live gaming sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolution Gaming generates revenue primarily through its business-to-business (B2B) model, where it provides live casino services to online gaming operators. The company charges its clients a fee based on a revenue-sharing model, which typically involves taking a percentage of the operators' gaming revenue generated from games powered by Evolution. Additionally, Evolution may charge fixed fees for the integration and setup of its gaming solutions. Key revenue streams include licensing agreements, game development royalties, and customized gaming solutions for high-profile clients. The company's partnerships with major online gambling platforms and its expansion into new markets also contribute significantly to its growth and earnings.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Europe and North America, with notable growth in the RNG segment and successful new product launches. However, these positives were offset by significant challenges in the Asian market, a decline in overall revenue, and operational slowdowns. Legal and regulatory uncertainties also contribute to a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
European Market Recovery
Europe returned to growth quarter-on-quarter, with revenue amounting to EUR 182.2 million. The company was recognized by one of the largest regulators in Europe as one of the best B2B suppliers.
North American Growth
North America showed year-on-year growth of 14.5%. The company launched a second Live studio brand, Ezugi, and plans to open a second studio in Michigan in 2026.
RNG Segment Success
RNG increased by 4.2% to EUR 75.5 million, outperforming Live in terms of growth for the first time. Nolimit City performed well, contributing to this success.
New Product Launches
Launched Ice Fishing, Sneaky Slots, and other new titles like Dragon Tiger Phoenix and SuperSpeed Dragon Tiger. These new games have been well-received.
Negative Updates
Asian Market Challenges
Asia saw a revenue decline of 9.6% quarter-on-quarter due to cybercrime activities and regulatory uncertainties in markets like the Philippines and India.
Overall Revenue Decline
Net revenue declined year-on-year by 2.4% to EUR 507.1 million, with Live revenue dropping by 3.4%.
Operational Slowdown
Headcount decreased by 2.7% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting slower revenue growth. The game round index also showed a decrease this quarter.
Legal and Regulatory Uncertainties
Ongoing litigation in the U.S. and regulatory review by the U.K. Gaming Commission are pending, adding to operational uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Evolution reported net revenue of EUR 507.1 million, representing a year-on-year decline of 2.4%. The EBITDA stood at EUR 336.9 million, with a margin of 66.4%, aligning with their full-year target of 66% to 68%. Notably, Europe's performance improved, showing quarter-on-quarter growth, while North America and Latin America also demonstrated positive trends. Conversely, Asia experienced a 9.6% quarter-on-quarter revenue decline, attributed to cybercrime impacts and regulatory uncertainties, notably in the Philippines and India. The Live segment saw a 3.4% revenue decline to EUR 431.7 million, whereas RNG revenue increased by 4.2% to EUR 75.5 million, marking the first instance of RNG outperforming Live in growth. Operationally, headcount grew by 4.2% year-on-year but decreased by 2.7% from the previous quarter. Evolution also highlighted the launch of a new brand, Sneaky Slots, and the success of their Ice Fishing game, reflecting a strategic focus on innovation and market expansion.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolution Gaming Group AB exhibits strong financial performance with high profitability, robust revenue growth, minimal leverage, and efficient cash flow generation. The income statement shows a high net profit margin of 57.6%, and the balance sheet reflects a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.024. Cash flow is strong with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05.
Income Statement
95
Very Positive
Evolution Gaming Group AB demonstrates an exceptionally strong income statement with a very high gross profit margin of 100% and a net profit margin of approximately 57.6% for the TTM period. Revenue growth has been robust, with the latest TTM revenue representing a significant increase from prior periods. Margins such as EBIT and EBITDA are also very high, indicating excellent operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is very healthy, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.024, indicating minimal leverage. The equity ratio stands at a solid 75.3%, reflecting a strong capital structure. However, a slight decrease in stockholders' equity from the previous annual report suggests some caution.
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is strong, with a high free cash flow and a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 1.05, indicating efficient cash generation. Free cash flow growth remains positive, supporting the company's ability to invest and return capital to shareholders.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.10B2.06B1.80B1.46B1.07B561.13M
Gross Profit2.10B2.11B1.80B1.46B1.09B561.13M
EBITDA1.41B1.59B1.20B1.01B730.94M332.26M
Net Income1.21B1.24B1.07B843.36M605.43M284.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.95B5.35B4.97B4.37B3.90B3.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments494.89M787.07M985.76M532.55M421.43M221.68M
Total Debt89.88M93.66M79.46M79.55M67.81M49.97M
Total Liabilities1.22B1.37B967.27M909.09M712.12M442.94M
Stockholders Equity3.73B3.97B4.01B3.46B3.19B2.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.14B1.16B1.07B780.53M537.30M279.17M
Operating Cash Flow1.27B1.30B1.17B877.47M598.89M316.05M
Investing Cash Flow-248.39M-247.97M-139.36M-371.60M-154.95M6.82M
Financing Cash Flow-1.20B-1.24B-574.50M-394.20M-248.52M-279.91M

Evolution Gaming Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price649.40
Price Trends
50DMA
769.78
Negative
100DMA
784.84
Negative
200DMA
762.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-32.96
Positive
RSI
21.78
Positive
STOCH
18.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:EVO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 649.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 709.16, below the 50-day MA of 769.78, and below the 200-day MA of 762.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -32.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.78 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:EVO.

Evolution Gaming Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
kr133.15B10.574.80%2.04%-0.10%
kr20.97B9.5223.20%4.87%11.84%12.09%
kr7.71B27.30-5.42%-17.95%
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
$3.19B33.864.76%-5.16%-48.79%
$176.72M-0.35-38.74%-33.18%10.56%
kr167.58M-71.93%1.98%37.81%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:EVO
Evolution Gaming Group AB
649.40
-305.09
-31.96%
SE:BETS.B
Betsson AB
150.60
12.30
8.90%
SE:CTM
Catena Media
2.50
-2.66
-51.55%
SE:KAMBI
Kambi Group
109.60
-26.30
-19.35%
SE:ACROUD
Acroud AB
0.14
-0.26
-64.39%
SE:BETCO
Better Collective A/S
118.80
-20.80
-14.90%

Evolution Gaming Group AB Corporate Events

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Repurchase
Oct 27, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 40,000 of its own shares between October 20 and October 24, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to enhance its capital structure and increase shareholder value. This initiative, conducted under EU regulations and facilitated by Citibank, aims to potentially acquire up to 20,446,216 shares, reflecting Evolution’s strategic focus on optimizing financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK758.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Gaming Reports Q3 2025 Financials Amidst Regional Challenges and Strategic Expansions
Oct 23, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, Evolution Gaming Group AB reported a decline in net revenues by 2.4% to EUR 507.1 million and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA by 5.3% to EUR 336.9 million. The company faced challenges in Asia due to cyber criminality and regulatory volatility, but saw growth in Europe, North America, and Latin America. Notably, Evolution launched Ezugi as a second live casino brand in the US and expanded its RNG portfolio with Sneaky Slots. Despite revenue shortfalls in Asia, the company maintained a strong EBITDA margin through cost control and strategic investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Playtech Exposed in Defamatory Campaign Against Evolution AB
Oct 21, 2025

Evolution AB has revealed that Playtech Software Limited, a subsidiary of Playtech Plc, was behind a defamatory smear campaign orchestrated by Black Cube, which aimed to damage Evolution’s business and reputation. The campaign involved the creation and dissemination of a false report that led to significant financial harm for Evolution. Despite legal challenges, Playtech’s involvement has been confirmed, and Evolution is pursuing accountability for the damages caused by this anti-competitive act.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK1000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Buyback
Sep 29, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 129,523 of its own shares between September 22 and September 25, 2025, as part of a board-approved buyback program aimed at improving the company’s capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. The buyback, conducted under EU regulations, involved Citibank executing trades independently on Nasdaq Stockholm. As of September 25, Evolution holds 3,617,371 of its own shares, with plans to resume buybacks after the third-quarter interim report.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK938.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution Gaming Announces 2026 AGM Nomination Committee
Sep 25, 2025

Evolution Gaming Group AB has announced the formation of its Nomination Committee for the 2026 Annual General Meeting. The committee, composed of representatives from the company’s largest shareholders and an independent board member, will oversee shareholder proposals for the AGM scheduled for April 2026 in Stockholm. This development underscores Evolution’s commitment to transparent governance and shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK965.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Repurchase
Sep 22, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 234,500 of its own shares between September 15 and September 19, 2025, as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. This program, compliant with EU regulations, is executed by Citibank on Nasdaq Stockholm, and allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares. As of September 19, 2025, Evolution’s holding of own shares totals 3,487,848 out of 204,462,162 total shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK965.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Sep 15, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 205,000 of its own shares as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and increasing shareholder value. This initiative, conducted in compliance with EU regulations, signifies Evolution’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and enhance its market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK1125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure Through Share Buyback
Sep 8, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 377,000 of its own shares between September 1 and September 5, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to enhance its capital structure and increase shareholder value. This buyback initiative, conducted in compliance with EU regulations, reflects Evolution’s strategic focus on optimizing its financial framework, potentially benefiting stakeholders by improving the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK928.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Repurchase
Sep 1, 2025

Evolution AB (publ) announced the acquisition of 219,000 of its own shares between August 25 and August 29, 2025, as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. This program, compliant with EU regulations, has seen a total of 1,105,867 shares acquired since July 21, 2025, with a maximum of 20,446,216 shares permitted for repurchase, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its market position and benefit stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK1350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Capital Structure with Share Repurchase
Aug 25, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 124,500 of its own shares as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. This program, in compliance with EU regulations, allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares, with Citibank managing the purchases independently on Nasdaq Stockholm.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Buy with a SEK996.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Aug 18, 2025

Evolution AB has acquired 248,000 of its own shares between August 11 and August 15, 2025, as part of a repurchase program aimed at improving its capital structure and enhancing shareholder value. The program, compliant with EU regulations, allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares, and as of August 15, Evolution’s holding of its own shares totals 2,327,848.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Aug 11, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 169,600 of its own shares between August 4 and August 8, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to enhance shareholder value by improving the company’s capital structure. The repurchase program, compliant with EU regulations, allows for a maximum acquisition of 20,446,216 shares, and aims to strengthen Evolution’s market position by reducing the total capital. As of August 8, 2025, Evolution holds 2,079,848 of its own shares, with Citibank executing the transactions independently on Nasdaq Stockholm.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Aug 4, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 173,767 of its own shares between July 28 and August 1, 2025, as part of a board-approved program to improve capital structure and enhance shareholder value. The repurchase, conducted under EU regulations, brings Evolution’s total holdings to 1,910,248 shares, with a maximum of 20,446,216 shares allowed for acquisition, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Evolution AB Enhances Shareholder Value Through Share Repurchase
Jul 28, 2025

Evolution AB has repurchased 171,000 of its own shares between July 21 and July 25, 2025, as part of a program to improve its capital structure and enhance shareholder value. This move aligns with EU regulations and aims to reduce the company’s capital, with Citibank executing the transactions independently on Nasdaq Stockholm.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:EVO) stock is a Hold with a SEK1170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolution Gaming Group AB stock, see the SE:EVO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025