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Kambi Group (KAMBI) AI Stock Analysis

SE:KAMBI

Kambi Group

(Nasdaq OMX AB:KAMBI)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:SEK 182.00â–²(19.58% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:09/26/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial stability (low leverage and good operating cash flow) and a strong, guidance-raising earnings call with clear operational outperformance. Offsetting these positives are weaker technicals (trading below key moving averages with soft momentum) and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E and no dividend yield support).

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetVery low leverage and a substantial equity cushion give Kambi financial resilience through demand or regulatory fluctuations. This supports continued investment in its sportsbook platform, preserves strategic flexibility, and limits the burden of interest or refinancing costs.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitability and returnsProfitability remains positive but is materially below prior periods, showing weaker earnings conversion and capital efficiency. Persistently lower margins and ROE could constrain reinvestment capacity, reduce the durability of earnings growth, and make results more sensitive to cost or mix changes.

Kambi Group (KAMBI) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%SE:KAMBI+41.98%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 414.78M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
53.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
33.1
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
-10.22%
EPS Growth
-33.31%
Country
Sweden
Employees
995
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Kambi Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kambi Group plc functions as a business-to-business partner, supplying comprehensive sports betting solutions to gaming operators that serve consumers across Europe, the Americas, and other international markets. Its extensive suite of services cover...

How the Company Makes Money

Kambi makes money by supplying sportsbook technology and services to betting operators (its partners) under commercial agreements that typically link Kambi’s remuneration to the partner’s sports betting performance. Its key revenue stream is B2B spor...

Kambi Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 21, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-6.40%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call reported strong top-line growth, a sharp increase in adjusted EBITA (102% YoY), major World Cup operational success (100% uptime, >100M bets, >EUR1bn turnover), accelerated AI adoption and several commercial wins which together drove management to raise full-year EBITA guidance. Offsetting items include one-off operational credits, higher recharged data costs, tax and contractual pressures in some jurisdictions, short-term turnover risk after the very high margins in the World Cup, and some regulatory uncertainty. On balance, the positive operational execution, margin expansion and guidance raise materially outweigh the negatives.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth
Q2 revenue EUR 45.9M, up 13% year-on-year from EUR 40.5M.

Negative Updates

Operational Issues and Credits
Operational technical downtime in April resulted in low single-digit million euro credits to customers which reduced earlier guidance potential; management said the incident was not excluded from adjusted EBITA.

Company Guidance

Kambi raised its 2026 adjusted EBITA (acq) guidance from EUR 20–25m to EUR 23–27m, citing strong Q2 and World Cup performance: Q2 revenue was EUR 45.9m (up from EUR 40.5m), Q2 adjusted EBITA (acq) EUR 7.6m (vs EUR 3.7m last year, +102%), and H1 adjusted EBITA ~EUR 13.3m (about 50% of the low end of the new range). The upgrade reflects World Cup volumes (over 100m bets, >EUR 1bn Turnkey turnover, >EUR 500m turnover in Q2) and high operator trading margins (Q2 margin ~14%, World Cup margin ~17–18% producing ~EUR 6m revenue in Q2), plus a Turnover Index of 685 and ~2% YoY turnover growth; average turnover per match was ~+20% vs 2022, Bet Builders accounted for 22% of live bets (35% of all bets in the tournament), and 46% of tournament turnover came from South America. Management noted the guidance already reflects a low single‑digit million EUR hit from April operational credits, expects the remainder of the year to assume an ~11% sportsbook margin, and highlighted cash/returns actions including a EUR 9.2m (100m SEK) buyback program (EUR 3.6m executed in Q2) and a closing cash balance of EUR 33m.

Kambi Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are stable with a conservative balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity) and healthy operating cash flow that exceeds net income, but profitability has eroded versus prior years (lower net margin and ROE), keeping the score from being higher.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue169.50M162.02M176.41M173.30M166.01M162.42M
Gross Profit166.61M133.39M176.41M173.30M166.01M162.42M
EBITDA49.35M49.53M59.47M57.51M63.51M79.21M
Net Income11.48M6.81M15.45M14.90M26.45M46.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets193.81M187.46M220.13M214.89M242.89M196.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.02M32.89M66.22M55.05M60.70M79.66M
Total Debt8.23M4.99M9.49M12.99M20.68M24.77M
Total Liabilities35.45M26.38M39.80M42.74M79.50M61.48M
Stockholders Equity158.36M161.07M180.32M172.15M163.39M135.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.51M3.82M24.24M18.67M20.58M47.46M
Operating Cash Flow40.26M31.68M53.70M49.84M49.00M72.33M
Investing Cash Flow-28.60M-28.31M-29.66M-42.73M-64.78M-39.62M
Financing Cash Flow-30.10M-30.19M-13.07M-17.35M-1.86M-14.25M

Kambi Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price152.20

Price Trends

50DMA168.16Negative
100DMA168.87Negative
200DMA148.78Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-4.61Negative
RSI33.39Neutral
STOCH30.95Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:KAMBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 152.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.01, below the 50-day MA of 168.16, and above the 200-day MA of 148.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:KAMBI.

Kambi Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

SE:KAMBI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:EVOSE:EVO85OutperformSEK 150.88B13.85――-3.33%-5.49%
SE:BETS.BSE:BETS.B76OutperformSEK 13.00B10.5312.81%7.44%-0.47%-43.52%
SE:KAMBISE:KAMBI69NeutralSEK 4.01B33.077.14%―-10.22%-33.31%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
SE:G2MSE:G2M55NeutralSEK 651.31M11.12-44.77%―-20.52%―
SE:ACROUDSE:ACROUD43NeutralSEK 111.93M-3.77-15.07%―17.97%93.95%
SE:GCORSE:GCOR41NeutralSEK 101.81M-2.54406.23%―57.81%9.24%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%SE:KAMBISE:EVOSE:BETS.BSE:G2MSE:ACROUDSE:GCORDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:KAMBI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:KAMBIKambi Group plc Class B152.2041.8037.86%
SE:EVOEvolution Gaming824.20182.4028.42%
SE:BETS.BBetsson AB Class B96.45-42.95-30.81%
SE:G2MGentoo Media Inc4.83-4.14-46.10%
SE:ACROUDAcroud AB0.09-0.05-37.86%
SE:GCORGaming Corps AB0.70-0.44-38.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2026