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Reed's Inc (REED)
OTHER OTC:REED

Reed's (REED) AI Stock Analysis

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RE

Reed's

(OTC:REED)

39Underperform
Reed's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative earnings, and high leverage risks. While there are positive strategic initiatives and leadership changes, negative technical indicators and valuation concerns weigh heavily, suggesting a cautious outlook.

Reed's (REED) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Reed's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionReed's, Inc. (REED) is a leading manufacturer and distributor of natural and organic beverages. The company is primarily known for its ginger-based drinks, including Reed's Ginger Beer, Virgil's Root Beer, and a range of other craft sodas. Reed's focuses on high-quality, natural ingredients, catering to health-conscious consumers who seek alternatives to traditional soft drinks. The company operates in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, offering products across various retail channels in the United States and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyReed's, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverages to retailers, distributors, and directly to consumers via online platforms. The company's key revenue streams include sales of its ginger beer and craft sodas, which are available in supermarkets, specialty stores, and online marketplaces. Reed's leverages partnerships with large retail chains and distribution networks to expand its market reach and shelf presence. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and brand development to enhance customer loyalty and drive sales growth. Seasonal promotions and product innovations also contribute to its earnings by attracting new customers and encouraging repeat purchases.

Reed's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reed's is experiencing financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses, despite improvements in gross margin and liquidity. The balance sheet shows improved equity but high leverage risks. Cash flow remains a concern, requiring strategic financial management to ensure sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Reed's shows a declining revenue trend with a 15.1% decrease from $44.71 million in 2023 to $37.95 million in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin improved from 21.7% to 30% in the same period, but net profit margins remain negative due to persistent net losses, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The company has improved its equity position from negative to positive, with stockholders' equity reaching $6.65 million in the TTM. However, the debt-to-equity ratio remains concerning, and the equity ratio is relatively low, indicating potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow improved but remains negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Free cash flow remains negative, although Reed's has reduced its net debt significantly, improving liquidity but still indicating cash flow management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.95M44.71M53.04M49.60M41.62M
Gross Profit
11.38M9.71M12.11M13.60M12.77M
EBIT
-8.12M-9.42M-13.99M-15.97M-8.62M
EBITDA
-7.38M-9.28M-14.73M-14.96M-8.67M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.15M-15.52M-19.11M-17.60M-11.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.39M603.00K533.00K49.00K595.00K
Total Assets
25.14M18.88M26.32M26.32M20.06M
Total Debt
10.41M27.58M21.89M10.78M1.46M
Net Debt
17.00K26.97M21.36M10.73M860.00K
Total Liabilities
18.49M38.06M33.96M22.12M9.65M
Stockholders Equity
6.65M-19.18M-7.63M4.20M10.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-6.28M-4.35M-15.44M-17.92M-9.66M
Operating Cash Flow
-6.12M-4.27M-15.43M-17.59M-9.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-167.00K-20.00K-2.00K-335.00K-161.00K
Financing Cash Flow
16.08M4.36M15.92M17.38M9.34M

Reed's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1.51
Negative
100DMA
1.28
Negative
200DMA
1.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
32.51
Neutral
STOCH
34.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REED, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.74, below the 50-day MA of 1.51, and below the 200-day MA of 1.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REED.

Reed's Risk Analysis

Reed's disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Reed's reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Reed's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.64B12.6123.07%4.00%13.22%11.37%
79
Outperform
$1.88B33.3924.86%8.01%11.26%
77
Outperform
$4.08B21.7540.81%0.34%9.48%
64
Neutral
$8.66B14.634.98%174.64%3.54%3.46%
54
Neutral
$214.50M-28.87%-6.83%19.09%
50
Neutral
$293.89M-85.68%4.56%57.03%
39
Underperform
$79.40M71.20%-11.03%49.65%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REED
Reed's
1.25
-0.23
-15.54%
AKO.A
Embotelladora Andina SA
20.99
7.19
52.10%
FIZZ
National Beverage
44.43
0.18
0.41%
OTLY
Oatly Group
9.57
-15.43
-61.72%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.91
1.82
166.97%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
34.61
8.35
31.80%

Reed's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -42.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant operational improvements, a new product launch, and expanded distribution, contributing to a moderate increase in net sales. However, this was offset by a decrease in gross margin, increased operating expenses, and higher cash usage, creating a balanced outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Fulfillment Rates
Short shipments reduced from approximately 20% at the start of the quarter to under 2% by April, reflecting improved inventory management and operational efficiency.
New Product Launch and Distribution Expansion
Launched a new multifunctional soda line with national distribution secured in Sprouts Farmers Market. Expanded distribution at multiple retailers, including Albertsons, Safeway, and Costco.
Operational Improvements and Leadership Changes
Appointed Ruud Bakker to the Board of Directors, bringing over 25 years of industry experience. Initiated supply chain optimizations and packaging transitions to improve cost efficiency.
4.5% Increase in Net Sales
Net sales for the first quarter of 2025 increased to $10 million compared to $9.6 million in the previous year, driven by higher volumes with recurring national customers.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margin
Gross margin decreased from 35.6% in the previous year to 33.9% in the first quarter of 2025, primarily due to higher cost of goods sold as operating capacity and inventory amounts increased.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose to $5.1 million from $4.1 million in the previous year, with selling, general, and administrative costs increasing to $3.5 million, driven by investments in personnel and marketing.
Increased Cash Usage
Approximately $5.4 million of cash was used in operating activities, compared to $2.4 million in the previous year, primarily due to higher inventory purchases.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Reed's Inc. reported a 4.5% increase in net sales, reaching $10 million compared to $9.6 million in the same period the previous year. Despite maintaining a gross profit of $3.4 million, the gross margin decreased from 35.6% to 33.9% due to higher costs of goods sold linked to increased operating capacity and inventory. Operating expenses rose to $5.1 million from $4.1 million, driven by investments in personnel, marketing, and related services. Delivery and handling costs increased to $1.6 million, representing 16.2% of net sales. The company reported an operating loss of $1.7 million, equating to negative $0.04 per share, and a modified EBITDA loss of $1.6 million. Cash used from operating activities was $5.4 million, attributed largely to higher inventory purchases. As of March 31, 2025, Reed's had $4.9 million in cash and $9.6 million in total debt. The company emphasized its strategic focus on supply chain optimizations, improved inventory management, and expanding distribution to drive future growth, while anticipating some gross margin pressure in the second quarter due to seasonal promotions and the launch of a new functional beverage line.

Reed's Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Reed’s Reports Q1 2025 Sales Growth Amid Losses
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Reed’s, Inc. reported a 4.5% increase in net sales to $10.0 million for the first quarter of 2025, driven by higher volumes with national customers. Despite the sales growth, the company experienced a flat gross profit and an increased operating loss of $1.7 million due to higher costs and investments in growth initiatives. CEO Cyril Wallace highlighted operational improvements, such as reduced short shipments and increased production capacity, which are expected to drive future growth and profitability. The company is focusing on expanding its distribution and launching new functional beverages to enhance its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (REED) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Reed’s stock, see the REED Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on REED Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, REED is a Neutral.

Reed’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative earnings, and high leverage risks. While positive technical indicators and strategic initiatives are underway, the negative P/E ratio and governance concerns weigh heavily on the stock’s prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on REED stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Reed’s Appoints Cyril Wallace as New CEO
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

On April 16, 2025, Reed’s, Inc. announced the retirement of CEO Norman E. Snyder, Jr., with Cyril Wallace appointed as the new CEO and board member. Wallace, who has over 20 years of experience at PepsiCo, is expected to drive the company’s growth through strategic vision and operational expertise. Additionally, Ruud Bakker, a seasoned executive with global experience in the beverage industry, has joined Reed’s board of directors. These leadership changes are aimed at expanding distribution, launching new products, and enhancing profitability, positioning Reed’s for its next chapter of growth.

Spark’s Take on REED Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, REED is a Neutral.

Reed’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative earnings, and high leverage risks. While there are positive technical indicators and strategic initiatives underway, the negative P/E ratio and governance concerns weigh heavily on the stock’s prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on REED stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Reed’s Reports 2024 Financial Results with Improved Profitability
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

Reed’s, Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, showing a decrease in net sales but a significant increase in gross profit and margin due to one-time charges in the previous year. The company improved its operating loss and reduced delivery costs, while also securing new distribution deals with major retailers. Reed’s strengthened its leadership team and plans to expand its product portfolio in 2025, aiming for growth and profitability with a solid financial foundation.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Reed’s Board Member Lewis Jaffe Resigns Amid Changes
Negative
Mar 21, 2025

On March 17, 2025, Lewis Jaffe resigned from the Board of Directors of Reed’s, Inc., effective March 31, 2025. Jaffe, who served as Chair of the Governance Committee and was a member of the Compensation and Audit Committees, cited recent changes in ownership, leadership, and decision-making processes as reasons for his departure. He expressed a fundamental difference in views on corporate governance and the board’s role in guiding the company’s strategic direction, as well as concerns about the majority investor’s intent to replace independent directors over time.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.