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National Beverage (FIZZ) AI Stock Analysis

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FIZZ

National Beverage

(NASDAQ:FIZZ)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:$42.00â–²(13.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals (healthy margins, low leverage, and strong cash generation). Offsetting this, technical signals are weak with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is moderately supportive with a reasonable P/E, but there is no dividend yield data to add income-based support.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityNational Beverage maintains strong gross and net margins that have remained broadly consistent across recent periods. This profitability provides resilience against operating pressure, supports brand investment, and gives the company a durable earnings base over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Limited Revenue GrowthNear-flat revenue indicates limited recent expansion in demand, distribution, or product mix. Without stronger top-line growth, National Beverage may have less operating leverage and fewer opportunities to compound earnings, making future performance more dependent on pricing and cost control.

National Beverage (FIZZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%FIZZ+25.30%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.48B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
367.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.0
Beta (1Y)
0.29
Revenue Growth
-1.80%
EPS Growth
-5.87%
Country
US
Employees
1,677
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

National Beverage Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

National Beverage Corp., operating through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the creation, production, promotion, and distribution of a diverse portfolio of beverages. Its primary markets are the United States and Canada, where it offers spark...

How the Company Makes Money

National Beverage makes money primarily by selling branded beverage products to customers such as retailers, wholesalers, and other distribution partners. Its core revenue stream is net sales from case/unit shipments of its beverages (notably sparkli...

National Beverage Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong underlying quality: solid profitability (~36% gross margin and ~15% net margin in TTM), low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.16), strong ROE (~33%), and robust cash generation with operating cash flow exceeding net income and free cash flow ~87% of earnings. The main constraint is limited growth (TTM revenue ~+1% and a modest decline in the most recent annual period) plus some recent margin softening and uneven historical FCF.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

86Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMApr 2026Apr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.18B1.20B1.19B1.17B1.14B
Gross Profit427.59M437.26M443.94M428.45M396.79M417.81M
EBITDA241.41M252.78M265.37M250.01M219.97M239.40M
Net Income174.89M183.65M186.82M176.73M142.16M158.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets582.27M851.65M672.86M770.15M574.34M467.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.10M349.54M193.84M327.05M158.07M48.05M
Total Debt58.77M58.94M72.12M54.77M41.53M61.25M
Total Liabilities214.56M215.93M228.86M210.64M201.85M228.37M
Stockholders Equity367.70M635.71M444.00M559.51M372.49M239.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow161.90M156.11M170.41M167.61M139.69M104.12M
Operating Cash Flow187.01M181.25M206.70M197.91M161.66M133.13M
Investing Cash Flow-25.10M-25.12M-36.27M-30.25M-21.95M-29.00M
Financing Cash Flow-304.65M-422.00K-303.63M1.31M-29.69M-249.67M

National Beverage Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price37.16

Price Trends

50DMA32.57Positive
100DMA31.86Positive
200DMA31.79Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.33Negative
RSI64.92Neutral
STOCH74.68Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIZZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.96, above the 50-day MA of 32.57, and above the 200-day MA of 31.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIZZ.

National Beverage Risk Analysis

National Beverage disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Beverage reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.There have been no material changes in risk factors from those reported in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended May 3, 2025.Q4, 2025

National Beverage Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

FIZZ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
KOKO79Outperform$412.12B28.1642.00%2.19%7.74%12.29%
COCOCOCO78Outperform$3.74B30.2031.84%―25.97%72.99%
PEPPEP73Outperform$194.08B17.9150.62%4.07%6.36%51.39%
FIZZFIZZ71Outperform$3.52B19.9832.60%―-1.80%-5.87%
KDPKDP65Neutral$50.06B33.416.51%2.49%42.99%-5.75%
ZVIAZVIA65Neutral$92.81M-11.03-18.64%―8.88%46.53%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%FIZZKOKDPPEPZVIACOCODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FIZZ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FIZZNational Beverage37.167.4124.92%
KOCoca-cola Company95.7327.0139.30%
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper36.8911.7346.63%
PEPPepsico142.715.333.88%
ZVIAZevia Pbc Class A1.36-1.31-49.06%
COCOVita Coco Company, Inc.63.6321.5251.10%

National Beverage Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

National Beverage shareholders back leadership and pay policies

Positive
Oct 5, 2026

On October 2, 2026, National Beverage Corp. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where investors considered board representation and pay practices. Shareholders voted on the election of a Class III director to a three-year term and on a non-bindi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026