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Nextnav Inc. (NN)
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NextNav (NN) AI Stock Analysis

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NN

NextNav

(NASDAQ:NN)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-8.00% Downside)
NextNav's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and valuation concerns. While the earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic advancements, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum. The company's financial instability remains a significant risk.

NextNav (NN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NextNav Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextNav (NN) is a technology company specializing in advanced positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) solutions. The company operates in the sectors of wireless communication and location services, providing highly accurate indoor and outdoor positioning capabilities. NextNav's core products include its Pinnacle™ technology, which delivers vertical location services, and its Metronome™ platform, offering precise timing and location data, catering to various industries such as public safety, telecommunications, and smart cities.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextNav generates revenue primarily through the licensing of its proprietary technology and data solutions to various sectors, including government agencies, public safety organizations, and commercial enterprises. Key revenue streams include subscription-based services for real-time location data, one-time fees for integration and setup, and partnerships with telecommunications companies that leverage NextNav's technology for enhanced services. The company also benefits from collaborations with municipalities and urban planners, providing location services that support smart infrastructure and public safety initiatives, contributing significantly to its earnings.

NextNav Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted NextNav's significant progress in technical achievements, strategic partnerships, and financial health. However, challenges remain due to regulatory uncertainties and the impact of the government shutdown on FCC processes. Overall, the achievements and strategic advancements present a strong positive outlook, despite some regulatory hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
FCC Process Progress
NextNav has filed extensive technical and economic studies with the FCC to enable 5G-based 3D PNT in the lower 900 MHz band, and has been actively engaging with FCC representatives.
Technical Milestones Achieved
NextNav achieved a significant milestone by enabling a wide-scale commercial 5G-based 3D PNT solution, integrating standard 5G network equipment.
Successful Partnerships
Extended agreement with AT&T by 2 years for Pinnacle network operations and successful integration with Oscilloquartz's GNSS-enabled grandmaster clock.
Strong Financial Position
NextNav reported $167.6 million in cash and short-term investments, with a net income of nearly $0.5 million for the quarter.
Spectrum Acquisition
Secured additional spectrum in the lower 900 MHz band through the Telesaurus transaction, strengthening their strategic position.
Negative Updates
Government Shutdown Impact
The ongoing government shutdown has halted most of the work at the FCC, delaying the regulatory process.
FCC Timing Uncertainty
Uncertainty remains regarding the FCC's timeline for issuing a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for PNT technologies.
Company Guidance
During the NextNav Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance was provided on the company's ongoing efforts and future outlook. Key metrics highlighted include the successful integration of NextNav's 5G-based PNT technology with Oscilloquartz's GNSS-enabled grandmaster clock, marking a pivotal step towards commercializing a GPS complement and backup. The extension of their Pinnacle network operations agreement with AT&T to October 2028 underscores the company's commitment to providing 5G-based 3D PNT solutions. Financially, NextNav reported gains of approximately $23.6 million due to changes in the fair value of derivative and warrants liability, resulting in a net income of nearly $0.5 million for the quarter. The company ended the quarter with $167.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, demonstrating robust financial health. These developments, alongside strategic FCC engagements and international partnerships, position NextNav well for advancing its geolocation technology and commercialization efforts.

NextNav Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NextNav's financial performance is weak, with negative margins and high leverage. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow analysis all indicate significant financial challenges, including negative equity and persistent cash flow issues.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
NextNav's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has consistently negative gross and net profit margins, indicating ongoing losses. Although there is a slight revenue growth in the TTM period, the margins remain deeply negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity in the TTM period, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative, reflecting high leverage and financial risk. Return on equity is also negative, suggesting the company is not generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is unfavorable, pointing to potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, although there is slight growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues relative to reported losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive, indicating some alignment between cash flow and net income, but overall cash flow remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.54M5.67M3.86M3.93M763.00K569.00K
Gross Profit-2.42M-5.11M-8.88M-7.88M-17.63M-7.20M
EBITDA-113.81M-54.86M-58.71M-61.31M-40.71M-127.03M
Net Income-153.56M-101.88M-71.73M-40.12M-144.67M-137.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets263.07M161.74M162.16M123.79M136.82M44.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments167.58M80.11M85.83M55.45M100.08M8.67M
Total Debt15.69M71.44M66.11M7.82M0.0058.87M
Total Liabilities285.19M111.62M82.06M19.92M36.87M535.28M
Stockholders Equity-22.12M50.12M78.73M100.02M99.96M-490.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.94M-38.36M-39.17M-40.67M-49.21M-35.58M
Operating Cash Flow-46.62M-38.01M-35.44M-37.09M-47.93M-28.41M
Investing Cash Flow-56.77M-39.47M1.07M-15.74M-1.28M-7.18M
Financing Cash Flow125.44M35.10M68.98M43.00K135.64M34.77M

NextNav Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.50
Price Trends
50DMA
14.73
Negative
100DMA
15.01
Negative
200DMA
13.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Negative
RSI
43.31
Neutral
STOCH
36.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.88, below the 50-day MA of 14.73, and below the 200-day MA of 13.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NN.

NextNav Risk Analysis

NextNav disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextNav reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NextNav Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$218.09M81.351.22%17.38%
52
Neutral
$58.64M-38.57%17.74%65.18%
52
Neutral
$79.15M-8.78105.31%95.66%
45
Neutral
$1.70B-706.79%11.61%-54.84%
45
Neutral
$122.46M-51.54%-16.83%-485.31%
43
Neutral
$32.51M-0.54-133.94%-31.96%56.06%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NN
NextNav
12.50
-1.98
-13.67%
TRVG
trivago
3.14
1.45
85.80%
SEAT
Vivid Seats
10.55
-60.95
-85.24%
CCG
Cheche Group
0.92
0.02
2.44%
BODI
Beachbody Company
5.00
-1.56
-23.78%
PODC
Courtside Group Inc
2.31
0.86
59.31%

NextNav Corporate Events

NextNav Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Advances
Nov 7, 2025

NextNav Inc. is a prominent player in the next-generation 3D Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) solutions sector, leveraging licensed low-band spectrum and the global 5G ecosystem to provide a reliable backup to GPS, crucial for national security, public safety, and economic stability.

Business Operations and Strategy
NextNav Extends Agreement with AT&T for Pinnacle Network
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 9, 2025, NextNav LLC amended its agreement with AT&T Services, Inc. to extend the term of their Equipment, Network Colocation and Installation Agreement for the Pinnacle network operations by approximately two years, now expiring on October 28, 2028. This extension maintains the operational and financial terms of the original agreement, allowing NextNav to continue leveraging AT&T’s infrastructure for its public safety applications, while also retaining the flexibility to expand its network independently.

The most recent analyst rating on (NN) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextNav stock, see the NN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
NextNav Finalizes Acquisition of M-LMS Licenses
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

NextNav Inc. finalized an Asset Purchase Agreement on September 19, 2025, acquiring M-LMS licenses from Telesaurus Holdings GB LLC and Skybridge Spectrum Foundation for up to $50 million. This acquisition, paid in cash and common stock, includes potential future considerations contingent on FCC’s spectrum use flexibility, and strengthens NextNav’s position in the location services market.

The most recent analyst rating on (NN) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextNav stock, see the NN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NextNav Appoints Timothy Gray as New CFO
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 21, 2025, NextNav Inc. appointed Timothy A. Gray as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 22, 2025. Gray, who previously served as CFO at Anterix Inc., brings extensive experience in finance and leadership to NextNav as it prepares for the commercialization of its technology. Concurrently, Christian Gates transitioned from CFO to Executive Vice President of Corporate Development, focusing on strategy and corporate growth. These leadership changes are aimed at driving the company’s next chapter of growth and optimizing its technological offerings in the lower 900 MHz band.

The most recent analyst rating on (NN) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextNav stock, see the NN Stock Forecast page.

NextNav’s Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

NextNav Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment among stakeholders. While the company celebrated significant strides in regulatory approvals and strategic partnerships, these achievements were overshadowed by rising operating expenses and a substantial net loss. Additionally, challenges in gaining consensus in the FCC process added a layer of complexity to the company’s outlook.

NextNav Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

NextNav Inc. is a leading provider of next-generation 3D Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) solutions, operating primarily in the technology sector with a focus on enhancing GPS capabilities through terrestrial services. The company is known for its extensive spectrum holdings and its commitment to national security and public safety through advanced geolocation technologies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025